El Paso Locomotive vs New Mexico United — USL Championship
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El Paso Locomotive and New Mexico United meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 25 October 2026. El Paso Locomotive have recorded 20 wins from 37 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.78 goals scored and 1.35 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. New Mexico United have won 50% of their 38 matches, with 1.63 goals scored and 1.45 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 55%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for El Paso Locomotive and 1.47 for New Mexico United. The models give El Paso Locomotive a 40% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an New Mexico United win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
El Paso Locomotive—
New Mexico United8º
Position
4º
1.38
PPG
1.71
38%
Win %
50%
1.69
Goals / game
1.36
1.56
Conceded / game
1.07
62%
BTTS %
55%
27%
Clean sheet %
29%
65%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
El Paso Locomotive
Home (7)
—
New Mexico United
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
1.43
29%
Win %
43%
1.71
Goals / game
1.00
2.29
Conceded / game
1.00
71%
BTTS %
38%
24%
Clean sheet %
38%
59%
Over 2.5 %
50%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| El Paso | Home | Away | New Mexico | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 89% | 94% | 85% | 76% | 91% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 57% | 59% | 55% | 50% | 64% | 31% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 18% | 25% | 24% | 27% | 19% |
| Failed To Score | 11% | 6% | 15% | 24% | 9% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| El Paso | Home | Away | New Mexico | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 76% | 70% | 71% | 77% | 63% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 35% | 41% | 30% | 39% | 41% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 16% | 24% | 10% | 21% | 18% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 24% | 30% | 29% | 23% | 38% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| El Paso | New Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 65% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 42% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 24% |
| BTTS | 62% | 55% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 54% | 53% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| El Paso | New Mexico | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 22% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 65% | 45% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 50% |
| Win 2nd Half | 35% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 38% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 59% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 57% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 51% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
El Paso (H)W
Orange County SC2–1
Orange County SC2–1D
FC Tulsa1–1
FC Tulsa1–1W
Loudoun United4–1
Loudoun United4–1W
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1
Pittsburgh Riverhounds2–1W
Oakland Roots1–0
Oakland Roots1–0W
Monterey Bay1–0
Monterey Bay1–0New Mexico (A)LFC Tulsa0–1
FC Tulsa0–1D
Colorado Springs0–0
Colorado Springs0–0D
Birmingham Legion4–4
Birmingham Legion4–4W
Las Vegas Lights2–1
Las Vegas Lights2–1DLoudoun United0–0
Loudoun United0–0WMonterey Bay5–2
Monterey Bay5–2Head to Head · 27 matches
7
El Paso
26%
10
Draws
37%
10
New Mexico
37%
81%
Over 1.5
22/27
67%
Over 2.5
18/27
41%
Over 3.5
11/27
67%
BTTS
18/27
12/07/26New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
0–2New Mexico United07/05/26El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
2–2El Paso Locomotive02/04/26El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
0–4El Paso Locomotive28/02/26New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
4–1New Mexico United04/05/25New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
3–0New Mexico United17/04/25El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
2–2El Paso Locomotive22/03/25El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
1–0El Paso Locomotive01/03/25El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
2–2El Paso Locomotive28/07/24New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
1–2New Mexico United07/04/24El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
3–2El Paso Locomotive02/07/23New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
0–1New Mexico United04/06/23El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
0–1El Paso Locomotive19/02/23El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
3–1El Paso Locomotive19/02/23New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
1–3New Mexico United03/09/22El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
1–2El Paso Locomotive20/03/22New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
1–2New Mexico United15/08/21El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
1–1El Paso Locomotive25/07/21El Paso Locomotive
New Mexico United
0–0El Paso Locomotive04/07/21New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
2–1New Mexico United09/05/21New Mexico United
El Paso Locomotive
1–1New Mexico United| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 |  Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 |  Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 | Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 |  Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 | Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
El Paso- ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●El Paso Locomotive have scored 63% of their goals in the first half.
New Mexico- ●New Mexico United have won their last 2 matches.
- ●New Mexico United have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●New Mexico United have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
El PasoWHOrange County SC2–1
Orange County SC2–1LALexington1–3
Lexington1–3DHFC Tulsa1–1
FC Tulsa1–1WAPhoenix Rising3–1
Phoenix Rising3–1WALouisville City2–1
Louisville City2–1WHLoudoun United4–1
Loudoun United4–1–HSacramento Republic18/10
Sacramento Republic18/10–HNew Mexico United25/10
New Mexico United25/10New MexicoWHMonterey Bay3–1
Monterey Bay3–1WHPhoenix Rising2–1
Phoenix Rising2–1LAFC Tulsa0–1
FC Tulsa0–1LHSacramento Republic2–3
Sacramento Republic2–3DAColorado Springs0–0
Colorado Springs0–0DABirmingham Legion4–4
Birmingham Legion4–4–ASan Antonio18/10
San Antonio18/10–AEl Paso Locomotive25/10
El Paso Locomotive25/10Top Scorers
El PasoR. Rubin18 ⚽
A. Mendez10 ⚽
A. Moreno8 ⚽
D. Abitia4 ⚽
E. Calvillo4 ⚽
R. Avila3 ⚽
New MexicoG. Hurst12 ⚽
N. Reid-Stephen6 ⚽
D. Harris6 ⚽
V. Noel5 ⚽
K. Keller4 ⚽
Z. Bailey4 ⚽
Cards Given
El PasoE. Calvillo10 🟨
A. Ortiz9 🟨
A. Mendez6 🟨
D. Abitia5 🟨
Gabriel Torres5 🟨
K. Twumasi5 🟨
New MexicoO. Jabang12 🟨
Z. Bailey11 🟨
N. Hamalainen8 🟨
L. Archimede7 🟨
M. Howell6 🟨
G. Hurst6 🟨