Velez Sarsfield vs San Lorenzo — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Velez Sarsfield and San Lorenzo meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 31 October 2026. Velez Sarsfield have recorded 14 wins from 32 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.28 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 28%; and clean sheets in 38% of games. San Lorenzo have won 28% of their 39 matches, with 0.82 goals scored and 0.85 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 31%, Over 2.5 at 15%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Velez Sarsfield and 0.71 for San Lorenzo. The models give Velez Sarsfield a 48% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an San Lorenzo win at 22%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27% and BTTS at 33%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Velez Sarsfield | Home | Away | San Lorenzo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 78% | 86% | 59% | 71% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 34% | 39% | 29% | 15% | 24% | 6% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 11% | 7% | 3% | 5% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 22% | 14% | 41% | 29% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Velez Sarsfield | Home | Away | San Lorenzo | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 63% | 56% | 71% | 54% | 48% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 19% | 17% | 21% | 18% | 24% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 7% | 8% | 10% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 38% | 44% | 29% | 46% | 52% | 39% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Velez Sarsfield | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 | 63% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 | 28% | 15% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 9% | 8% |
| BTTS | 53% | 31% |
| BTTS & Win | 16% | 0% |
| BTTS & Draw | 34% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 10% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Velez Sarsfield | San Lorenzo | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 15% |
| Draw 1st Half | 47% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 50% | 21% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 34% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 34% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 19% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 31% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 66% | 49% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 25% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Number of Corners
| Match Corners | Velez Sarsfield | San Lorenzo | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 75% | 71% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 64% | 62% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 46% | 47% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 39% | 44% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 32% | 29% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 21% | 15% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 9% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 7% | 9% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Velez Sarsfield | San Lorenzo |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.4 | 4.1 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.7 | 4.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 71% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 68% | 65% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 43% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 86% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 75% | 59% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 39% | 38% |
Head to Head · 13 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 | |
| 2 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 | |
| 3 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 | |
| 4 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 | |
| 5 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 | |
| 6 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 | |
| 7 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 | |
| 8 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 | |
| 9 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 | |
| 10 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 | |
| 11 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 | |
| 12 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 | |
| 13 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 | |
| 14 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 | |
| 15 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 | |
| 16 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 | |
| 17 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 | |
| 18 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 | |
| 19 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 | |
| 20 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | |
| 21 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | |
| 22 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 | |
| 22 | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 | |
| 24 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 | |
| 25 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 | |
| 26 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 | |
| 27 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 | |
| 28 | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 | |
| 29 | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 | |
| 30 | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
- ●Velez Sarsfield have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●San Lorenzo have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●70% of San Lorenzo's goals have been scored at home.