Tampa Bay Rowdies vs Sporting JAX — USL Championship
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Tampa Bay Rowdies and Sporting JAX meet in the USL Championship 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Tampa Bay Rowdies have recorded 24 wins from 40 matches this season (60% win rate), averaging 1.75 goals scored and 0.82 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 43%; and clean sheets in 55% of games. Sporting JAX have won 14% of their 35 matches, with 1.11 goals scored and 2.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 66%, and clean sheets at 3%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Tampa Bay Rowdies and 1.03 for Sporting JAX. The models give Tampa Bay Rowdies a 64% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Sporting JAX win at 14%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 56% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Tampa Bay Rowdies—
Sporting JAX1º
Position
13º
2.06
PPG
0.44
59%
Win %
6%
1.65
Goals / game
1.28
0.88
Conceded / game
2.56
38%
BTTS %
57%
55%
Clean sheet %
3%
43%
Over 2.5 %
66%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Tampa Bay Rowdies
Home (8)
—
Sporting JAX
Away (9)
1.75
PPG
0.22
50%
Win %
0%
1.88
Goals / game
0.78
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
30%
BTTS %
53%
65%
Clean sheet %
5%
50%
Over 2.5 %
58%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Tampa Bay | Home | Away | Sporting JAX | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 85% | 90% | 80% | 60% | 63% | 58% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 65% | 45% | 40% | 56% | 26% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 30% | 20% | 9% | 13% | 5% |
| Failed To Score | 15% | 10% | 20% | 40% | 38% | 42% |
Goals Conceded
| Tampa Bay | Home | Away | Sporting JAX | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 45% | 35% | 55% | 97% | 100% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 25% | 25% | 25% | 69% | 69% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 10% | 5% | 37% | 44% | 32% |
| Clean Sheets | 55% | 65% | 45% | 3% | 0% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Tampa Bay | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 73% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 43% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 30% | 49% |
| Over 4.5 | 10% | 31% |
| BTTS | 38% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 13% | 11% |
| BTTS & Draw | 18% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Tampa Bay | Sporting JAX | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 55% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 28% | 21% |
| Loss 1st Half | 18% | 55% |
| Scored 1st Half | 55% | 42% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 25% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 43% | 15% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 27% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 58% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 38% | 79% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 73% | 85% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 28% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Tampa Bay (H)L
Miami FC1–2
Miami FC1–2W
Birmingham Legion4–0
Birmingham Legion4–0W
Brooklyn2–0
Brooklyn2–0W
Rhode Island2–0
Rhode Island2–0D
Louisville City0–0
Louisville City0–0WLouisville City5–4
Louisville City5–4Sporting JAX (A)LMiami FC1–4
Miami FC1–4L
Hartford Athletic0–2
Hartford Athletic0–2LBrooklyn1–4
Brooklyn1–4WBirmingham Legion3–2
Birmingham Legion3–2L
Sacramento Republic0–5
Sacramento Republic0–5L
El Paso Locomotive0–2
El Paso Locomotive0–2Head to Head · 3 matches
3
Tampa Bay
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Sporting JAX
0%
33%
Over 1.5
1/3
0%
Over 2.5
0/3
0%
Over 3.5
0/3
0%
BTTS
0/3
06/06/26Tampa Bay Rowdies
Sporting JAX
0–2Tampa Bay Rowdies04/04/26Tampa Bay Rowdies
Sporting JAX
0–1Tampa Bay Rowdies28/02/26Sporting JAX
Tampa Bay Rowdies
1–0Sporting JAX| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tampa Bay Rowdies | 28 | 16 | 7 | 5 | +23 | 55 |
| 1 | El Paso Locomotive | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +12 | 50 |
| 2 |  Detroit City | 28 | 14 | 8 | 6 | +14 | 50 |
| 2 |  New Mexico United | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | +11 | 49 |
| 3 |  Charleston Battery | 27 | 14 | 4 | 9 | +19 | 46 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic | 28 | 11 | 12 | 5 | +12 | 45 |
| 4 |  Lexington | 28 | 13 | 5 | 10 | +16 | 44 |
| 4 |  Pittsburgh Riverhounds | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | +2 | 41 |
| 5 |  FC Tulsa | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 43 |
| 5 | Louisville City | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | +3 | 40 |
| 6 |  Colorado Springs | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +3 | 41 |
| 6 | Hartford Athletic | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 |  Orange County SC | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | -7 | 39 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 27 | 11 | 5 | 11 | +9 | 38 |
| 8 |  San Antonio | 28 | 9 | 12 | 7 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Miami FC | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | -9 | 36 |
| 9 |  Phoenix Rising | 28 | 9 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 9 |  Indy Eleven | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | -2 | 34 |
| 10 |  Las Vegas Lights | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | -4 | 36 |
| 10 |  Loudoun United | 27 | 5 | 12 | 10 | -10 | 27 |
| 11 |  Oakland Roots | 28 | 8 | 11 | 9 | -2 | 35 |
| 11 | Birmingham Legion | 26 | 4 | 11 | 11 | -7 | 23 |
| 12 |  Monterey Bay | 28 | 5 | 6 | 17 | -20 | 21 |
| 12 | Brooklyn | 27 | 4 | 6 | 17 | -28 | 18 |
| 13 | Sporting JAX | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | -41 | 14 |
Team Insights
Tampa Bay- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Tampa Bay Rowdies have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Sporting JAX- ●Sporting JAX have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 27 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 10 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have lost 8 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Sporting JAX failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Sporting JAX have lost 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●63% of Sporting JAX's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Tampa BayWAIndy Eleven3–1
Indy Eleven3–1LHMiami FC1–2
Miami FC1–2DASan Antonio0–0
San Antonio0–0WHBirmingham Legion4–0
Birmingham Legion4–0LAHartford Athletic1–3
Hartford Athletic1–3WHBrooklyn2–0
Brooklyn2–0–HDetroit City17/10
Detroit City17/10–HSporting JAX24/10
Sporting JAX24/10Sporting JAXLAMiami FC1–4
Miami FC1–4LHLoudoun United1–4
Loudoun United1–4LAHartford Athletic0–2
Hartford Athletic0–2LHRhode Island0–3
Rhode Island0–3WHLexington3–2
Lexington3–2LABrooklyn1–4
Brooklyn1–4–HBirmingham Legion14/10
Birmingham Legion14/10–HLouisville City21/10
Louisville City21/10–ATampa Bay Rowdies24/10
Tampa Bay Rowdies24/10Top Scorers
Tampa BayM. Myers16 ⚽
R. Cicerone6 ⚽
M. Micaletto6 ⚽
L. Perez6 ⚽
S. Cruz5 ⚽
K. Henderlong4 ⚽
Sporting JAXK. Sadlier10 ⚽
E. Jaaskelainen7 ⚽
A. Al Qaq5 ⚽
R. Pedder4 ⚽
W. Kuzain4 ⚽
Jean Mota1 ⚽
Cards Given
Tampa BayL. Perez10 🟨
M. Schneider9 🟨
C. Ostrem8 🟨
N. Dossantos7 🟨
L. Hilton5 🟨
Pedro Becker5 🟨
Sporting JAXJ. Rossiter9 🟨
R. Edwards9 🟨
W. Kuzain9 🟨
H. Neville9 🟨
A. Gomez8 🟨
E. Jaaskelainen7 🟨