Sporting JAX vs Louisville City — USL Championship
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Sporting JAX and Louisville City meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 21 October 2026. Sporting JAX have recorded 5 wins from 35 matches this season (14% win rate), averaging 1.11 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 66%; and clean sheets in 3% of games. Louisville City have won 48% of their 46 matches, with 1.76 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 52%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.64 for Sporting JAX and 2.18 for Louisville City. The models give Sporting JAX a 24% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Louisville City win at 54%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 73% and BTTS at 71%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Sporting JAX | Home | Away | Louisville City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 63% | 58% | 80% | 79% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 40% | 56% | 26% | 50% | 53% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 9% | 13% | 5% | 24% | 21% | 26% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 38% | 42% | 20% | 21% | 19% |
Goals Conceded
| Sporting JAX | Home | Away | Louisville City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 97% | 100% | 95% | 65% | 68% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 69% | 69% | 68% | 39% | 37% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 37% | 44% | 32% | 13% | 0% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 3% | 0% | 5% | 35% | 32% | 37% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sporting JAX | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 83% | 76% |
| Over 2.5 | 66% | 52% |
| Over 3.5 | 49% | 35% |
| Over 4.5 | 31% | 24% |
| BTTS | 57% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 24% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 2% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sporting JAX | Louisville City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 24% | 30% |
| Draw 1st Half | 21% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 55% | 16% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 55% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 64% | 43% |
| Win 2nd Half | 15% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 58% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 42% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 79% | 45% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 85% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 | |
| 1 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 | |
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 | |
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 | |
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 | |
| 3 | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 | |
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 | |
| 4 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 | |
| 5 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 | |
| 5 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 | |
| 6 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 | |
| 6 | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 | |
| 7 | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 | |
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 | |
| 8 | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 | |
| 8 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 | |
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 | |
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 | |
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 | |
| 10 | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 | |
| 11 | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 | |
| 11 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 | |
| 12 | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 | |
| 12 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 | |
| 13 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
- ●Sporting JAX have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 27 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have lost 8 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have lost 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of Sporting JAX's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in 14 of their 14 away matches.