El Paso Locomotive vs Sacramento Republic — USL Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
El Paso Locomotive and Sacramento Republic meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 18 October 2026. El Paso Locomotive have recorded 20 wins from 37 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Sacramento Republic have won 42% of their 36 matches, with 1.39 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 31%, and clean sheets at 39%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.44 for Sacramento Republic. The models give El Paso Locomotive a 38% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Sacramento Republic win at 35%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
El Paso Locomotive—
Sacramento Republic8º
Position
5º
1.38
PPG
1.53
38%
Win %
40%
1.69
Goals / game
1.27
1.56
Conceded / game
1.00
62%
BTTS %
47%
27%
Clean sheet %
39%
65%
Over 2.5 %
31%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
El Paso Locomotive
Home (7)
—
Sacramento Republic
Away (8)
1.14
PPG
1.25
29%
Win %
25%
1.71
Goals / game
1.00
2.29
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
50%
24%
Clean sheet %
28%
59%
Over 2.5 %
22%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| El Paso | Home | Away | Sacramento Republic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 94% | 85% | 75% | 83% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 59% | 55% | 33% | 50% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 18% | 25% | 19% | 22% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 6% | 15% | 25% | 17% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| El Paso | Home | Away | Sacramento Republic | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 76% | 70% | 61% | 50% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 41% | 30% | 22% | 22% | 22% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 24% | 10% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 24% | 30% | 39% | 50% | 28% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| El Paso | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 11% |
| BTTS | 62% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 22% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| El Paso | Sacramento Republic | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 25% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 11% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 33% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 51% | 33% |
Recent Venue Form
El Paso (H)W
Orange County SC2–1
Orange County SC2–1D
FC Tulsa1–1
FC Tulsa1–1W
Loudoun United4–1
Loudoun United4–1W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1W
Oakland Roots1–0
Oakland Roots1–0W
Monterey Bay1–0
Monterey Bay1–0Sacramento Republic (A)DFC Tulsa1–1
FC Tulsa1–1W
New Mexico United3–2
New Mexico United3–2DOrange County SC1–1
Orange County SC1–1DMonterey Bay1–1
Monterey Bay1–1DPittsburgh Riverhounds0–0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–0LFC Tulsa0–1
FC Tulsa0–1Head to Head · 13 matches
8
El Paso
62%
0
Draws
0%
5
Sacramento Republic
38%
69%
Over 1.5
9/13
54%
Over 2.5
7/13
15%
Over 3.5
2/13
38%
BTTS
5/13
29/03/26El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic
1–2El Paso Locomotive24/08/25Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
1–0Sacramento Republic13/07/25El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic
3–0El Paso Locomotive20/10/24Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
2–1Sacramento Republic15/08/24El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic
2–0El Paso Locomotive17/09/23El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic
1–0El Paso Locomotive12/03/23Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
0–1Sacramento Republic19/05/22Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
1–0Sacramento Republic13/03/22El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic
3–1El Paso Locomotive12/09/21Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
2–0Sacramento Republic03/11/19Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
3–0Sacramento Republic29/09/19El Paso Locomotive
Sacramento Republic
1–2El Paso Locomotive19/05/19Sacramento Republic
El Paso Locomotive
3–1Sacramento Republic| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 |  Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 |  Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 |  Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |  Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
El Paso- ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
Sacramento Republic- ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of Sacramento Republic's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Sacramento Republic have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
El PasoWHOrange County SC2–1
Orange County SC2–1LALexington1–3
Lexington1–3DHFC Tulsa1–1
FC Tulsa1–1WAPhoenix Rising3–1
Phoenix Rising3–1WALouisville City2–1
Louisville City2–1WHLoudoun United4–1
Loudoun United4–1–HSacramento Republic18/10
Sacramento Republic18/10–HNew Mexico United25/10
New Mexico United25/10Sacramento RepublicDHColorado Springs1–1
Colorado Springs1–1DAFC Tulsa1–1
FC Tulsa1–1WHLas Vegas Lights3–2
Las Vegas Lights3–2WANew Mexico United3–2
New Mexico United3–2DHSan Antonio0–0
San Antonio0–0WHDetroit City1–0
Detroit City1–0–AEl Paso Locomotive18/10
El Paso Locomotive18/10–HOakland Roots25/10
Oakland Roots25/10Top Scorers
El PasoR. Rubin18 ⚽
A. Mendez10 ⚽
A. Moreno8 ⚽
D. Abitia4 ⚽
E. Calvillo4 ⚽
R. Avila3 ⚽
Sacramento RepublicK. Edwards11 ⚽
T. Wolff6 ⚽
M. Rodriguez6 ⚽
F. Ajago5 ⚽
M. Benitez5 ⚽
M. Malango4 ⚽
Cards Given
El PasoE. Calvillo10 🟨
A. Ortiz9 🟨
A. Mendez6 🟨
D. Abitia5 🟨
Gabriel Torres5 🟨
K. Twumasi5 🟨
Sacramento RepublicD. Crisostomo11 🟨
A. Essel10 🟨
M. Kaye5 🟨
F. Ajago5 🟨
F. Kleemann5 🟨
A. Rodriguez4 🟨