Birmingham Legion vs Loudoun United — USL Championship
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Birmingham Legion and Loudoun United meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Birmingham Legion have recorded 6 wins from 30 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Loudoun United have won 21% of their 38 matches, with 1.29 goals scored and 1.66 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 61%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.36 for Birmingham Legion and 1.06 for Loudoun United. The models give Birmingham Legion a 42% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Loudoun United win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 44% and BTTS at 49%.
Season Statistics
Birmingham Legion—
Loudoun United11º
Position
10º
0.93
PPG
0.94
13%
Win %
13%
1.07
Goals / game
1.19
1.27
Conceded / game
1.81
63%
BTTS %
61%
23%
Clean sheet %
26%
57%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Birmingham Legion
Home (9)
—
Loudoun United
Away (7)
0.89
PPG
1.14
11%
Win %
29%
0.78
Goals / game
0.86
1.00
Conceded / game
1.71
56%
BTTS %
55%
38%
Clean sheet %
25%
56%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Birmingham Legion | Home | Away | Loudoun United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 77% | 81% | 71% | 74% | 78% | 70% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 43% | 44% | 43% | 37% | 56% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 17% | 25% | 7% | 13% | 22% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 23% | 19% | 29% | 26% | 22% | 30% |
Goals Conceded
| Birmingham Legion | Home | Away | Loudoun United | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 63% | 93% | 74% | 72% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 38% | 57% | 47% | 50% | 45% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 13% | 29% | 26% | 28% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 38% | 7% | 26% | 28% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Birmingham Legion | Loudoun United | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 43% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 17% | 24% |
| BTTS | 63% | 61% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 8% |
| BTTS & Draw | 33% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 47% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Birmingham Legion | Loudoun United | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 11% |
| Draw 1st Half | 63% | 47% |
| Loss 1st Half | 17% | 42% |
| Scored 1st Half | 57% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 61% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 40% | 39% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 61% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 39% |
Recent Venue Form
Birmingham Legion (H)W
Brooklyn4–0
Brooklyn4–0D
New Mexico United4–4
New Mexico United4–4D
Charleston Battery2–2
Charleston Battery2–2L
Sporting JAX2–3
Sporting JAX2–3W
Rhode Island1–0
Rhode Island1–0W
FC Tulsa3–1
FC Tulsa3–1Loudoun United (A)W
Miami FC2–0
Miami FC2–0WSporting JAX4–1
Sporting JAX4–1L
Louisville City1–2
Louisville City1–2L
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1L
El Paso Locomotive1–4
El Paso Locomotive1–4D
Detroit City0–0
Detroit City0–0Head to Head · 12 matches
6
Birmingham Legion
50%
3
Draws
25%
3
Loudoun United
25%
83%
Over 1.5
10/12
58%
Over 2.5
7/12
42%
Over 3.5
5/12
67%
BTTS
8/12
21/06/26Loudoun United
Birmingham Legion
1–1Loudoun United04/04/26Birmingham Legion
Loudoun United
2–2Birmingham Legion04/10/25Birmingham Legion
Loudoun United
0–1Birmingham Legion09/03/25Loudoun United
Birmingham Legion
1–3Loudoun United14/09/24Birmingham Legion
Loudoun United
4–2Birmingham Legion07/04/24Loudoun United
Birmingham Legion
3–1Loudoun United22/06/23Loudoun United
Birmingham Legion
2–0Loudoun United15/04/23Birmingham Legion
Loudoun United
3–0Birmingham Legion28/07/22Loudoun United
Birmingham Legion
6–1Loudoun United24/04/22Birmingham Legion
Loudoun United
1–2Birmingham Legion28/08/19Birmingham Legion
Loudoun United
1–1Birmingham Legion28/04/19Loudoun United
Birmingham Legion
1–0Loudoun United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 |  Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 |  Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |  Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 |  Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 |  Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
Birmingham Legion- ●Birmingham Legion have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Birmingham Legion have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Birmingham Legion have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Birmingham Legion failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Birmingham Legion failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Birmingham Legion have scored in 9 of their 12 away matches.
Loudoun United- ●Loudoun United have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Loudoun United have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Loudoun United have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Loudoun United failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Loudoun United have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
Birmingham LegionLADetroit City0–1
Detroit City0–1WHBrooklyn4–0
Brooklyn4–0LATampa Bay Rowdies0–4
Tampa Bay Rowdies0–4DHNew Mexico United4–4
New Mexico United4–4DHCharleston Battery2–2
Charleston Battery2–2DAIndy Eleven2–2
Indy Eleven2–2–ASporting JAX14/10
Sporting JAX14/10–HLoudoun United18/10
Loudoun United18/10–ABrooklyn21/10
Brooklyn21/10Loudoun UnitedWAMiami FC2–0
Miami FC2–0DHIndy Eleven1–1
Indy Eleven1–1WASporting JAX4–1
Sporting JAX4–1LALouisville City1–2
Louisville City1–2LAPittsburgh Riverhounds0–1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds0–1LHColorado Springs4–5
Colorado Springs4–5–ARhode Island14/10
Rhode Island14/10–ABirmingham Legion18/10
Birmingham Legion18/10–HBrooklyn24/10
Brooklyn24/10Top Scorers
Birmingham LegionR. Williams9 ⚽
R. Damus6 ⚽
T. Pasher5 ⚽
S. Tregarthen5 ⚽
P. Vassell5 ⚽
S. Saucedo4 ⚽
Loudoun UnitedT. Ulfarsson10 ⚽
E. Davis III8 ⚽
A. Aboukoura5 ⚽
A. Ordonez3 ⚽
3 ⚽
C. Torres2 ⚽
Cards Given
Birmingham LegionS. Antwi9 🟨
R. Williams8 🟨
J. Heaps7 🟨
G. Diarbian6 🟨
S. McIllhatton4 🟨
S. Saucedo4 🟨
Loudoun UnitedB. Akinyode11 🟨
K. Awuah7 🟨
J. Murphy7 🟨
P. Santos6 🟨
N. Adnan6 🟨
J. Erlandson4 🟨