San Antonio vs New Mexico United — USL Championship
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San Antonio and New Mexico United meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 18 October 2026. San Antonio have recorded 16 wins from 42 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. New Mexico United have won 50% of their 38 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for San Antonio and 1.08 for New Mexico United. The models give San Antonio a 38% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an New Mexico United win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 42% and BTTS at 48%.
Season Statistics
San Antonio—
New Mexico United2º
Position
4º
1.65
PPG
1.71
41%
Win %
50%
1.29
Goals / game
1.36
1.12
Conceded / game
1.07
36%
BTTS %
55%
45%
Clean sheet %
29%
38%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
San Antonio
Home (8)
—
New Mexico United
Away (7)
1.88
PPG
1.43
50%
Win %
43%
1.38
Goals / game
1.00
0.88
Conceded / game
1.00
32%
BTTS %
38%
50%
Clean sheet %
38%
45%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| San Antonio | Home | Away | New Mexico | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 52% | 55% | 50% | 76% | 91% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 41% | 25% | 50% | 64% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 10% | 24% | 27% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 45% | 50% | 24% | 9% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| San Antonio | Home | Away | New Mexico | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 71% | 77% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 23% | 30% | 39% | 41% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 14% | 5% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 50% | 40% | 29% | 23% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Antonio | New Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 24% |
| BTTS | 36% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Antonio | New Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
San Antonio (H)L
SV Darmstadt 980–7
SV Darmstadt 980–7D
Tampa Bay Rowdies0–0
Tampa Bay Rowdies0–0D
Louisville City0–0
Louisville City0–0D
FC Tulsa0–0
FC Tulsa0–0L
Oakland Roots0–1
Oakland Roots0–1L
El Paso Locomotive0–3
El Paso Locomotive0–3New Mexico (A)LFC Tulsa0–1
FC Tulsa0–1D
Colorado Springs0–0
Colorado Springs0–0D
Birmingham Legion4–4
Birmingham Legion4–4W
Las Vegas Lights2–1
Las Vegas Lights2–1D
Loudoun United0–0
Loudoun United0–0W
Monterey Bay5–2
Monterey Bay5–2Head to Head · 19 matches
7
San Antonio
37%
2
Draws
11%
10
New Mexico
53%
74%
Over 1.5
14/19
58%
Over 2.5
11/19
26%
Over 3.5
5/19
42%
BTTS
8/19
30/08/26San Antonio
New Mexico United
1–2San Antonio22/03/26New Mexico United
San Antonio
1–0New Mexico United02/11/25San Antonio
New Mexico United
2–0San Antonio07/09/25New Mexico United
San Antonio
0–1New Mexico United27/07/25New Mexico United
San Antonio
2–2New Mexico United22/06/25San Antonio
New Mexico United
4–2San Antonio30/06/24New Mexico United
San Antonio
2–3New Mexico United26/05/24San Antonio
New Mexico United
2–1San Antonio13/08/23San Antonio
New Mexico United
0–3San Antonio28/05/23New Mexico United
San Antonio
2–1New Mexico United18/09/22New Mexico United
San Antonio
1–1New Mexico United24/04/22San Antonio
New Mexico United
0–1San Antonio21/10/21San Antonio
New Mexico United
4–2San Antonio26/09/21New Mexico United
San Antonio
0–1New Mexico United22/07/21New Mexico United
San Antonio
3–0New Mexico United17/06/21San Antonio
New Mexico United
2–0San Antonio11/10/20New Mexico United
San Antonio
0–1New Mexico United25/08/19New Mexico United
San Antonio
5–0New Mexico United05/05/19San Antonio
New Mexico United
3–0San Antonio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 |  Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 |  Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
San Antonio- ●San Antonio have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●San Antonio have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Antonio have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●San Antonio have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
New Mexico- ●New Mexico United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●New Mexico United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
San AntonioDAOakland Roots0–0
Oakland Roots0–0LALas Vegas Lights0–1
Las Vegas Lights0–1DHTampa Bay Rowdies0–0
Tampa Bay Rowdies0–0DASacramento Republic0–0
Sacramento Republic0–0LAColorado Springs1–2
Colorado Springs1–2DHFC Tulsa0–0
FC Tulsa0–0–HNew Mexico United18/10
New Mexico United18/10–HOrange County SC25/10
Orange County SC25/10New MexicoWHMonterey Bay3–1
Monterey Bay3–1WHPhoenix Rising2–1
Phoenix Rising2–1LAFC Tulsa0–1
FC Tulsa0–1LHSacramento Republic2–3
Sacramento Republic2–3DAColorado Springs0–0
Colorado Springs0–0DABirmingham Legion4–4
Birmingham Legion4–4–ASan Antonio18/10
San Antonio18/10–AEl Paso Locomotive25/10
El Paso Locomotive25/10Top Scorers
San AntonioC. Parano7 ⚽
J. Hernandez6 ⚽
D. Erofeev6 ⚽
C. Sorto5 ⚽
A. Crognale5 ⚽
E. Cuello4 ⚽
New MexicoG. Hurst12 ⚽
N. Reid-Stephen6 ⚽
D. Harris6 ⚽
V. Noel5 ⚽
K. Keller4 ⚽
Z. Bailey4 ⚽
Cards Given
San AntonioA. Ward14 🟨
J. Hernandez12 🟨
M. Maldonado9 🟨
E. Cuello7 🟨
A. Crognale7 🟨
M. Taintor7 🟨
New MexicoO. Jabang12 🟨
Z. Bailey11 🟨
N. Hamalainen8 🟨
L. Archimede7 🟨
M. Howell6 🟨
G. Hurst6 🟨