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Forward Madison vs Portland Hearts of Pine — USL League One

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Forward Madison
Forward Madison
3º · 1.73 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 23h
vs
–
–
Portland Hearts of Pine
Portland Hearts of Pine
14º · 1.03 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 1h
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Forward Madison and Portland Hearts of Pine meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Forward Madison have recorded 16 wins from 36 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Portland Hearts of Pine have won 22% of their 37 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 81%, Over 2.5 at 68%, and clean sheets at 8%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.16 for Forward Madison and 1.17 for Portland Hearts of Pine. The models give Forward Madison a 59% win probability, with a draw at 22% and an Portland Hearts of Pine win at 19%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 61%.

Season Statistics

Forward Madison
—
Portland Hearts of Pine
3º
Position
14º
1.73
PPG
1.03
50%
Win %
23%
1.73
Goals / game
1.47
1.00
Conceded / game
1.83
53%
BTTS %
81%
25%
Clean sheet %
8%
47%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Forward Madison
Home (14)
—
Portland Hearts of Pine
Away (15)
2.07
PPG
0.87
57%
Win %
13%
2.36
Goals / game
1.53
0.79
Conceded / game
2.07
63%
BTTS %
79%
25%
Clean sheet %
5%
50%
Over 2.5 %
68%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Forward MadisonHomeAwayPortland HeartsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored72%88%60%84%89%79%
Over 1.5 Scored47%56%40%38%28%47%
Over 2.5 Scored25%50%5%16%11%21%
Failed To Score28%13%40%16%11%21%

Goals Conceded

Forward MadisonHomeAwayPortland HeartsHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded75%75%75%92%89%95%
Over 1.5 Conceded28%13%40%54%44%63%
Over 2.5 Conceded11%6%15%24%11%37%
Clean Sheets25%25%25%8%11%5%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Forward MadisonPortland Hearts
Over 0.594%95%
Over 1.575%86%
Over 2.547%68%
Over 3.531%41%
Over 4.514%27%
BTTS53%81%
BTTS & Win25%19%
BTTS & Draw17%30%
BTTS & Over 2.539%65%
BTTS No & Over 2.58%3%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Forward MadisonPortland Hearts
Win 1st Half44%25%
Draw 1st Half31%33%
Loss 1st Half25%42%
Scored 1st Half56%39%
Conceded 1st Half42%50%
Win 2nd Half33%19%
Draw 2nd Half42%39%
Loss 2nd Half25%42%
Scored 2nd Half53%58%
Conceded 2nd Half50%72%
Over 0.5 HT78%72%
Over 1.5 HT36%36%

Recent Venue Form

Forward Madison (H)
LSpokane Velocity0–1
WAlta3–0
DSarasota Paradise1–1
DOne Knoxville1–1
DCharlotte Independence1–1
DGreenville Triumph1–1
Portland Hearts (A)
DSpokane Velocity3–3
DChattanooga Red Wolves1–1
LCharlotte Independence2–3
DRichmond Kickers1–1
DOne Knoxville1–1
DGreenville Triumph3–3

Head to Head · 3 matches

2
Forward Madison
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Portland Hearts
0%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
16/08/26
Portland Hearts of Pine
1–2
Forward Madison
04/10/25
Portland Hearts of Pine
1–3
Forward Madison
24/05/25
Forward Madison
1–1
Portland Hearts of Pine
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence301965+2863
2Union Omaha301947+2161
3Forward Madison301578+2252
4Boise301578+752
5One Knoxville311498+1351
6Spokane Velocity281558+750
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3014412+746
8Fort Wayne301299+945
9Naples3012414-940
10Westchester SC3010614+336
11Sarasota Paradise2910613-336
12Corpus Christi309912-1136
13Alta308913-733
14Portland Hearts of Pine3071013-1131
15NY Cosmos297418-2325
16Greenville Triumph296617-2224
17Richmond Kickers306519-3123
18Tormenta000000

Team Insights

Forward Madison
  • ●Forward Madison have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
  • ●Forward Madison failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Forward Madison have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Forward Madison failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●Forward Madison have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
  • ●63% of Forward Madison's goals have been scored at home.
Portland Hearts
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.

Season Schedule

Forward Madison
LAWestchester SC2–3
DAFort Wayne0–0
LHSpokane Velocity0–1
WHAlta3–0
LAChattanooga Red Wolves0–1
DHSarasota Paradise1–1
–HPortland Hearts of Pine17/10
–HUnion Omaha24/10
Portland Hearts
LHBoise1–2
DASpokane Velocity3–3
LHSarasota Paradise1–4
DAChattanooga Red Wolves1–1
WHAlta1–0
WHWestchester SC2–1
–AForward Madison17/10
–HCharlotte Independence24/10

Top Scorers

Forward Madison
R. Carmichael14 ⚽
H. Karamoko7 ⚽
S. Gyamfi6 ⚽
J. Bolma6 ⚽
R. Torres4 ⚽
K. Toure4 ⚽
Portland Hearts
D. Gonzalez11 ⚽
A. Camara9 ⚽
O. Wright8 ⚽
J. Kamara4 ⚽
M. Kidd3 ⚽
K. Georgallides3 ⚽

Cards Given

Forward Madison
R. Torres15 🟨
K. Toure11 🟨
A. Edwards10 🟨
M. Glaeser8 🟨
E. Munjoma7 🟨
G. Kanyane7 🟨
Portland Hearts
D. Barbosa9 🟨
O. Wright8 🟨
K. Green7 🟨
M. Lopez7 🟨
M. Kidd6 🟨
M. Poon-Angeron6 🟨