Tigre vs Sarmiento Junin — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Tigre and Sarmiento Junin meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Tigre have recorded 11 wins from 40 matches this season (28% win rate), averaging 1.10 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 50% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 35%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Sarmiento Junin have won 45% of their 29 matches, with 1.17 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 48%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.40 for Tigre and 0.88 for Sarmiento Junin. The models give Tigre a 46% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Sarmiento Junin win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 44%.
Season Statistics
Tigre—
Sarmiento Junin19º
Position
21º
1.25
PPG
1.19
25%
Win %
38%
1.13
Goals / game
0.81
0.94
Conceded / game
1.25
50%
BTTS %
48%
30%
Clean sheet %
31%
35%
Over 2.5 %
48%
4.1
Avg corners
3.6
13.4
Avg shots
10.6
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.9
11.5
Avg fouls
13.5
46.9%
Avg possession
43.7%
Home vs Away
Tigre
Home (8)
—
Sarmiento Junin
Away (8)
1.63
PPG
0.38
38%
Win %
13%
1.38
Goals / game
0.50
1.00
Conceded / game
1.75
40%
BTTS %
57%
40%
Clean sheet %
7%
25%
Over 2.5 %
64%
4.1
Avg corners
3.6
13.4
Avg shots
10.6
3.9
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.3
Avg yellow cards
2.9
46.9%
Avg possession
43.7%
Goals Scored
| Tigre | Home | Away | Sarmiento Junin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 68% | 70% | 65% | 77% | 88% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 30% | 35% | 25% | 37% | 38% | 36% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 5% | 15% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 33% | 30% | 35% | 23% | 13% | 36% |
Goals Conceded
| Tigre | Home | Away | Sarmiento Junin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 60% | 80% | 70% | 50% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 20% | 30% | 37% | 25% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 5% | 20% | 13% | 29% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 40% | 20% | 30% | 50% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tigre | Sarmiento Junin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 88% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 65% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 35% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 15% | 23% |
| Over 4.5 | 5% | 10% |
| BTTS | 50% | 50% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 23% | 7% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tigre | Sarmiento Junin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 28% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 43% | 33% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 38% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 28% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 48% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 47% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Tigre (H)L
Banfield1–2
Banfield1–2L
Rosario Central0–1
Rosario Central0–1D
Barracas Central0–0
Barracas Central0–0W
Central Cordoba de Santiago2–1
Central Cordoba de Santiago2–1L
Atletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque0–1W
River Plate1–0
River Plate1–0Sarmiento Junin (A)W
Aldosivi3–1
Aldosivi3–1L
Racing Club1–3
Racing Club1–3W
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–0L
Union Santa Fe1–4
Union Santa Fe1–4W
Atletico Tucuman2–1
Atletico Tucuman2–1LBanfield2–3
Banfield2–3Number of Corners
8.1
Corners / Match
36 games
League Avg
8.7
425 games
9.5
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Tigre | Sarmiento Junin | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 72% | 86% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 58% | 68% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 39% | 54% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 28% | 43% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 19% | 32% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 14% | 29% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 8% | 21% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 6% | 14% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Tigre | Sarmiento Junin |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.1 | 3.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 3.9 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 67% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 53% | 39% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 36% | 25% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 78% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 58% | 79% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 36% | 57% |
Head to Head · 10 matches
2
Tigre
20%
5
Draws
50%
3
Sarmiento Junin
30%
50%
Over 1.5
5/10
10%
Over 2.5
1/10
10%
Over 3.5
1/10
30%
BTTS
3/10
25/04/26Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
1–0Tigre18/08/24Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
0–0Tigre25/01/24Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
0–0Sarmiento Junin20/08/23Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
2–0Tigre14/04/23Sarmiento Junin
Tigre
1–0Sarmiento Junin04/10/22Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
2–2Tigre03/01/21Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
1–1Tigre20/10/19Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
1–1Tigre09/12/16Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
2–0Tigre25/07/15Tigre
Sarmiento Junin
0–1Tigre| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Boca Juniors | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 |
| 2 | River Plate | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 |
| 3 |  Velez Sarsfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 4 | Racing Club | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 |
| 6 | Rosario Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 |
| 7 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
| 8 |  Independiente | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 |
| 9 |  Lanus | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 |
| 10 |  Talleres Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
| 11 |  Huracan | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
| 12 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 |
| 13 | Union Santa Fe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 |
| 14 | Barracas Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 |
| 15 |  San Lorenzo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 |
| 16 |  Defensa Y Justicia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
| 17 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 18 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 19 |  Deportivo Riestra | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 |
| 20 |  Instituto Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 21 | Tigre | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Platense | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 24 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| 25 | Atletico Tucuman | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| 26 |  Newells Old Boys | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 |
| 27 | Banfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 |
| 28 | Sarmiento Junin | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| 29 | Aldosivi | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| 30 | Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Tigre- ●Tigre have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Tigre have lost their last 5 matches.
- ●Tigre failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Tigre have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tigre have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tigre have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tigre failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Sarmiento Junin- ●Sarmiento Junin have scored in each of their last 12 matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Sarmiento Junin have lost 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●68% of Sarmiento Junin's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
TigreLHBanfield1–2
Banfield1–2LAArgentinos JRS1–2
Argentinos JRS1–2LAVelez Sarsfield2–3
Velez Sarsfield2–3LHRosario Central0–1
Rosario Central0–1LAGimnasia L.P.1–2
Gimnasia L.P.1–2DHBarracas Central0–0
Barracas Central0–0–AIndepend. Rivadavia17/10
Independ. Rivadavia17/10–HAtletico Tucuman24/10
Atletico Tucuman24/10–AHuracan30/10
Huracan30/10Sarmiento JuninDHRiver Plate1–1
River Plate1–1WAAldosivi3–1
Aldosivi3–1LARacing Club1–3
Racing Club1–3DHBelgrano Cordoba1–1
Belgrano Cordoba1–1WAEstudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–0
Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto2–0LAUnion Santa Fe1–4
Union Santa Fe1–4–HBarracas Central19/10
Barracas Central19/10–AGimnasia L.P.23/10
Gimnasia L.P.23/10–HRosario Central31/10
Rosario Central31/10Top Scorers
TigreD. Romero11 ⚽
I. Russo10 ⚽
A. Barrionuevo3 ⚽
P. Martinez3 ⚽
Jerónimo Domina2 ⚽
J. Elias2 ⚽
Sarmiento JuninJ. Marabel10 ⚽
Junior Marabel4 ⚽
J. Mavilla3 ⚽
M. Martinez2 ⚽
Diego Churin2 ⚽
P. Magnin2 ⚽
Cards Given
TigreValentín Moreno6 🟨
Ignacio Russo5 🟨
Joaquín Laso5 🟨
Gonzalo Piñeiro4 🟨
B. Leyes4 🟨
J. Laso4 🟨
Sarmiento JuninSantiago Salle7 🟨
Juan Manuel Insaurralde7 🟨
Julian Contrera5 🟨
J. Insaurralde5 🟨
Cristian Zabala5 🟨
Carlos Villalba3 🟨