Sacramento Republic vs Oakland Roots — USL Championship
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Sacramento Republic and Oakland Roots meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Sacramento Republic have recorded 15 wins from 36 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 47% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 31%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Oakland Roots have won 28% of their 32 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Sacramento Republic and 1.27 for Oakland Roots. The models give Sacramento Republic a 51% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Oakland Roots win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 58%.
Season Statistics
Sacramento Republic—
Oakland Roots5º
Position
11º
1.53
PPG
1.24
40%
Win %
29%
1.27
Goals / game
1.47
1.00
Conceded / game
1.59
47%
BTTS %
53%
39%
Clean sheet %
28%
31%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sacramento Republic
Home (7)
—
Oakland Roots
Away (8)
1.86
PPG
1.13
57%
Win %
25%
1.57
Goals / game
1.75
1.00
Conceded / game
2.00
44%
BTTS %
47%
50%
Clean sheet %
40%
39%
Over 2.5 %
40%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sacramento Republic | Home | Away | Oakland Roots | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 75% | 83% | 67% | 69% | 65% | 73% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 50% | 17% | 31% | 24% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 19% | 22% | 17% | 9% | 12% | 7% |
| Failed To Score | 25% | 17% | 33% | 31% | 35% | 27% |
Goals Conceded
| Sacramento Republic | Home | Away | Oakland Roots | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 50% | 72% | 72% | 82% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 22% | 22% | 22% | 34% | 24% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 16% | 18% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 50% | 28% | 28% | 18% | 40% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sacramento Republic | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 89% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 69% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 31% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 22% | 28% |
| Over 4.5 | 11% | 13% |
| BTTS | 47% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 14% | 13% |
| BTTS & Draw | 28% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 22% | 38% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sacramento Republic | Oakland Roots | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 22% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 31% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 44% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 31% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 11% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 47% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 56% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 33% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Sacramento Republic (H)D
Colorado Springs1–1
Colorado Springs1–1W
Las Vegas Lights3–2
Las Vegas Lights3–2D
San Antonio0–0
San Antonio0–0W
Detroit City1–0
Detroit City1–0D
Phoenix Rising2–2
Phoenix Rising2–2W
Lexington1–0
Lexington1–0Oakland Roots (A)DColorado Springs0–0
Colorado Springs0–0W
Indy Eleven1–0
Indy Eleven1–0WSan Antonio1–0
San Antonio1–0L
El Paso Locomotive0–1
El Paso Locomotive0–1DLas Vegas Lights0–0
Las Vegas Lights0–0LLexington0–2
Lexington0–2Head to Head · 16 matches
8
Sacramento Republic
50%
6
Draws
38%
2
Oakland Roots
13%
56%
Over 1.5
9/16
50%
Over 2.5
8/16
44%
Over 3.5
7/16
56%
BTTS
9/16
26/07/26Sacramento Republic
Oakland Roots
1–3Sacramento Republic17/05/26Sacramento Republic
Oakland Roots
0–1Sacramento Republic17/08/25Oakland Roots
Sacramento Republic
3–3Oakland Roots04/05/25Sacramento Republic
Oakland Roots
0–1Sacramento Republic21/07/24Sacramento Republic
Oakland Roots
2–5Sacramento Republic16/06/24Oakland Roots
Sacramento Republic
2–3Oakland Roots03/09/23Sacramento Republic
Oakland Roots
0–1Sacramento Republic21/05/23Oakland Roots
Sacramento Republic
3–1Oakland Roots27/04/23Oakland Roots
Sacramento Republic
1–0Oakland Roots28/08/22Oakland Roots
Sacramento Republic
1–0Oakland Roots10/07/22Oakland Roots
Sacramento Republic
3–3Oakland Roots29/05/22Sacramento Republic
Oakland Roots
1–1Sacramento Republic07/10/21Sacramento Republic
Oakland Roots
2–1Sacramento Republic12/08/21Sacramento Republic
Oakland Roots
0–0Sacramento Republic08/07/21Oakland Roots
Sacramento Republic
0–0Oakland Roots03/06/21Oakland Roots
Sacramento Republic
3–3Oakland Roots| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 | Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 |  New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 |  FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 |  Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 | Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 |  Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 |  Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 | Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 | Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 |  Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
Sacramento Republic- ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 11 matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have been undefeated in their last 5 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in 12 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Sacramento Republic have scored in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of Sacramento Republic's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Sacramento Republic have conceded 58% of their goals in the first half.
Oakland Roots- ●Oakland Roots have been undefeated in their last 4 matches.
- ●Oakland Roots have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Oakland Roots have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Oakland Roots have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Oakland Roots have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Oakland Roots failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
Season Schedule
Sacramento RepublicDHColorado Springs1–1
Colorado Springs1–1DAFC Tulsa1–1
FC Tulsa1–1WHLas Vegas Lights3–2
Las Vegas Lights3–2WANew Mexico United3–2
New Mexico United3–2DHSan Antonio0–0
San Antonio0–0WHDetroit City1–0
Detroit City1–0–AEl Paso Locomotive18/10
El Paso Locomotive18/10–HOakland Roots25/10
Oakland Roots25/10Oakland RootsDHSan Antonio0–0
San Antonio0–0DAColorado Springs0–0
Colorado Springs0–0WHPhoenix Rising3–0
Phoenix Rising3–0WAIndy Eleven1–0
Indy Eleven1–0LHLexington1–4
Lexington1–4DHOrange County SC1–1
Orange County SC1–1–AFC Tulsa18/10
FC Tulsa18/10–ASacramento Republic25/10
Sacramento Republic25/10Top Scorers
Sacramento RepublicK. Edwards11 ⚽
T. Wolff6 ⚽
M. Rodriguez6 ⚽
F. Ajago5 ⚽
M. Benitez5 ⚽
M. Malango4 ⚽
Oakland RootsP. Wilson13 ⚽
W. Prentice5 ⚽
B. Jacquesson3 ⚽
F. Valot3 ⚽
D. Trejo2 ⚽
T. Lepley2 ⚽
Cards Given
Sacramento RepublicD. Crisostomo11 🟨
A. Essel10 🟨
M. Kaye5 🟨
F. Ajago5 🟨
F. Kleemann5 🟨
A. Rodriguez4 🟨
Oakland RootsT. McCabe7 🟨
K. Tingey5 🟨
J. de Vicente5 🟨
N. Hackshaw4 🟨
M. Edwards4 🟨
F. Valot4 🟨