Union Santa Fe vs Velez Sarsfield — Liga Profesional Argentina
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Union Santa Fe and Velez Sarsfield meet in the Liga Profesional Argentina 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Union Santa Fe have recorded 12 wins from 34 matches this season (35% win rate), averaging 1.41 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 56%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Velez Sarsfield have won 44% of their 32 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 0.84 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.25 for Union Santa Fe and 0.98 for Velez Sarsfield. The models give Union Santa Fe a 38% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Velez Sarsfield win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39% and BTTS at 45%.
Season Statistics
Union Santa Fe—
Velez Sarsfield15º
Position
6º
1.31
PPG
1.75
31%
Win %
44%
1.50
Goals / game
1.13
1.25
Conceded / game
0.75
59%
BTTS %
53%
18%
Clean sheet %
38%
56%
Over 2.5 %
28%
4.6
Avg corners
4.4
15.6
Avg shots
11.4
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.2
11.9
Avg fouls
11.4
48.8%
Avg possession
53.3%
Home vs Away
Union Santa Fe
Home (8)
—
Velez Sarsfield
Away (8)
1.63
PPG
1.63
38%
Win %
38%
1.38
Goals / game
1.13
0.63
Conceded / game
0.75
53%
BTTS %
64%
35%
Clean sheet %
29%
47%
Over 2.5 %
21%
4.6
Avg corners
4.4
15.6
Avg shots
11.4
4.9
Avg shots on target
4.0
2.4
Avg yellow cards
2.2
48.8%
Avg possession
53.3%
Goals Scored
| Union Santa | Home | Away | Velez Sarsfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 71% | 76% | 65% | 81% | 78% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 47% | 41% | 34% | 39% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 18% | 18% | 18% | 9% | 11% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 29% | 24% | 35% | 19% | 22% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| Union Santa | Home | Away | Velez Sarsfield | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 65% | 100% | 63% | 56% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 35% | 59% | 19% | 17% | 21% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 6% | 12% | 3% | 0% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 35% | 0% | 38% | 44% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Union Santa | Velez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 91% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 56% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 12% | 9% |
| BTTS | 59% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 34% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Union Santa | Velez Sarsfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 38% |
| Draw 1st Half | 32% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 32% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 50% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 19% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 68% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 25% |
Recent Venue Form
Union Santa (H)L
Defensa Y Justicia0–2
Defensa Y Justicia0–2L
Independiente1–2
Independiente1–2W
Instituto Cordoba3–2
Instituto Cordoba3–2W
Sarmiento Junin4–1
Sarmiento Junin4–1L
Central Cordoba de Santiago1–2
Central Cordoba de Santiago1–2W
Lanus2–1
Lanus2–1Velez Sarsfield (A)LLanus0–2
Lanus0–2D
Newells Old Boys1–1
Newells Old Boys1–1D
Deportivo Riestra1–1
Deportivo Riestra1–1D
River Plate2–2
River Plate2–2D
Boca Juniors1–1
Boca Juniors1–1W
Talleres Cordoba3–1
Talleres Cordoba3–1Number of Corners
8.7
Corners / Match
30 games
League Avg
8.7
425 games
9.1
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Union Santa | Velez Sarsfield | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 73% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 7 | 60% | 64% | 63% |
| Over 8 | 47% | 46% | 51% |
| Over 9 | 33% | 39% | 38% |
| Over 10 | 23% | 32% | 29% |
| Over 11 | 17% | 21% | 20% |
| Over 12 | 10% | 18% | 12% |
| Over 13 | 10% | 7% | 8% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Union Santa | Velez Sarsfield |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.6 | 4.4 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.1 | 4.7 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 70% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 60% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 47% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 67% | 75% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 37% | 39% |
Head to Head · 11 matches
4
Union Santa
36%
2
Draws
18%
5
Velez Sarsfield
45%
73%
Over 1.5
8/11
55%
Over 2.5
6/11
27%
Over 3.5
3/11
36%
BTTS
4/11
27/04/26Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
2–2Union Santa Fe07/12/24Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
1–0Velez Sarsfield24/07/23Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
0–0Union Santa Fe06/08/22Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
2–1Velez Sarsfield06/09/21Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
4–0Union Santa Fe04/04/21Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
4–1Union Santa Fe09/03/20Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
0–3Velez Sarsfield25/11/18Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
0–2Velez Sarsfield07/11/17Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
0–2Union Santa Fe22/04/17Union Santa Fe
Velez Sarsfield
2–1Union Santa Fe29/03/15Velez Sarsfield
Union Santa Fe
1–0Velez Sarsfield| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Boca Juniors | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 159 |
| 2 | River Plate | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 152 |
| 3 | Velez Sarsfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 4 |  Racing Club | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 144 |
| 5 |  Argentinos JRS | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 142 |
| 6 |  Rosario Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 141 |
| 7 |  Estudiantes L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 136 |
| 8 | Independiente | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 134 |
| 9 | Lanus | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 133 |
| 10 | Talleres Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 132 |
| 11 |  Huracan | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 131 |
| 12 |  Independ. Rivadavia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 123 |
| 13 | Union Santa Fe | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 120 |
| 14 |  Barracas Central | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 119 |
| 15 |  San Lorenzo | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 118 |
| 16 | Defensa Y Justicia | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 115 |
| 17 |  Belgrano Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 18 |  Gimnasia L.P. | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 112 |
| 19 | Deportivo Riestra | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 111 |
| 20 | Instituto Cordoba | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 21 |  Tigre | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Platense | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 108 |
| 22 |  Gimnasia M. | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | -8 | 19 |
| 24 | Central Cordoba de Santiago | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 100 |
| 25 |  Atletico Tucuman | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 98 |
| 26 | Newells Old Boys | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 97 |
| 27 |  Banfield | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 94 |
| 28 | Sarmiento Junin | 89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 89 |
| 29 |  Aldosivi | 48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 41 |
| 30 |  Estudiantes de Rio Cuarto | 16 | 1 | 2 | 13 | -19 | 5 |
Team Insights
Union Santa- ●Union Santa Fe have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Union Santa Fe have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Union Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 18 matches.
- ●Union Santa Fe have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Union Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Union Santa Fe have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Union Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 16 away matches.
- ●Union Santa Fe failed to keep a clean sheet in 16 of their 16 away matches.
- ●66% of Union Santa Fe's goals conceded were conceded away.
Velez Sarsfield- ●Velez Sarsfield have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have been undefeated in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Velez Sarsfield have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Union SantaLHDefensa Y Justicia0–2
Defensa Y Justicia0–2LABoca Juniors0–3
Boca Juniors0–3LHIndependiente1–2
Independiente1–2LATalleres Cordoba1–2
Talleres Cordoba1–2WHInstituto Cordoba3–2
Instituto Cordoba3–2WHSarmiento Junin4–1
Sarmiento Junin4–1–ADeportivo Riestra20/10
Deportivo Riestra20/10–HEstudiantes L.P.26/10
Estudiantes L.P.26/10–ANewells Old Boys01/11
Newells Old Boys01/11Velez SarsfieldLALanus0–2
Lanus0–2DHPlatense2–2
Platense2–2WHTigre3–2
Tigre3–2DANewells Old Boys1–1
Newells Old Boys1–1WHEstudiantes L.P.1–0
Estudiantes L.P.1–0DADeportivo Riestra1–1
Deportivo Riestra1–1–HGimnasia M.17/10
Gimnasia M.17/10–ACentral Cordoba de Santiago26/10
Central Cordoba de Santiago26/10–HSan Lorenzo31/10
San Lorenzo31/10Top Scorers
Union SantaC. Tarragona15 ⚽
M. Estigarribia5 ⚽
L. Menossi4 ⚽
J. Palacios4 ⚽
B. Cuello3 ⚽
M. Del Blanco2 ⚽
Velez SarsfieldF. Monzon6 ⚽
M. Lanzini6 ⚽
Ronaldo Martinez4 ⚽
D. Valdes4 ⚽
J. Garcia3 ⚽
M. Pellegrini3 ⚽
Cards Given
Union SantaCristian Tarragona7 🟨
Marcelo Estigarribia6 🟨
Lautaro Vargas5 🟨
J. Luduena4 🟨
J. Palacios4 🟨
Julián Palacios4 🟨
Velez SarsfieldLucas Robertone8 🟨
M. Pellegrini6 🟨
C. Baeza4 🟨
Florián Monzón3 🟨
Elías Gómez3 🟨
Claudio Baeza3 🟨