NY Cosmos vs Spokane Velocity — USL League One
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NY Cosmos and Spokane Velocity meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 21 October 2026. NY Cosmos have recorded 8 wins from 34 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Spokane Velocity have won 54% of their 35 matches, with 1.51 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 60%, and clean sheets at 26%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.33 for NY Cosmos and 1.30 for Spokane Velocity. The models give NY Cosmos a 31% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Spokane Velocity win at 43%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 49% and BTTS at 54%.
Season Statistics
NY Cosmos—
Spokane Velocity15º
Position
6º
0.86
PPG
1.79
24%
Win %
54%
1.24
Goals / game
1.54
2.03
Conceded / game
1.29
68%
BTTS %
57%
15%
Clean sheet %
26%
76%
Over 2.5 %
60%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
NY Cosmos
Home (13)
—
Spokane Velocity
Away (13)
1.31
PPG
1.38
38%
Win %
38%
1.31
Goals / game
1.00
1.54
Conceded / game
1.23
63%
BTTS %
47%
25%
Clean sheet %
29%
75%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| NY Cosmos | Home | Away | Spokane Velocity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 81% | 78% | 80% | 89% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 25% | 28% | 49% | 67% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 17% | 23% | 33% | 12% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 11% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| NY Cosmos | Home | Away | Spokane Velocity | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 75% | 94% | 74% | 78% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 79% | 75% | 83% | 26% | 22% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 17% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 25% | 6% | 26% | 22% | 29% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NY Cosmos | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 77% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 60% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 37% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 6% |
| BTTS | 68% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 31% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 46% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NY Cosmos | Spokane Velocity | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 37% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 34% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 49% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 46% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 23% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 43% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
NY Cosmos (H)W
Richmond Kickers3–2
Richmond Kickers3–2L
Westchester SC1–2
Westchester SC1–2L
Sarasota Paradise1–2
Sarasota Paradise1–2W
Alta1–0
Alta1–0L
Boise1–2
Boise1–2D
Corpus Christi0–0
Corpus Christi0–0Spokane Velocity (A)W
One Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0W
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0W
Forward Madison1–0
Forward Madison1–0L
Union Omaha1–3
Union Omaha1–3DSarasota Paradise1–1
Sarasota Paradise1–1WWestchester SC3–1
Westchester SC3–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
NY Cosmos
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Spokane Velocity
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
21/03/26NY Cosmos
Spokane Velocity
3–1NY Cosmos| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 |  Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 |  Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 |  Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
NY Cosmos- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have lost 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●66% of NY Cosmos's goals conceded were conceded away.
Spokane Velocity- ●Spokane Velocity have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●70% of Spokane Velocity's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
NY CosmosLACharlotte Independence0–3
Charlotte Independence0–3LANaples1–2
Naples1–2WHRichmond Kickers3–2
Richmond Kickers3–2LHWestchester SC1–2
Westchester SC1–2LABoise1–2
Boise1–2WAFort Wayne4–2
Fort Wayne4–2–HOne Knoxville17/10
One Knoxville17/10–HSpokane Velocity21/10
Spokane Velocity21/10–HChattanooga Red Wolves24/10
Chattanooga Red Wolves24/10Spokane VelocityWAOne Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0DHPortland Hearts of Pine3–3
Portland Hearts of Pine3–3WAChattanooga Red Wolves1–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0WAForward Madison1–0
Forward Madison1–0DHBoise2–2
Boise2–2LAUnion Omaha1–3
Union Omaha1–3–AGreenville Triumph14/10
Greenville Triumph14/10–HChattanooga Red Wolves18/10
Chattanooga Red Wolves18/10–ANY Cosmos21/10
NY Cosmos21/10Top Scorers
NY CosmosS. Guenzatti11 ⚽
A. Spengler11 ⚽
L. Jawneh6 ⚽
N. Mendonca3 ⚽
J. Chavez2 ⚽
D. Galazzini2 ⚽
Spokane VelocityN. Brett9 ⚽
S. John-Brown7 ⚽
N. Vinyals6 ⚽
L. Gil6 ⚽
A. Lewis5 ⚽
J. Gallardo4 ⚽
Cards Given
NY CosmosJ. Chavez12 🟨
S. Guenzatti8 🟨
P. Bohui6 🟨
N. Cabrera6 🟨
A. Spengler6 🟨
N. Mendonca6 🟨
Spokane VelocityN. Spielman6 🟨
A. Lewis6 🟨
I. Covi5 🟨
G. Margvelashvili5 🟨
C. Fernandez4 🟨
C. Miller4 🟨