Union Omaha vs Fort Wayne — USL League One
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Union Omaha and Fort Wayne meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Union Omaha have recorded 23 wins from 38 matches this season (61% win rate), averaging 1.92 goals scored and 1.34 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 63% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Fort Wayne have won 31% of their 32 matches, with 1.53 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 63%, Over 2.5 at 63%, and clean sheets at 25%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.83 for Union Omaha and 1.21 for Fort Wayne. The models give Union Omaha a 57% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Fort Wayne win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 59%.
Season Statistics
Union Omaha—
Fort Wayne1º
Position
8º
2.10
PPG
1.41
66%
Win %
37%
1.83
Goals / game
1.56
1.07
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
63%
16%
Clean sheet %
25%
63%
Over 2.5 %
63%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Union Omaha
Home (15)
—
Fort Wayne
Away (14)
2.47
PPG
1.36
73%
Win %
36%
2.20
Goals / game
1.43
0.93
Conceded / game
1.43
76%
BTTS %
71%
24%
Clean sheet %
12%
65%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Union Omaha | Home | Away | Fort Wayne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 100% | 62% | 84% | 87% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 66% | 76% | 57% | 47% | 60% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 26% | 29% | 24% | 19% | 20% | 18% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 0% | 38% | 16% | 13% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Union Omaha | Home | Away | Fort Wayne | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 76% | 90% | 75% | 60% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 32% | 29% | 33% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 8% | 6% | 10% | 19% | 13% | 24% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 24% | 10% | 25% | 40% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Union Omaha | Fort Wayne | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 89% | 91% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 63% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 38% |
| Over 4.5 | 16% | 13% |
| BTTS | 63% | 63% |
| BTTS & Win | 45% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 11% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 58% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Union Omaha | Fort Wayne | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 30% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 46% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 24% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 56% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 51% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 49% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 30% | 28% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 22% | 41% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 70% | 50% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 76% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 44% |
Recent Venue Form
Union Omaha (H)W
One Knoxville2–1
One Knoxville2–1W
Spokane Velocity3–1
Spokane Velocity3–1W
Charlotte Independence2–0
Charlotte Independence2–0D
NY Cosmos1–1
NY Cosmos1–1D
Sarasota Paradise1–1
Sarasota Paradise1–1W
Richmond Kickers5–1
Richmond Kickers5–1Fort Wayne (A)DCharlotte Independence1–1
Charlotte Independence1–1W
Greenville Triumph3–1
Greenville Triumph3–1W
Portland Hearts of Pine4–1
Portland Hearts of Pine4–1L
Alta0–3
Alta0–3LSpokane Velocity1–3
Spokane Velocity1–3LOne Knoxville1–2
One Knoxville1–2Head to Head · 2 matches
2
Union Omaha
100%
0
Draws
0%
0
Fort Wayne
0%
100%
Over 1.5
2/2
50%
Over 2.5
1/2
50%
Over 3.5
1/2
50%
BTTS
1/2
01/08/26Union Omaha
Fort Wayne
0–2Union Omaha07/06/26Fort Wayne
Union Omaha
4–2Fort Wayne| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Union Omaha | 29 | 19 | 4 | 6 | +22 | 61 |
| 2 | Charlotte Independence | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | +24 | 57 |
| 3 |  Forward Madison | 28 | 15 | 6 | 7 | +23 | 51 |
| 4 | One Knoxville | 27 | 13 | 8 | 6 | +13 | 47 |
| 5 |  Boise | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +5 | 46 |
| 6 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | +8 | 43 |
| 7 | Spokane Velocity | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +4 | 43 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | +6 | 38 |
| 9 |  Corpus Christi | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | -5 | 36 |
| 10 | Sarasota Paradise | 27 | 9 | 6 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 11 | Alta | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | -6 | 32 |
| 12 |  Naples | 27 | 9 | 4 | 14 | -13 | 31 |
| 13 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | -10 | 30 |
| 14 |  Westchester SC | 27 | 8 | 5 | 14 | +1 | 29 |
| 15 | Greenville Triumph | 27 | 6 | 5 | 16 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | NY Cosmos | 26 | 6 | 4 | 16 | -20 | 22 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 26 | 5 | 5 | 16 | -28 | 20 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Union Omaha- ●Union Omaha have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Union Omaha have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Union Omaha have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Union Omaha have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Union Omaha have scored in each of their last 15 home matches.
- ●Union Omaha have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Union Omaha failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Union Omaha have scored in 15 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Union Omaha failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Union Omaha have won 8 of their 14 away matches.
- ●62% of Union Omaha's goals have been scored at home.
Fort Wayne- ●Fort Wayne have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fort Wayne failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fort Wayne have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Fort Wayne have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fort Wayne have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fort Wayne failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Fort Wayne have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Fort Wayne failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Fort Wayne have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Fort Wayne have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
Season Schedule
Union OmahaWAGreenville Triumph3–1
Greenville Triumph3–1WHOne Knoxville2–1
One Knoxville2–1WHSpokane Velocity3–1
Spokane Velocity3–1WACorpus Christi2–1
Corpus Christi2–1WHCharlotte Independence2–0
Charlotte Independence2–0DHNY Cosmos1–1
NY Cosmos1–1–ATormenta04/10
Tormenta04/10–HFort Wayne10/10
Fort Wayne10/10–AWestchester SC17/10
Westchester SC17/10Fort WayneDACharlotte Independence1–1
Charlotte Independence1–1DHNaples2–2
Naples2–2LHOne Knoxville2–3
One Knoxville2–3WAGreenville Triumph3–1
Greenville Triumph3–1LHNY Cosmos2–4
NY Cosmos2–4WHRichmond Kickers2–0
Richmond Kickers2–0–HForward Madison03/10
Forward Madison03/10–ACorpus Christi08/10
Corpus Christi08/10–AUnion Omaha10/10
Union Omaha10/10Top Scorers
Union OmahaS. Ors Navarro14 ⚽
D. Gutierrez11 ⚽
K. Tekiela8 ⚽
P. Botello Faz7 ⚽
A. Gomez6 ⚽
A. Gavilanes5 ⚽
Fort WayneT. Healy11 ⚽
R. Becher10 ⚽
L. Ricol9 ⚽
J. Thomas4 ⚽
T. Dias3 ⚽
K. Gafar2 ⚽
Cards Given
Union OmahaL. Wootton9 🟨
B. Kallman8 🟨
Y. Boudadi7 🟨
S. Guediri7 🟨
E. Caceres6 🟨
S. Owusu6 🟨
Fort WayneT. Dias12 🟨
J. Jordan11 🟨
J. Armas7 🟨
E. Nieto7 🟨
M. Rempel7 🟨
J. Solis5 🟨