Gimnasia M. vs Independ. Rivadavia — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Gimnasia M. and Independ. Rivadavia meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Gimnasia M. have recorded 11 wins from 29 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 34% of games. Independ. Rivadavia have won 56% of their 41 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Gimnasia M. and 1.12 for Independ. Rivadavia. The models give Gimnasia M. a 36% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Independ. Rivadavia win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 38% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Gimnasia M.—
Independ. Rivadavia22º
Position
1º
1.19
PPG
2.13
31%
Win %
63%
0.88
Goals / game
1.81
1.38
Conceded / game
0.94
38%
BTTS %
63%
34%
Clean sheet %
29%
38%
Over 2.5 %
49%
3.8
Avg corners
4.3
11.7
Avg shots
13.5
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
12.3
Avg fouls
11.6
47.3%
Avg possession
47.5%
Home vs Away
Gimnasia M.
Home (8)
—
Independ. Rivadavia
Away (7)
1.63
PPG
2.14
50%
Win %
57%
1.13
Goals / game
1.43
1.00
Conceded / game
0.71
40%
BTTS %
47%
47%
Clean sheet %
42%
33%
Over 2.5 %
42%
3.8
Avg corners
4.3
11.7
Avg shots
13.5
3.8
Avg shots on target
4.9
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.1
47.3%
Avg possession
47.5%
Goals Scored
| Gimnasia M. | Home | Away | Independ. Rivadavia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 62% | 73% | 50% | 83% | 95% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 33% | 14% | 46% | 55% | 37% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 13% | 14% | 22% | 27% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 38% | 27% | 50% | 17% | 5% | 32% |
Goals Conceded
| Gimnasia M. | Home | Away | Independ. Rivadavia | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 66% | 53% | 79% | 71% | 82% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 20% | 43% | 24% | 18% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 0% | 21% | 7% | 5% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 34% | 47% | 21% | 29% | 18% | 42% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Gimnasia M. | Independ. Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 21% | 27% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 17% |
| BTTS | 38% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 37% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 28% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Gimnasia M. | Independ. Rivadavia | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 20% |
| Scored 1st Half | 45% | 61% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 34% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 17% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 41% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 39% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 59% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
Gimnasia M. (H)W
Newells Old Boys1–0
Newells Old Boys1–0D
Deportivo Riestra0–0
Deportivo Riestra0–0D
Boca Juniors2–2
Boca Juniors2–2W
Talleres Cordoba3–1
Talleres Cordoba3–1W
Union Santa Fe2–0
Union Santa Fe2–0W
Central Cordoba de Santiago1–0
Central Cordoba de Santiago1–0Independ. Rivadavia (A)L
Rosario Central0–5
Rosario Central0–5W
Barracas Central1–0
Barracas Central1–0L
River Plate1–3
River Plate1–3W
Aldosivi2–0
Aldosivi2–0D
Independiente0–0
Independiente0–0L
Belgrano Cordoba0–2
Belgrano Cordoba0–2Number of Corners
8.3
Corners / Match
27 games
League Avg
8.7
424 games
8.5
Corners / Match
36 games
| Match Corners | Gimnasia M. | Independ. Rivadavia | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 70% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 63% | 58% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 52% | 53% | 50% |
| Over 9 | 37% | 39% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 30% | 25% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 11% | 22% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 7% | 14% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 4% | 6% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Gimnasia M. | Independ. Rivadavia |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 3.8 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 63% | 78% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 58% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 37% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 85% | 67% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 63% | 50% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 41% | 39% |
Head to Head · 7 matches
3
Gimnasia M.
43%
0
Draws
0%
4
Independ. Rivadavia
57%
71%
Over 1.5
5/7
43%
Over 2.5
3/7
43%
Over 3.5
3/7
43%
BTTS
3/7
26/04/26Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
5–1Gimnasia M.22/10/22Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
1–0Independ. Rivadavia03/07/22Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
2–0Independ. Rivadavia24/02/22Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
2–0Gimnasia M.30/09/18Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
1–0Independ. Rivadavia11/08/15Gimnasia M.
Independ. Rivadavia
4–2Gimnasia M.24/03/15Independ. Rivadavia
Gimnasia M.
1–3Independ. Rivadavia| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 |
| 2 | River Plate | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 4 |  Racing Club | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 |
| 7 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
| 8 | Independiente | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 |
| 9 |  Lanus | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 |
| 10 | Talleres Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
| 11 |  Huracan | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
| 12 | Independ. Rivadavia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 |
| 13 | Union Santa Fe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 |
| 14 | Barracas Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 |
| 15 |  San Lorenzo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 |
| 16 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
| 17 | Belgrano Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 18 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 19 | Deportivo Riestra | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 |
| 20 |  Instituto Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 21 |  Tigre | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Platense | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 24 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| 25 |  Atletico Tucuman | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| 26 | Newells Old Boys | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 |
| 27 |  Banfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 |
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Gimnasia M.- ●Gimnasia M. have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia M. have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia M. have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Gimnasia M. have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia M. failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●62% of Gimnasia M.'s goals have been scored at home.
- ●68% of Gimnasia M.'s goals conceded were conceded away.
Independ. Rivadavia- ●Independ. Rivadavia have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Independ. Rivadavia failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Independ. Rivadavia have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Independ. Rivadavia failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Independ. Rivadavia have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Independ. Rivadavia have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Independ. Rivadavia have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●71% of Independ. Rivadavia's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Gimnasia M.WHNewells Old Boys1–0
Newells Old Boys1–0LAEstudiantes L.P.0–3
Estudiantes L.P.0–3DHDeportivo Riestra0–0
Deportivo Riestra0–0LADefensa Y Justicia0–2
Defensa Y Justicia0–2DHBoca Juniors2–2
Boca Juniors2–2WAIndependiente3–0
Independiente3–0–AVelez Sarsfield18/10
Velez Sarsfield18/10–HPlatense25/10
Platense25/10–ALanus01/11
Lanus01/11Independ. RivadaviaLARosario Central0–5
Rosario Central0–5DHGimnasia L.P.1–1
Gimnasia L.P.1–1WABarracas Central1–0
Barracas Central1–0WHAldosivi4–3
Aldosivi4–3LARiver Plate1–3
River Plate1–3WHRacing Club3–1
Racing Club3–1–HTigre18/10
Tigre18/10–AArgentinos JRS25/10
Argentinos JRS25/10–HBanfield01/11
Banfield01/11Top Scorers
Gimnasia M.A. Modica12 ⚽
F. Lencioni4 ⚽
E. Munoz2 ⚽
E. Fernandez1 ⚽
Esteban Fernández1 ⚽
Agustín Módica1 ⚽
Independ. RivadaviaA. Arce18 ⚽
F. Sartori10 ⚽
L. Bucca5 ⚽
J. I. Florentin Bobadilla5 ⚽
G. Rios4 ⚽
A. Osella4 ⚽
Cards Given
Gimnasia M.Esteban Fernández3 🟨
F. Antonini3 🟨
Agustín Modica3 🟨
Diego Mondino3 🟨
A. Modica3 🟨
F. Lencioni3 🟨
Independ. RivadaviaMatías Fernández9 🟨
S. Studer5 🟨
Iván Villalba4 🟨
A. Arce4 🟨
Ezequiel Bonifacio4 🟨
Alex Arce4 🟨