Phoenix Rising vs Lexington — USL Championship
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Phoenix Rising and Lexington meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Phoenix Rising have recorded 12 wins from 36 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 58% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 17% of games. Lexington have won 49% of their 39 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.28 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 56%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 31%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.53 for Phoenix Rising and 1.35 for Lexington. The models give Phoenix Rising a 41% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lexington win at 33%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Phoenix Rising—
Lexington10º
Position
7º
1.24
PPG
1.38
29%
Win %
38%
1.35
Goals / game
1.50
1.41
Conceded / game
1.25
58%
BTTS %
56%
17%
Clean sheet %
31%
58%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Phoenix Rising
Home (9)
—
Lexington
Away (8)
1.44
PPG
1.13
33%
Win %
25%
1.67
Goals / game
1.38
1.33
Conceded / game
1.25
61%
BTTS %
74%
22%
Clean sheet %
11%
61%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Phoenix Rising | Home | Away | Lexington | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 78% | 67% | 74% | 75% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 39% | 61% | 17% | 51% | 55% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 33% | 6% | 28% | 35% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 22% | 33% | 26% | 25% | 26% |
Goals Conceded
| Phoenix Rising | Home | Away | Lexington | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 83% | 78% | 89% | 69% | 50% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 44% | 33% | 56% | 36% | 30% | 42% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 17% | 11% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 17% | 22% | 11% | 31% | 50% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Phoenix Rising | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 79% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 28% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 8% | 28% |
| BTTS | 58% | 56% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 5% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 42% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 17% | 10% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Phoenix Rising | Lexington | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 49% |
| Loss 1st Half | 33% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 53% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 64% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 54% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 75% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
Phoenix Rising (H)W
Las Vegas Lights3–2
Las Vegas Lights3–2L
El Paso Locomotive1–3
El Paso Locomotive1–3W
FC Tulsa2–1
FC Tulsa2–1W
Indy Eleven2–1
Indy Eleven2–1W
Colorado Springs3–1
Colorado Springs3–1D
Hartford Athletic0–0
Hartford Athletic0–0Lexington (A)W
Monterey Bay3–2
Monterey Bay3–2W
Oakland Roots4–1
Oakland Roots4–1L
Sporting JAX2–3
Sporting JAX2–3L
New Mexico United1–2
New Mexico United1–2L
Sacramento Republic0–1
Sacramento Republic0–1DFC Tulsa0–0
FC Tulsa0–0Head to Head · 3 matches
0
Phoenix Rising
0%
0
Draws
0%
3
Lexington
100%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
0%
BTTS
0/3
08/08/26Phoenix Rising
Lexington
1–0Phoenix Rising09/08/25Phoenix Rising
Lexington
2–0Phoenix Rising05/07/25Lexington
Phoenix Rising
0–1Lexington| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 |  Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 | New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 |  Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
Phoenix Rising- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Phoenix Rising have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●67% of Phoenix Rising's goals have been scored at home.
Lexington- ●Lexington have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Lexington have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Lexington have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Lexington failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Lexington have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Lexington have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Lexington have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Lexington failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
Phoenix RisingWHLas Vegas Lights3–2
Las Vegas Lights3–2LANew Mexico United1–2
New Mexico United1–2LAOakland Roots0–3
Oakland Roots0–3LHEl Paso Locomotive1–3
El Paso Locomotive1–3WHFC Tulsa2–1
FC Tulsa2–1DAMonterey Bay1–1
Monterey Bay1–1–AOrange County SC18/10
Orange County SC18/10–HLexington25/10
Lexington25/10LexingtonDHFC Tulsa0–0
FC Tulsa0–0WHEl Paso Locomotive3–1
El Paso Locomotive3–1WAMonterey Bay3–2
Monterey Bay3–2WHOrange County SC6–0
Orange County SC6–0WAOakland Roots4–1
Oakland Roots4–1LASporting JAX2–3
Sporting JAX2–3–ALas Vegas Lights18/10
Las Vegas Lights18/10–APhoenix Rising25/10
Phoenix Rising25/10Top Scorers
Phoenix RisingI. Sacko14 ⚽
G. Studenhofft7 ⚽
K. Arase3 ⚽
D. Badji3 ⚽
JP Scearce3 ⚽
D. Flores2 ⚽
LexingtonP. Goodrum14 ⚽
M. Epps10 ⚽
Nick Firmino8 ⚽
X. Zengue7 ⚽
A. Molloy6 ⚽
B. P. Rodrigues5 ⚽
Cards Given
Phoenix RisingJ. Moursou13 🟨
L. Biasi12 🟨
A. Pelayo8 🟨
C. Smith6 🟨
JP Scearce6 🟨
C. Dennis5 🟨
LexingtonP. Goodrum13 🟨
J. Greene7 🟨
A. Molloy6 🟨
X. Zengue6 🟨
T. Scott5 🟨
B. Ferri4 🟨