Defensa Y Justicia vs Independiente — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Defensa Y Justicia and Independiente meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 2 November 2026. Defensa Y Justicia have recorded 13 wins from 31 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.29 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 55% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 45%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Independiente have won 46% of their 35 matches, with 1.46 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 43%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Defensa Y Justicia and 1.16 for Independiente. The models give Defensa Y Justicia a 41% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Independiente win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 43% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Defensa Y | Home | Away | Independiente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 87% | 69% | 80% | 82% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 35% | 40% | 31% | 40% | 41% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 7% | 13% | 14% | 24% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 13% | 31% | 20% | 18% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Defensa Y | Home | Away | Independiente | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 67% | 69% | 69% | 71% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 13% | 50% | 31% | 35% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 7% | 19% | 20% | 24% | 17% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 33% | 31% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Defensa Y | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 45% | 43% |
| Over 3.5 | 19% | 26% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 14% |
| BTTS | 55% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 35% | 37% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Defensa Y | Independiente | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 39% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 39% | 57% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 17% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 35% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 37% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 49% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 52% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Defensa Y | Independiente | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 89% | 79% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 76% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 50% | 69% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 36% | 55% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 29% | 41% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 7% | 28% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 24% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 4% | 21% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Defensa Y | Independiente |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.2 | 5.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 64% | 62% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 68% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 57% | 45% |
Head to Head · 17 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | |
| 2 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | |
| 3 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 | |
| 4 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 | |
| 5 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | |
| 6 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 | |
| 7 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | |
| 8 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | |
| 9 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | |
| 10 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 | |
| 11 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 | |
| 12 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 | |
| 13 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | |
| 14 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | |
| 15 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | |
| 16 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | |
| 17 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 | |
| 18 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 | |
| 19 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | |
| 20 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | |
| 21 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | |
| 22 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | |
| 22 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 | |
| 24 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | |
| 25 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 | |
| 26 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 | |
| 27 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | |
| 28 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | |
| 29 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | |
| 30 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Defensa Y Justicia have scored 58% of their goals in the first half.
- ●Independiente have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Independiente have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.