Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Detroit City — USL Championship
← Back
vs
–
–
🔒 Pro Feature
Unlock all Match Predictions
Full mathematical models, value detection and advanced filters across every league.
from€8.99/mo
billed annually · cancel anytime
Tampa Bay Rowdies and Detroit City meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Tampa Bay Rowdies have recorded 24 wins from 40 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 55% of games. Detroit City have won 49% of their 39 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 0.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 46%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.25 for Detroit City. The models give Tampa Bay Rowdies a 45% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Detroit City win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 53% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies—
Detroit City1º
Position
3º
2.06
PPG
1.69
59%
Win %
50%
1.65
Goals / game
1.44
0.88
Conceded / game
0.94
38%
BTTS %
44%
55%
Clean sheet %
46%
43%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Home (8)
—
Detroit City
Away (8)
1.75
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
25%
1.88
Goals / game
1.38
1.25
Conceded / game
1.38
30%
BTTS %
44%
65%
Clean sheet %
39%
50%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tampa Bay | Home | Away | Detroit City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 90% | 80% | 74% | 81% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 65% | 45% | 31% | 29% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 30% | 20% | 10% | 10% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 10% | 20% | 26% | 19% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Tampa Bay | Home | Away | Detroit City | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 45% | 35% | 55% | 54% | 48% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 21% | 10% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 10% | 5% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 55% | 65% | 45% | 46% | 52% | 39% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tampa Bay | Detroit City | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 54% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 36% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 5% |
| BTTS | 38% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 18% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 33% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tampa Bay | Detroit City | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 34% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 45% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 47% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 8% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 29% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
Tampa Bay (H)L
Miami FC1–2
Miami FC1–2W
Birmingham Legion4–0
Birmingham Legion4–0W
Brooklyn2–0
Brooklyn2–0W
Rhode Island2–0
Rhode Island2–0D
Louisville City0–0
Louisville City0–0WLouisville City5–4
Louisville City5–4Detroit City (A)WBrooklyn3–1
Brooklyn3–1L
Sacramento Republic0–1
Sacramento Republic0–1DLouisville City0–0
Louisville City0–0W
FC Tulsa1–0
FC Tulsa1–0DMiami FC2–2
Miami FC2–2W
Fort Wayne2–1
Fort Wayne2–1Head to Head · 10 matches
3
Tampa Bay
30%
3
Draws
30%
4
Detroit City
40%
60%
Over 1.5
6/10
20%
Over 2.5
2/10
20%
Over 3.5
2/10
50%
BTTS
5/10
22/08/26Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
1–0Tampa Bay Rowdies25/10/25Detroit City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–1Detroit City23/08/25Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
2–0Tampa Bay Rowdies02/11/24Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
1–1Tampa Bay Rowdies21/08/24Detroit City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
2–3Detroit City06/07/24Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
1–1Tampa Bay Rowdies13/05/23Detroit City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
5–1Detroit City29/04/23Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
0–1Tampa Bay Rowdies17/09/22Tampa Bay Rowdies
Detroit City
1–0Tampa Bay Rowdies06/08/22Detroit City
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–0Detroit City| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 |  El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 |  New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 |  Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |  Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 |  Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 |  Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
Tampa Bay- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Detroit City- ●Detroit City have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Detroit City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Detroit City have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Detroit City have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Detroit City have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●75% of Detroit City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Tampa BayWAIndy Eleven3–1
Indy Eleven3–1LHMiami FC1–2
Miami FC1–2DASan Antonio0–0
San Antonio0–0WHBirmingham Legion4–0
Birmingham Legion4–0LAHartford Athletic1–3
Hartford Athletic1–3WHBrooklyn2–0
Brooklyn2–0–HDetroit City17/10
Detroit City17/10–HSporting JAX24/10
Sporting JAX24/10Detroit CityWHRhode Island1–0
Rhode Island1–0WHBirmingham Legion1–0
Birmingham Legion1–0WABrooklyn3–1
Brooklyn3–1DHColorado Springs0–0
Colorado Springs0–0WHPittsburgh Riverhounds1–0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0LASacramento Republic0–1
Sacramento Republic0–1–ATampa Bay Rowdies17/10
Tampa Bay Rowdies17/10–ALouisville City24/10
Louisville City24/10Top Scorers
Tampa BayM. Myers16 ⚽
R. Cicerone6 ⚽
M. Micaletto6 ⚽
L. Perez6 ⚽
S. Cruz5 ⚽
K. Henderlong4 ⚽
Detroit CityD. Smith16 ⚽
M. Rodriguez4 ⚽
A. Diouf3 ⚽
K. Hernandez-Foster3 ⚽
C. Egbuchulam2 ⚽
B. Morris2 ⚽
Cards Given
Tampa BayL. Perez10 🟨
M. Schneider9 🟨
C. Ostrem8 🟨
N. Dossantos7 🟨
L. Hilton5 🟨
Pedro Becker5 🟨
Detroit CityA. Diouf8 🟨
K. Hernandez-Foster7 🟨
A. Diop7 🟨
D. Amoo-Mensah7 🟨
H. Yamazaki6 🟨
M. Rodriguez5 🟨