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Louisville City vs Detroit City — USL Championship

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United States · USL Championship · Group Stage
Louisville City
Louisville City
4º · 1.50 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 1h
vs
–
–
Detroit City
Detroit City
3º · 1.69 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 14d 0h
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Louisville City and Detroit City meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Louisville City have recorded 22 wins from 46 matches this season (48% win rate), averaging 1.76 goals scored and 1.26 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Detroit City have won 49% of their 39 matches, with 1.28 goals scored and 0.74 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 36%, and clean sheets at 46%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.42 for Louisville City and 1.29 for Detroit City. The models give Louisville City a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Detroit City win at 32%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.

Season Statistics

Louisville City
—
Detroit City
4º
Position
3º
1.50
PPG
1.69
44%
Win %
50%
1.63
Goals / game
1.44
1.56
Conceded / game
0.94
57%
BTTS %
44%
35%
Clean sheet %
46%
52%
Over 2.5 %
36%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Louisville City
Home (8)
—
Detroit City
Away (8)
1.63
PPG
1.00
50%
Win %
25%
1.50
Goals / game
1.38
1.38
Conceded / game
1.38
53%
BTTS %
44%
32%
Clean sheet %
39%
47%
Over 2.5 %
44%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Louisville CityHomeAwayDetroit CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored80%79%81%74%81%67%
Over 1.5 Scored50%53%48%31%29%33%
Over 2.5 Scored24%21%26%10%10%11%
Failed To Score20%21%19%26%19%33%

Goals Conceded

Louisville CityHomeAwayDetroit CityHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded65%68%63%54%48%61%
Over 1.5 Conceded39%37%41%21%10%33%
Over 2.5 Conceded13%0%22%0%0%0%
Clean Sheets35%32%37%46%52%39%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Louisville CityDetroit City
Over 0.589%85%
Over 1.576%54%
Over 2.552%36%
Over 3.535%13%
Over 4.524%5%
BTTS57%44%
BTTS & Win24%18%
BTTS & Draw13%15%
BTTS & Over 2.550%33%
BTTS No & Over 2.52%3%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Louisville CityDetroit City
Win 1st Half30%24%
Draw 1st Half55%55%
Loss 1st Half16%21%
Scored 1st Half55%34%
Conceded 1st Half43%34%
Win 2nd Half39%45%
Draw 2nd Half34%47%
Loss 2nd Half27%8%
Scored 2nd Half57%61%
Conceded 2nd Half45%29%
Over 0.5 HT68%55%
Over 1.5 HT43%21%

Recent Venue Form

Louisville City (H)
WLoudoun United2–1
LEl Paso Locomotive1–2
DDetroit City0–0
DSan Antonio1–1
WBirmingham Legion2–1
WTrinidad and Tobago1–0
Detroit City (A)
WBrooklyn3–1
LSacramento Republic0–1
DLouisville City0–0
WFC Tulsa1–0
DMiami FC2–2
WFort Wayne2–1

Head to Head · 15 matches

7
Louisville City
47%
4
Draws
27%
4
Detroit City
27%
60%
Over 1.5
9/15
33%
Over 2.5
5/15
13%
Over 3.5
2/15
40%
BTTS
6/15
30/08/26
Louisville City
0–0
Detroit City
20/06/26
Detroit City
0–0
Louisville City
02/05/26
Detroit City
2–1
Louisville City
01/11/25
Louisville City
0–1
Detroit City
27/09/25
Detroit City
0–1
Louisville City
29/03/25
Louisville City
2–0
Detroit City
22/09/24
Detroit City
2–1
Louisville City
29/05/24
Louisville City
5–1
Detroit City
29/10/23
Louisville City
4–0
Detroit City
19/07/23
Detroit City
2–0
Louisville City
08/04/23
Louisville City
1–0
Detroit City
05/10/22
Louisville City
2–1
Detroit City
20/08/22
Detroit City
0–1
Louisville City
10/05/22
Detroit City
1–1
Louisville City
18/05/16
Louisville City
1–1
Detroit City
USL Championship
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Tampa Bay Rowdies281675+2355
1El Paso Locomotive281558+1250
2Detroit City281486+1450
2New Mexico United281477+1149
3Charleston Battery271449+1946
3Sacramento Republic2811125+1245
4Lexington2813510+1644
4Pittsburgh Riverhounds2812511+241
5FC Tulsa2811107+743
5Louisville City271179+340
6Colorado Springs281189+341
6Hartford Athletic279126+239
7Orange County SC281099-739
7Rhode Island2711511+938
8San Antonio289127039
8Miami FC299911-936
9Phoenix Rising289910-336
9Indy Eleven289712-234
10Las Vegas Lights2810612-436
10Loudoun United2751210-1027
11Oakland Roots288119-235
11Birmingham Legion2641111-723
12Monterey Bay285617-2021
12Brooklyn274617-2818
13Sporting JAX273519-4114

Team Insights

Louisville City
  • ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Louisville City have scored in each of their last 5 matches.
  • ●Louisville City have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Louisville City have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
  • ●Louisville City have scored in each of their last 14 away matches.
  • ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
  • ●Louisville City failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Louisville City have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Louisville City have scored in 14 of their 14 away matches.
Detroit City
  • ●Detroit City have won their last 3 matches.
  • ●Detroit City have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
  • ●Detroit City have won their last 2 home matches.
  • ●Detroit City have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
  • ●Detroit City have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●75% of Detroit City's goals conceded were conceded away.
Louisville CityLouisville City
WACharleston Battery2º2–0
WACharleston Battery3º2–0
WAHartford Athletic9º1–0
WAHartford Athletic1º1–0
DAHartford Athletic9º2–2
DAHartford Athletic6º2–2
WHLoudoun United10º2–1
WHLoudoun United10º2–1
LHEl Paso Locomotive8º1–2
LHEl Paso Locomotive1º1–2
Detroit CityDetroit City
WHRhode Island6º1–0
WHRhode Island7º1–0
WHBirmingham Legion11º1–0
WHBirmingham Legion11º1–0
WABrooklyn12º3–1
WABrooklyn12º3–1
DHColorado Springs3º0–0
DHColorado Springs6º0–0
WHPittsburgh Riverhounds5º1–0
WHPittsburgh Riverhounds4º1–0

Season Schedule

Louisville City
WACharleston Battery2–0
DAHartford Athletic2–2
WHLoudoun United2–1
LHEl Paso Locomotive1–2
DARhode Island1–1
DHDetroit City0–0
–HIndy Eleven17/10
–ASporting JAX21/10
–HDetroit City24/10
Detroit City
WHRhode Island1–0
WHBirmingham Legion1–0
WABrooklyn3–1
DHColorado Springs0–0
WHPittsburgh Riverhounds1–0
LASacramento Republic0–1
–ATampa Bay Rowdies17/10
–ALouisville City24/10

Top Scorers

Louisville City
J. Wilson14 ⚽
C. Donovan11 ⚽
R. Serrano7 ⚽
T. Showunmi7 ⚽
Q. Huerman5 ⚽
J. Morris5 ⚽
Detroit City
D. Smith16 ⚽
M. Rodriguez4 ⚽
A. Diouf3 ⚽
K. Hernandez-Foster3 ⚽
C. Egbuchulam2 ⚽
B. Morris2 ⚽

Cards Given

Louisville City
A. McFadden7 🟨
K. Adams6 🟨
Z. Duncan6 🟨
S. Totsch5 🟨
E. Perez5 🟨
E. Davila5 🟨
Detroit City
A. Diouf8 🟨
K. Hernandez-Foster7 🟨
A. Diop7 🟨
D. Amoo-Mensah7 🟨
H. Yamazaki6 🟨
M. Rodriguez5 🟨