Greenville Triumph vs Spokane Velocity — USL League One
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Greenville Triumph and Spokane Velocity meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 14 October 2026. Greenville Triumph have recorded 7 wins from 35 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Spokane Velocity have won 54% of their 35 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.48 for Greenville Triumph and 1.35 for Spokane Velocity. The models give Greenville Triumph a 32% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Spokane Velocity win at 42%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 54% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Greenville Triumph—
Spokane Velocity16º
Position
6º
0.83
PPG
1.79
21%
Win %
54%
1.10
Goals / game
1.54
1.86
Conceded / game
1.29
51%
BTTS %
57%
11%
Clean sheet %
26%
60%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Greenville Triumph
Home (14)
—
Spokane Velocity
Away (13)
1.29
PPG
1.38
36%
Win %
38%
1.64
Goals / game
1.00
1.71
Conceded / game
1.23
69%
BTTS %
47%
19%
Clean sheet %
29%
75%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Greenville Triumph | Home | Away | Spokane Velocity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 81% | 42% | 80% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 38% | 11% | 49% | 67% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 20% | 38% | 5% | 23% | 33% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 19% | 58% | 20% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Greenville Triumph | Home | Away | Spokane Velocity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 89% | 81% | 95% | 74% | 78% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 57% | 63% | 53% | 26% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 29% | 25% | 32% | 20% | 17% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 11% | 19% | 5% | 26% | 22% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Greenville Triumph | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 6% |
| BTTS | 51% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 11% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 40% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 20% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Greenville Triumph | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 21% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 41% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 44% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 59% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 21% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 29% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 50% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 35% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Greenville Triumph (H)L
Union Omaha1–3
Union Omaha1–3L
Corpus Christi0–1
Corpus Christi0–1L
Fort Wayne1–3
Fort Wayne1–3W
Naples4–0
Naples4–0D
One Knoxville1–1
One Knoxville1–1D
Portland Hearts of Pine3–3
Portland Hearts of Pine3–3Spokane Velocity (A)WOne Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0W
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0W
Forward Madison1–0
Forward Madison1–0LUnion Omaha1–3
Union Omaha1–3D
Sarasota Paradise1–1
Sarasota Paradise1–1W
Westchester SC3–1
Westchester SC3–1Head to Head · 6 matches
3
Greenville Triumph
50%
1
Draws
17%
2
Spokane Velocity
33%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
50%
Over 3.5
3/6
50%
BTTS
3/6
23/08/26Greenville Triumph
Spokane Velocity
2–1Greenville Triumph28/09/25Greenville Triumph
Spokane Velocity
0–1Greenville Triumph29/03/25Spokane Velocity
Greenville Triumph
0–4Spokane Velocity13/10/24Greenville Triumph
Spokane Velocity
2–3Greenville Triumph26/05/24Greenville Triumph
Spokane Velocity
0–0Greenville Triumph10/03/24Spokane Velocity
Greenville Triumph
3–1Spokane Velocity| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 |  Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 |  NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |  Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Greenville Triumph- ●Greenville Triumph have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Greenville Triumph failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Greenville Triumph have lost their last 3 home matches.
- ●Greenville Triumph failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Greenville Triumph failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Greenville Triumph failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Greenville Triumph have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●72% of Greenville Triumph's goals have been scored at home.
- ●75% of Greenville Triumph's points have been earned at home.
- ●Greenville Triumph have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Spokane Velocity- ●Spokane Velocity have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●70% of Spokane Velocity's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Greenville TriumphDAAlta2–2
Alta2–2LABoise0–1
Boise0–1LHUnion Omaha1–3
Union Omaha1–3LASarasota Paradise0–6
Sarasota Paradise0–6LHCorpus Christi0–1
Corpus Christi0–1LHFort Wayne1–3
Fort Wayne1–3–HSpokane Velocity14/10
Spokane Velocity14/10–HCharlotte Independence17/10
Charlotte Independence17/10–ARichmond Kickers24/10
Richmond Kickers24/10Spokane VelocityWAOne Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0DHPortland Hearts of Pine3–3
Portland Hearts of Pine3–3WAChattanooga Red Wolves1–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0WAForward Madison1–0
Forward Madison1–0DHBoise2–2
Boise2–2LAUnion Omaha1–3
Union Omaha1–3–AGreenville Triumph14/10
Greenville Triumph14/10–HChattanooga Red Wolves18/10
Chattanooga Red Wolves18/10–ANY Cosmos21/10
NY Cosmos21/10Top Scorers
Greenville TriumphA. Liadi8 ⚽
M. Nour7 ⚽
B. Fricke4 ⚽
W. Akio3 ⚽
D. Boyce3 ⚽
R. Robles3 ⚽
Spokane VelocityN. Brett9 ⚽
S. John-Brown7 ⚽
N. Vinyals6 ⚽
L. Gil6 ⚽
A. Lewis5 ⚽
J. Gallardo4 ⚽
Cards Given
Greenville TriumphA. Liadi13 🟨
C. Herrera12 🟨
C. Evans8 🟨
R. Robles8 🟨
I. Agyaakwah6 🟨
B. Fricke6 🟨
Spokane VelocityN. Spielman6 🟨
A. Lewis6 🟨
I. Covi5 🟨
G. Margvelashvili5 🟨
C. Fernandez4 🟨
C. Miller4 🟨