Louisville City vs Indy Eleven — USL Championship
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Louisville City and Indy Eleven meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Louisville City have recorded 22 wins from 46 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Indy Eleven have won 31% of their 39 matches, with 1.18 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 49%, Over 2.5 at 49%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Louisville City and 1.02 for Indy Eleven. The models give Louisville City a 55% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Indy Eleven win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 47% and BTTS at 50%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Louisville City | Home | Away | Indy Eleven | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 79% | 81% | 64% | 71% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 53% | 48% | 38% | 46% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 24% | 21% | 26% | 13% | 21% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 21% | 19% | 36% | 29% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Louisville City | Home | Away | Indy Eleven | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 68% | 63% | 74% | 67% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 39% | 37% | 41% | 36% | 25% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 22% | 8% | 8% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 32% | 37% | 26% | 33% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Louisville City | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 76% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 49% |
| Over 3.5 | 35% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 24% | 0% |
| BTTS | 57% | 49% |
| BTTS & Win | 24% | 15% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 2% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Louisville City | Indy Eleven | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 55% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 16% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 36% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 43% | 36% |
| Win 2nd Half | 39% | 33% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 34% | 33% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 27% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 18% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 26 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 | |
| 1 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 | |
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 | |
| 2 | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 | |
| 3 | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 | |
| 3 | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 | |
| 4 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 | |
| 4 | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 | |
| 5 | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 | |
| 5 | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 | |
| 6 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 | |
| 6 | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 | |
| 7 | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 | |
| 7 | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 | |
| 8 | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 | |
| 8 | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 | |
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 | |
| 9 | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 | |
| 10 | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 | |
| 10 | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 | |
| 11 | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 | |
| 11 | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 | |
| 12 | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 | |
| 12 | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 | |
| 13 | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
- ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Louisville City have scored in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Indy Eleven have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●Indy Eleven failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Indy Eleven have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Indy Eleven failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Indy Eleven failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Indy Eleven have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●71% of Indy Eleven's goals have been scored at home.
- ●79% of Indy Eleven's points have been earned at home.