Monterey Bay vs Colorado Springs — USL Championship
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Monterey Bay and Colorado Springs meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Monterey Bay have recorded 5 wins from 32 matches this season (16% win rate), averaging 1.16 goals scored and 1.84 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 69% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 53%; and clean sheets in 13% of games. Colorado Springs have won 46% of their 41 matches, with 1.61 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.46 for Monterey Bay and 1.29 for Colorado Springs. The models give Monterey Bay a 35% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Colorado Springs win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 52% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
Monterey Bay—
Colorado Springs12º
Position
3º
0.88
PPG
1.56
24%
Win %
44%
1.00
Goals / game
1.75
1.59
Conceded / game
1.44
69%
BTTS %
51%
13%
Clean sheet %
34%
53%
Over 2.5 %
51%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Monterey Bay
Home (9)
—
Colorado Springs
Away (7)
1.44
PPG
1.14
44%
Win %
29%
1.22
Goals / game
1.43
1.11
Conceded / game
1.71
67%
BTTS %
53%
20%
Clean sheet %
26%
53%
Over 2.5 %
42%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Monterey Bay | Home | Away | Colorado Springs | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 80% | 71% | 76% | 77% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 31% | 40% | 24% | 46% | 59% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 7% | 6% | 27% | 36% | 16% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 20% | 29% | 24% | 23% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| Monterey Bay | Home | Away | Colorado Springs | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 88% | 80% | 94% | 66% | 59% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 40% | 53% | 29% | 18% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 27% | 47% | 10% | 0% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 13% | 20% | 6% | 34% | 41% | 26% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Monterey Bay | Colorado Springs | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 78% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 53% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 29% |
| Over 4.5 | 25% | 15% |
| BTTS | 69% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 39% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 12% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Monterey Bay | Colorado Springs | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 19% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 68% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 34% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 37% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 53% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 56% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 75% | 49% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 66% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 34% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Monterey Bay (H)L
Lexington2–3
Lexington2–3D
Phoenix Rising1–1
Phoenix Rising1–1D
Sacramento Republic1–1
Sacramento Republic1–1L
New Mexico United2–5
New Mexico United2–5L
Orange County SC1–2
Orange County SC1–2L
Las Vegas Lights2–3
Las Vegas Lights2–3Colorado Springs (A)DSacramento Republic1–1
Sacramento Republic1–1D
Detroit City0–0
Detroit City0–0L
Hartford Athletic1–2
Hartford Athletic1–2W
Loudoun United5–4
Loudoun United5–4WLexington1–0
Lexington1–0LPhoenix Rising1–3
Phoenix Rising1–3Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Monterey Bay
33%
0
Draws
0%
6
Colorado Springs
67%
67%
Over 1.5
6/9
67%
Over 2.5
6/9
33%
Over 3.5
3/9
56%
BTTS
5/9
18/04/26Monterey Bay
Colorado Springs
4–1Monterey Bay07/09/25Monterey Bay
Colorado Springs
2–1Monterey Bay13/04/25Colorado Springs
Monterey Bay
2–1Colorado Springs20/10/24Colorado Springs
Monterey Bay
0–1Colorado Springs30/06/24Monterey Bay
Colorado Springs
1–0Monterey Bay27/08/23Colorado Springs
Monterey Bay
2–1Colorado Springs05/07/23Monterey Bay
Colorado Springs
4–0Monterey Bay29/05/22Colorado Springs
Monterey Bay
4–2Colorado Springs20/03/22Monterey Bay
Colorado Springs
1–0Monterey Bay| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 |  El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 |  FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 |  Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 |  Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
Monterey Bay- ●Monterey Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Monterey Bay have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Monterey Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Monterey Bay have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Monterey Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Monterey Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Monterey Bay failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Monterey Bay have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
Colorado Springs- ●Colorado Springs have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Colorado Springs have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Colorado Springs have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Colorado Springs have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Colorado Springs failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Colorado Springs failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Monterey BayLANew Mexico United1–3
New Mexico United1–3WAOrange County SC2–1
Orange County SC2–1LHLexington2–3
Lexington2–3LACharleston Battery0–1
Charleston Battery0–1DHPhoenix Rising1–1
Phoenix Rising1–1DHSacramento Republic1–1
Sacramento Republic1–1–HColorado Springs18/10
Colorado Springs18/10–HLas Vegas Lights25/10
Las Vegas Lights25/10Colorado SpringsDASacramento Republic1–1
Sacramento Republic1–1DHOakland Roots0–0
Oakland Roots0–0DADetroit City0–0
Detroit City0–0DHNew Mexico United0–0
New Mexico United0–0WHSan Antonio2–1
San Antonio2–1WALoudoun United5–4
Loudoun United5–4–AMonterey Bay18/10
Monterey Bay18/10–HFC Tulsa25/10
FC Tulsa25/10Top Scorers
Monterey BayS. Lletget6 ⚽
I. Paul6 ⚽
R. Bidois5 ⚽
W. Leggett4 ⚽
Z. Farnsworth3 ⚽
R. Nakamura2 ⚽
Colorado SpringsK. Bennett18 ⚽
J. Fjeldberg11 ⚽
A. Perez7 ⚽
J. Tejada7 ⚽
S. Masereka5 ⚽
T. Maples3 ⚽
Cards Given
Monterey BayZ. Farnsworth10 🟨
K. Egwu9 🟨
J. Garcia8 🟨
R. Nakamura6 🟨
Q. Elliot6 🟨
I. Paul6 🟨
Colorado SpringsB. Creek7 🟨
S. Masereka7 🟨
A. Rocha7 🟨
G. Metusala6 🟨
P. Burner6 🟨
I. Foster4 🟨