Independiente vs Deportivo Riestra — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Independiente and Deportivo Riestra meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Independiente have recorded 16 wins from 35 matches this season (46% win rate), averaging 1.46 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 54% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Deportivo Riestra have won 13% of their 38 matches, with 0.58 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 34%, Over 2.5 at 16%, and clean sheets at 32%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Independiente and 0.67 for Deportivo Riestra. The models give Independiente a 57% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Deportivo Riestra win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 35% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Independiente—
Deportivo Riestra11º
Position
28º
1.50
PPG
0.69
38%
Win %
6%
1.50
Goals / game
0.31
1.25
Conceded / game
0.75
54%
BTTS %
34%
31%
Clean sheet %
32%
43%
Over 2.5 %
16%
5.4
Avg corners
4.0
12.8
Avg shots
10.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.3
Avg yellow cards
3.0
11.2
Avg fouls
15.6
52.3%
Avg possession
35.6%
Home vs Away
Independiente
Home (8)
—
Deportivo Riestra
Away (8)
1.88
PPG
0.38
50%
Win %
0%
1.88
Goals / game
0.13
1.13
Conceded / game
1.00
59%
BTTS %
33%
29%
Clean sheet %
22%
47%
Over 2.5 %
11%
5.4
Avg corners
4.0
12.8
Avg shots
10.1
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.2
2.3
Avg yellow cards
3.0
52.3%
Avg possession
35.6%
Goals Scored
| Independiente | Home | Away | Deportivo Riestra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 82% | 78% | 45% | 55% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 41% | 39% | 11% | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 24% | 6% | 3% | 5% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 18% | 22% | 55% | 45% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Independiente | Home | Away | Deportivo Riestra | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 71% | 67% | 68% | 60% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 31% | 35% | 28% | 18% | 10% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 24% | 17% | 8% | 10% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 29% | 33% | 32% | 40% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Independiente | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 16% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 3% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 3% |
| BTTS | 54% | 34% |
| BTTS & Win | 20% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 37% | 8% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Independiente | Deportivo Riestra | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 57% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 32% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 37% | 13% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 34% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 49% | 18% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 31% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Independiente (H)L
Instituto Cordoba1–4
Instituto Cordoba1–4D
San Lorenzo1–1
San Lorenzo1–1L
Gimnasia M.0–3
Gimnasia M.0–3D
Independ. Rivadavia0–0
Independ. Rivadavia0–0L
Platense0–1
Platense0–1W
Newells Old Boys1–0
Newells Old Boys1–0Deportivo Riestra (A)LSan Lorenzo0–1
San Lorenzo0–1DGimnasia M.0–0
Gimnasia M.0–0DPlatense1–1
Platense1–1D
Huracan0–0
Huracan0–0LNewells Old Boys0–2
Newells Old Boys0–2L
Defensa Y Justicia1–2
Defensa Y Justicia1–2Number of Corners
9.7
Corners / Match
29 games
League Avg
8.7
425 games
8.3
Corners / Match
32 games
| Match Corners | Independiente | Deportivo Riestra | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 79% | 72% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 76% | 66% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 69% | 47% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 55% | 31% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 41% | 19% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 28% | 9% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 24% | 6% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 21% | 3% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Independiente | Deportivo Riestra |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.4 | 4.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.3 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 86% | 69% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 62% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 52% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 79% | 88% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 55% | 56% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 28% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
2
Independiente
40%
1
Draws
20%
2
Deportivo Riestra
40%
40%
Over 1.5
2/5
20%
Over 2.5
1/5
20%
Over 3.5
1/5
20%
BTTS
1/5
24/04/26Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
2–0Independiente10/11/25Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
0–1Independiente28/04/25Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
0–0Deportivo Riestra06/10/24Deportivo Riestra
Independiente
3–1Deportivo Riestra15/03/24Independiente
Deportivo Riestra
1–0Independiente| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 |
| 2 |  River Plate | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 4 |  Racing Club | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 |
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 |
| 7 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
| 8 | Independiente | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 |
| 9 |  Lanus | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 |
| 10 |  Talleres Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
| 11 | Huracan | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
| 12 | Independ. Rivadavia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 |
| 13 |  Union Santa Fe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 |
| 14 |  Barracas Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 |
| 15 | San Lorenzo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 |
| 16 | Defensa Y Justicia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
| 17 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 18 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 19 | Deportivo Riestra | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 |
| 20 | Instituto Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 21 |  Tigre | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 | Platense | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 | Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 24 |  Central Cordoba de Santiago | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| 25 |  Atletico Tucuman | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| 26 | Newells Old Boys | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 |
| 27 |  Banfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 |
| 28 |  Sarmiento Junin | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Independiente- ●Independiente have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Independiente have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Independiente failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente have won 6 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Independiente have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Deportivo Riestra- ●Deportivo Riestra have failed to win in their last 8 matches.
- ●Deportivo Riestra have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Riestra failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●79% of Deportivo Riestra's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Deportivo Riestra have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
IndependienteDATalleres Cordoba0–0
Talleres Cordoba0–0LHInstituto Cordoba1–4
Instituto Cordoba1–4WAUnion Santa Fe2–1
Union Santa Fe2–1DHSan Lorenzo1–1
San Lorenzo1–1WACentral Cordoba de Santiago1–0
Central Cordoba de Santiago1–0LHGimnasia M.0–3
Gimnasia M.0–3–ARacing Club18/10
Racing Club18/10–HBoca Juniors25/10
Boca Juniors25/10–ADefensa Y Justicia02/11
Defensa Y Justicia02/11Deportivo RiestraLASan Lorenzo0–1
San Lorenzo0–1DHCentral Cordoba de Santiago1–1
Central Cordoba de Santiago1–1DAGimnasia M.0–0
Gimnasia M.0–0LHLanus0–3
Lanus0–3DAPlatense1–1
Platense1–1DHVelez Sarsfield1–1
Velez Sarsfield1–1–HUnion Santa Fe20/10
Union Santa Fe20/10–AInstituto Cordoba27/10
Instituto Cordoba27/10–HTalleres Cordoba31/10
Talleres Cordoba31/10Top Scorers
IndependienteG. Avalos14 ⚽
S. Montiel6 ⚽
M. Abaldo6 ⚽
L. Millan4 ⚽
M. Gutierrez4 ⚽
I. Pussetto3 ⚽
Deportivo RiestraT. Gonzalez6 ⚽
N. Benegas5 ⚽
M. Celiz4 ⚽
A. Alonso4 ⚽
F. Mino3 ⚽
J. Randazzo3 ⚽
Cards Given
IndependienteFacundo Zabala5 🟨
Iván Marcone4 🟨
S. Montiel4 🟨
L. Godoy4 🟨
Kevin Lomónaco3 🟨
I. Marcone3 🟨
Deportivo RiestraFacundo Miño7 🟨
Jonathan Goitia6 🟨
F. Mino5 🟨
Ignacio Arce5 🟨
Cristian Paz5 🟨
Mariano Bracamonte5 🟨