NY Cosmos vs One Knoxville — USL League One
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NY Cosmos and One Knoxville meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 17 October 2026. NY Cosmos have recorded 8 wins from 34 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. One Knoxville have won 38% of their 40 matches, with 1.48 goals scored and 1.25 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 57%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.38 for NY Cosmos and 1.65 for One Knoxville. The models give NY Cosmos a 29% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an One Knoxville win at 46%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 58% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
NY Cosmos—
One Knoxville15º
Position
5º
0.86
PPG
1.65
24%
Win %
45%
1.24
Goals / game
1.58
2.03
Conceded / game
1.16
68%
BTTS %
68%
15%
Clean sheet %
23%
76%
Over 2.5 %
57%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
NY Cosmos
Home (13)
—
One Knoxville
Away (15)
1.31
PPG
1.67
38%
Win %
47%
1.31
Goals / game
1.80
1.54
Conceded / game
1.33
63%
BTTS %
77%
25%
Clean sheet %
14%
75%
Over 2.5 %
64%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| NY Cosmos | Home | Away | One Knoxville | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 81% | 78% | 80% | 72% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 25% | 28% | 48% | 44% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 17% | 18% | 11% | 23% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 19% | 22% | 20% | 28% | 14% |
Goals Conceded
| NY Cosmos | Home | Away | One Knoxville | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 75% | 94% | 78% | 67% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 79% | 75% | 83% | 35% | 28% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 10% | 6% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 25% | 6% | 23% | 33% | 14% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NY Cosmos | One Knoxville | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 57% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 30% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 13% |
| BTTS | 68% | 68% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 8% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NY Cosmos | One Knoxville | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 23% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 56% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 21% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 44% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 44% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 36% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 62% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 59% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 38% |
Recent Venue Form
NY Cosmos (H)W
Richmond Kickers3–2
Richmond Kickers3–2L
Westchester SC1–2
Westchester SC1–2L
Sarasota Paradise1–2
Sarasota Paradise1–2W
Alta1–0
Alta1–0L
Boise1–2
Boise1–2D
Corpus Christi0–0
Corpus Christi0–0One Knoxville (A)LRichmond Kickers2–3
Richmond Kickers2–3L
Union Omaha1–2
Union Omaha1–2W
Fort Wayne3–2
Fort Wayne3–2WAlta2–1
Alta2–1D
Forward Madison1–1
Forward Madison1–1D
Greenville Triumph1–1
Greenville Triumph1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
NY Cosmos
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
One Knoxville
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
13/06/26NY Cosmos
One Knoxville
3–1NY Cosmos| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 |  Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 |  Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
NY Cosmos- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have lost 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●66% of NY Cosmos's goals conceded were conceded away.
One Knoxville- ●One Knoxville have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●One Knoxville failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●One Knoxville have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●One Knoxville have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●One Knoxville failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●One Knoxville have won 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●One Knoxville have scored in 13 of their 15 away matches.
Season Schedule
NY CosmosLACharlotte Independence0–3
Charlotte Independence0–3LANaples1–2
Naples1–2WHRichmond Kickers3–2
Richmond Kickers3–2LHWestchester SC1–2
Westchester SC1–2LABoise1–2
Boise1–2WAFort Wayne4–2
Fort Wayne4–2–HOne Knoxville17/10
One Knoxville17/10–HSpokane Velocity21/10
Spokane Velocity21/10–HChattanooga Red Wolves24/10
Chattanooga Red Wolves24/10One KnoxvilleLHSpokane Velocity0–2
Spokane Velocity0–2WHChattanooga Red Wolves3–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves3–0LARichmond Kickers2–3
Richmond Kickers2–3DHWestchester SC0–0
Westchester SC0–0LAUnion Omaha1–2
Union Omaha1–2WAFort Wayne3–2
Fort Wayne3–2–ANY Cosmos17/10
NY Cosmos17/10–HTormenta23/10
Tormenta23/10Top Scorers
NY CosmosS. Guenzatti11 ⚽
A. Spengler11 ⚽
L. Jawneh6 ⚽
N. Mendonca3 ⚽
J. Chavez2 ⚽
D. Galazzini2 ⚽
One KnoxvilleD. Krioutchenkov14 ⚽
B. Diene7 ⚽
T. Baker6 ⚽
N. Rosamilia5 ⚽
B. P. Rodrigues5 ⚽
J. J. Murphy5 ⚽
Cards Given
NY CosmosJ. Chavez12 🟨
S. Guenzatti8 🟨
P. Bohui6 🟨
N. Cabrera6 🟨
A. Spengler6 🟨
N. Mendonca6 🟨
One KnoxvilleW. Perkins9 🟨
S. Zarokostas9 🟨
T. Baker8 🟨
J. J. Murphy7 🟨
F. McRobb6 🟨
A. Caputo6 🟨