San Antonio vs Orange County SC — USL Championship
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San Antonio and Orange County SC meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 25 October 2026. San Antonio have recorded 16 wins from 42 matches this season (38% win rate), averaging 1.14 goals scored and 1.02 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 36% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 38%; and clean sheets in 45% of games. Orange County SC have won 30% of their 37 matches, with 1.22 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 59%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 22%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.43 for San Antonio and 1.31 for Orange County SC. The models give San Antonio a 42% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Orange County SC win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 56%.
Season Statistics
San Antonio—
Orange County SC2º
Position
1º
1.65
PPG
1.82
41%
Win %
47%
1.29
Goals / game
1.59
1.12
Conceded / game
1.12
36%
BTTS %
59%
45%
Clean sheet %
22%
38%
Over 2.5 %
51%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
San Antonio
Home (8)
—
Orange County SC
Away (11)
1.88
PPG
1.82
50%
Win %
45%
1.38
Goals / game
1.82
0.88
Conceded / game
1.36
32%
BTTS %
74%
50%
Clean sheet %
11%
45%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| San Antonio | Home | Away | Orange County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 52% | 55% | 50% | 78% | 72% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 41% | 25% | 30% | 28% | 32% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 14% | 18% | 10% | 11% | 11% | 11% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 45% | 50% | 22% | 28% | 16% |
Goals Conceded
| San Antonio | Home | Away | Orange County | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 55% | 50% | 60% | 78% | 67% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 23% | 30% | 51% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 10% | 14% | 5% | 16% | 22% | 11% |
| Clean Sheets | 45% | 50% | 40% | 22% | 33% | 11% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Antonio | Orange County | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 71% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 81% |
| Over 2.5 | 38% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 19% |
| BTTS | 36% | 59% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 31% | 41% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 7% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Antonio | Orange County | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 49% |
| Loss 1st Half | 20% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 40% | 40% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 30% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 40% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 55% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 34% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 38% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 60% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 37% |
Recent Venue Form
San Antonio (H)L
SV Darmstadt 980–7
SV Darmstadt 980–7D
Tampa Bay Rowdies0–0
Tampa Bay Rowdies0–0D
Louisville City0–0
Louisville City0–0D
FC Tulsa0–0
FC Tulsa0–0L
Oakland Roots0–1
Oakland Roots0–1L
El Paso Locomotive0–3
El Paso Locomotive0–3Orange County (A)LEl Paso Locomotive1–2
El Paso Locomotive1–2L
Lexington0–6
Lexington0–6DOakland Roots1–1
Oakland Roots1–1W
Monterey Bay2–1
Monterey Bay2–1D
Hartford Athletic2–2
Hartford Athletic2–2D
Rhode Island1–1
Rhode Island1–1Head to Head · 18 matches
5
San Antonio
28%
6
Draws
33%
7
Orange County
39%
56%
Over 1.5
10/18
33%
Over 2.5
6/18
22%
Over 3.5
4/18
28%
BTTS
5/18
09/04/26San Antonio
Orange County SC
2–0San Antonio16/10/25San Antonio
Orange County SC
1–0San Antonio21/09/25Orange County SC
San Antonio
3–1Orange County SC21/07/24San Antonio
Orange County SC
2–0San Antonio14/04/24Orange County SC
San Antonio
0–0Orange County SC08/10/23San Antonio
Orange County SC
1–0San Antonio24/09/23Orange County SC
San Antonio
4–0Orange County SC16/10/22Orange County SC
San Antonio
2–2Orange County SC10/04/22San Antonio
Orange County SC
0–1San Antonio21/11/21San Antonio
Orange County SC
1–1San Antonio21/07/19San Antonio
Orange County SC
0–0San Antonio12/05/19Orange County SC
San Antonio
0–0Orange County SC15/07/18San Antonio
Orange County SC
3–0San Antonio15/04/18Orange County SC
San Antonio
0–3Orange County SC14/09/17San Antonio
Orange County SC
0–1San Antonio06/08/17Orange County SC
San Antonio
1–1Orange County SC24/06/16Orange County SC
San Antonio
3–2Orange County SC17/04/16San Antonio
Orange County SC
1–0San Antonio| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 |  Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 |  New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 |  Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 | Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 | FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 |  Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 | San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 |  Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |  Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 | Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 |  Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 | Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 |  Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 |  Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
San Antonio- ●San Antonio have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●San Antonio have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Antonio have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●San Antonio have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
Orange County- ●Orange County SC have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Orange County SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Orange County SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Orange County SC have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Orange County SC have scored in 13 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
San AntonioDAOakland Roots0–0
Oakland Roots0–0LALas Vegas Lights0–1
Las Vegas Lights0–1DHTampa Bay Rowdies0–0
Tampa Bay Rowdies0–0DASacramento Republic0–0
Sacramento Republic0–0LAColorado Springs1–2
Colorado Springs1–2DHFC Tulsa0–0
FC Tulsa0–0–HNew Mexico United18/10
New Mexico United18/10–HOrange County SC25/10
Orange County SC25/10Orange CountyLAEl Paso Locomotive1–2
El Paso Locomotive1–2LHMonterey Bay1–2
Monterey Bay1–2WHPittsburgh Riverhounds1–0
Pittsburgh Riverhounds1–0LALexington0–6
Lexington0–6LHLas Vegas Lights0–2
Las Vegas Lights0–2DHSacramento Republic1–1
Sacramento Republic1–1–HPhoenix Rising18/10
Phoenix Rising18/10–ASan Antonio25/10
San Antonio25/10Top Scorers
San AntonioC. Parano7 ⚽
J. Hernandez6 ⚽
D. Erofeev6 ⚽
C. Sorto5 ⚽
A. Crognale5 ⚽
E. Cuello4 ⚽
Orange CountyY. Bazini8 ⚽
O. Sylla8 ⚽
C. Hegardt5 ⚽
S. Kelly5 ⚽
L. MacKinnon4 ⚽
N. Benalcazar3 ⚽
Cards Given
San AntonioA. Ward14 🟨
J. Hernandez12 🟨
M. Maldonado9 🟨
E. Cuello7 🟨
A. Crognale7 🟨
M. Taintor7 🟨
Orange CountyT. Brewitt9 🟨
G. Tubbs8 🟨
C. Hegardt5 🟨
A. Marinch5 🟨
S. Kelly5 🟨
L. MacKinnon4 🟨