Hartford Athletic vs Rhode Island — USL Championship
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Hartford Athletic and Rhode Island meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Hartford Athletic have recorded 15 wins from 38 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 1.24 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 32% of games. Rhode Island have won 42% of their 36 matches, with 1.58 goals scored and 1.11 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 47%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.32 for Hartford Athletic and 1.35 for Rhode Island. The models give Hartford Athletic a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Rhode Island win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 50% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
Hartford Athletic—
Rhode Island9º
Position
6º
1.25
PPG
1.47
25%
Win %
40%
0.75
Goals / game
1.67
0.88
Conceded / game
1.20
47%
BTTS %
53%
32%
Clean sheet %
31%
47%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Hartford Athletic
Home (7)
—
Rhode Island
Away (7)
1.14
PPG
1.29
14%
Win %
43%
0.86
Goals / game
1.71
1.29
Conceded / game
1.57
56%
BTTS %
47%
31%
Clean sheet %
18%
63%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Hartford Athletic | Home | Away | Rhode Island | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 63% | 59% | 78% | 95% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 45% | 63% | 32% | 39% | 47% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 13% | 14% | 28% | 32% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 38% | 41% | 22% | 5% | 41% |
Goals Conceded
| Hartford Athletic | Home | Away | Rhode Island | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 68% | 69% | 68% | 69% | 58% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 31% | 32% | 25% | 16% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 6% | 9% | 8% | 11% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 32% | 31% | 32% | 31% | 42% | 18% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Hartford Athletic | Rhode Island | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 75% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 47% |
| Over 3.5 | 26% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS | 47% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 36% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Hartford Athletic | Rhode Island | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 37% | 53% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 22% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 56% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 45% | 47% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 71% | 61% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 32% | 36% |
Recent Venue Form
Hartford Athletic (H)L
Louisville City0–1
Louisville City0–1DLouisville City2–2
Louisville City2–2W
Sporting JAX2–0
Sporting JAX2–0W
Tampa Bay Rowdies3–1
Tampa Bay Rowdies3–1W
Colorado Springs2–1
Colorado Springs2–1W
Birmingham Legion3–2
Birmingham Legion3–2Rhode Island (A)L
Detroit City0–1
Detroit City0–1W
Brooklyn3–1
Brooklyn3–1L
Charleston Battery0–2
Charleston Battery0–2WSporting JAX3–0
Sporting JAX3–0L
FC Tulsa0–1
FC Tulsa0–1LTampa Bay Rowdies0–2
Tampa Bay Rowdies0–2Head to Head · 8 matches
1
Hartford Athletic
13%
4
Draws
50%
3
Rhode Island
38%
63%
Over 1.5
5/8
38%
Over 2.5
3/8
13%
Over 3.5
1/8
25%
BTTS
2/8
18/07/26Hartford Athletic
Rhode Island
1–0Hartford Athletic25/04/26Rhode Island
Hartford Athletic
0–0Rhode Island01/04/26Hartford Athletic
Rhode Island
2–0Hartford Athletic23/08/25Rhode Island
Hartford Athletic
3–0Rhode Island26/07/25Hartford Athletic
Rhode Island
2–2Hartford Athletic19/07/25Hartford Athletic
Rhode Island
0–0Hartford Athletic10/08/24Hartford Athletic
Rhode Island
3–0Hartford Athletic01/06/24Rhode Island
Hartford Athletic
1–1Rhode Island| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 |  El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 |  New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 | Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 |  Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |  Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 |  Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 |  Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
Hartford Athletic- ●Hartford Athletic have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Hartford Athletic have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Hartford Athletic have been undefeated in their last 10 home matches.
- ●Hartford Athletic have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Hartford Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Hartford Athletic have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Hartford Athletic failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 12 home matches.
Rhode Island- ●Rhode Island have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Rhode Island have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Rhode Island failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rhode Island have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Rhode Island have lost 9 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Hartford AthleticLAPittsburgh Riverhounds1–2
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–2DHLouisville City2–2
Louisville City2–2DALas Vegas Lights1–1
Las Vegas Lights1–1WHSporting JAX2–0
Sporting JAX2–0WHTampa Bay Rowdies3–1
Tampa Bay Rowdies3–1DADetroit City1–1
Detroit City1–1–HCharleston Battery14/10
Charleston Battery14/10–HBrooklyn17/10
Brooklyn17/10–HRhode Island24/10
Rhode Island24/10Rhode IslandLADetroit City0–1
Detroit City0–1WABrooklyn3–1
Brooklyn3–1WHIndy Eleven1–0
Indy Eleven1–0LACharleston Battery0–2
Charleston Battery0–2LHMiami FC1–2
Miami FC1–2WASporting JAX3–0
Sporting JAX3–0–HLoudoun United14/10
Loudoun United14/10–HPittsburgh Riverhounds17/10
Pittsburgh Riverhounds17/10–AHartford Athletic24/10
Hartford Athletic24/10Top Scorers
Hartford AthleticB. Coffey9 ⚽
M. Ngalina7 ⚽
A. Williams7 ⚽
S. Anaku4 ⚽
J. Scarlett3 ⚽
E. Samadia2 ⚽
Rhode IslandJ. Williams11 ⚽
Leo Afonso6 ⚽
J. Kwizera6 ⚽
N. Scardina4 ⚽
D. Atkinson3 ⚽
H. Bacharach Capdevila3 ⚽
Cards Given
Hartford AthleticA. Diz11 🟨
B. Makangila10 🟨
B. Burke8 🟨
B. Fischer7 🟨
A. Siaha6 🟨
J. Moreira6 🟨
Rhode IslandH. Bacharach Capdevila13 🟨
J. Kwizera9 🟨
K. Smith7 🟨
F. Nodarse6 🟨
A. Sanchez6 🟨
K. Yao6 🟨