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Greenville Triumph vs Charlotte Independence — USL League One

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United States · USL League One · Group Stage
Greenville Triumph
Greenville Triumph
16º · 0.83 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 6d 20h
vs
–
–
Charlotte Independence
Charlotte Independence
1º · 2.10 PPG
Days Since Last Match: 7d 0h
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Greenville Triumph and Charlotte Independence meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Greenville Triumph have recorded 7 wins from 35 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 1.09 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 51% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 11% of games. Charlotte Independence have won 61% of their 38 matches, with 2.24 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 18%.

Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.67 for Greenville Triumph and 1.69 for Charlotte Independence. The models give Greenville Triumph a 30% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Charlotte Independence win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.

Season Statistics

Greenville Triumph
—
Charlotte Independence
16º
Position
1º
0.83
PPG
2.10
21%
Win %
63%
1.10
Goals / game
2.33
1.86
Conceded / game
1.40
51%
BTTS %
74%
11%
Clean sheet %
18%
60%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Home vs Away

Greenville Triumph
Home (14)
—
Charlotte Independence
Away (14)
1.29
PPG
1.43
36%
Win %
36%
1.64
Goals / game
1.79
1.71
Conceded / game
1.64
69%
BTTS %
82%
19%
Clean sheet %
0%
75%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%

Goals Scored

Greenville TriumphHomeAwayCharlotte IndependenceHomeAway
Over 0.5 Scored60%81%42%92%100%82%
Over 1.5 Scored23%38%11%66%76%53%
Over 2.5 Scored20%38%5%42%57%24%
Failed To Score40%19%58%8%0%18%

Goals Conceded

Greenville TriumphHomeAwayCharlotte IndependenceHomeAway
Over 0.5 Conceded89%81%95%82%67%100%
Over 1.5 Conceded57%63%53%39%29%53%
Over 2.5 Conceded29%25%32%18%19%18%
Clean Sheets11%19%5%18%33%0%

Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions

Greenville TriumphCharlotte Independence
Over 0.597%100%
Over 1.577%92%
Over 2.560%71%
Over 3.537%55%
Over 4.514%34%
BTTS51%74%
BTTS & Win11%42%
BTTS & Draw17%21%
BTTS & Over 2.540%58%
BTTS No & Over 2.520%13%

1st Half / 2nd Half

Greenville TriumphCharlotte Independence
Win 1st Half21%53%
Draw 1st Half41%37%
Loss 1st Half38%11%
Scored 1st Half44%74%
Conceded 1st Half59%45%
Win 2nd Half21%39%
Draw 2nd Half29%29%
Loss 2nd Half50%32%
Scored 2nd Half35%63%
Conceded 2nd Half65%61%
Over 0.5 HT76%84%
Over 1.5 HT47%55%

Recent Venue Form

Greenville Triumph (H)
LUnion Omaha1–3
LCorpus Christi0–1
LFort Wayne1–3
WNaples4–0
DOne Knoxville1–1
DPortland Hearts of Pine3–3
Charlotte Independence (A)
WSarasota Paradise3–2
WRichmond Kickers2–1
DBoise1–1
LUnion Omaha0–2
DForward Madison1–1
LSpokane Velocity0–3

Head to Head · 18 matches

8
Greenville Triumph
44%
0
Draws
0%
10
Charlotte Independence
56%
56%
Over 1.5
10/18
39%
Over 2.5
7/18
22%
Over 3.5
4/18
39%
BTTS
7/18
08/08/26
Charlotte Independence
1–0
Greenville Triumph
24/06/26
Charlotte Independence
1–0
Greenville Triumph
09/08/25
Charlotte Independence
4–5
Greenville Triumph
15/06/25
Charlotte Independence
1–0
Greenville Triumph
05/04/25
Greenville Triumph
1–0
Charlotte Independence
30/08/24
Greenville Triumph
0–1
Charlotte Independence
10/08/24
Charlotte Independence
2–1
Greenville Triumph
19/06/24
Greenville Triumph
2–0
Charlotte Independence
12/04/24
Charlotte Independence
1–0
Greenville Triumph
20/10/23
Charlotte Independence
3–2
Greenville Triumph
05/08/23
Greenville Triumph
3–2
Charlotte Independence
19/07/23
Charlotte Independence
1–0
Greenville Triumph
03/05/23
Charlotte Independence
1–3
Greenville Triumph
08/10/22
Greenville Triumph
1–0
Charlotte Independence
09/09/22
Charlotte Independence
2–1
Greenville Triumph
04/06/22
Greenville Triumph
2–0
Charlotte Independence
17/04/21
Greenville Triumph
2–1
Charlotte Independence
23/02/20
Charlotte Independence
2–0
Greenville Triumph
USL League One
#TeamMPWDLGDPts
1Charlotte Independence301965+2863
2Union Omaha301947+2161
3Forward Madison301578+2252
4Boise301578+752
5One Knoxville311498+1351
6Spokane Velocity281558+750
7Chattanooga Red Wolves3014412+746
8Fort Wayne301299+945
9Naples3012414-940
10Westchester SC3010614+336
11Sarasota Paradise2910613-336
12Corpus Christi309912-1136
13Alta308913-733
14Portland Hearts of Pine3071013-1131
15NY Cosmos297418-2325
16Greenville Triumph296617-2224
17Richmond Kickers306519-3123
18Tormenta000000

Team Insights

Greenville Triumph
  • ●Greenville Triumph have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
  • ●Greenville Triumph failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
  • ●Greenville Triumph have lost their last 3 home matches.
  • ●Greenville Triumph failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
  • ●Greenville Triumph failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
  • ●Greenville Triumph failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●Greenville Triumph have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
  • ●72% of Greenville Triumph's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●75% of Greenville Triumph's points have been earned at home.
  • ●Greenville Triumph have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Charlotte Independence
  • ●Charlotte Independence have won their last 2 matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence have won their last 2 away matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●Charlotte Independence have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
  • ●64% of Charlotte Independence's goals have been scored at home.
  • ●Charlotte Independence have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Greenville TriumphGreenville Triumph
DAAlta13º2–2
LABoise4º0–1
LHUnion Omaha2º1–3
LASarasota Paradise11º0–6
LHCorpus Christi12º0–1
LHFort Wayne8º1–3
LAChattanooga Red Wolves7º1–3
WHNaples9º4–0
LASpokane Velocity6º1–2
DHOne Knoxville5º1–1
Charlotte IndependenceCharlotte Independence
WHNY Cosmos15º3–0
WASarasota Paradise11º3–2
DHFort Wayne8º1–1
WARichmond Kickers17º2–1
DABoise4º1–1
WHWestchester SC10º5–4
LAUnion Omaha2º0–2
WHPortland Hearts of Pine14º3–2
WHAlta13º5–0
DAForward Madison3º1–1

Season Schedule

Greenville Triumph
DAAlta2–2
LABoise0–1
LHUnion Omaha1–3
LASarasota Paradise0–6
LHCorpus Christi0–1
LHFort Wayne1–3
–HSpokane Velocity14/10
–HCharlotte Independence17/10
–ARichmond Kickers24/10
Charlotte Independence
WHNY Cosmos3–0
WASarasota Paradise3–2
DHFort Wayne1–1
WARichmond Kickers2–1
DABoise1–1
WHWestchester SC5–4
–AGreenville Triumph17/10
–APortland Hearts of Pine24/10

Top Scorers

Greenville Triumph
A. Liadi8 ⚽
M. Nour7 ⚽
B. Fricke4 ⚽
W. Akio3 ⚽
D. Boyce3 ⚽
R. Robles3 ⚽
Charlotte Independence
S. Marou18 ⚽
L. Alvarez10 ⚽
J. Bakero9 ⚽
J. Skinner6 ⚽
E. Martinez6 ⚽
V. Ortiz5 ⚽

Cards Given

Greenville Triumph
A. Liadi13 🟨
C. Herrera12 🟨
C. Evans8 🟨
R. Robles8 🟨
I. Agyaakwah6 🟨
B. Fricke6 🟨
Charlotte Independence
R. Manin12 🟨
J. Romero10 🟨
S. Coulibaly7 🟨
J. Amaya7 🟨
C. Jaime6 🟨
L. Alvarez5 🟨