Spokane Velocity vs Chattanooga Red Wolves — USL League One
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Spokane Velocity and Chattanooga Red Wolves meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 18 October 2026. Spokane Velocity have recorded 19 wins from 35 matches this season (54% win rate), averaging 1.51 goals scored and 1.29 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 57% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 60%; and clean sheets in 26% of games. Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 40% of their 35 matches, with 1.49 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.88 for Spokane Velocity and 1.34 for Chattanooga Red Wolves. The models give Spokane Velocity a 52% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Chattanooga Red Wolves win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 63%.
Season Statistics
Spokane Velocity—
Chattanooga Red Wolves6º
Position
7º
1.79
PPG
1.53
54%
Win %
47%
1.54
Goals / game
1.67
1.29
Conceded / game
1.43
57%
BTTS %
54%
26%
Clean sheet %
23%
60%
Over 2.5 %
51%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Spokane Velocity
Home (15)
—
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Away (14)
2.13
PPG
1.21
67%
Win %
36%
2.00
Goals / game
1.43
1.33
Conceded / game
1.86
67%
BTTS %
65%
22%
Clean sheet %
6%
72%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Spokane Velocity | Home | Away | Chattanooga Red | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 80% | 89% | 71% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 49% | 67% | 29% | 43% | 44% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 33% | 12% | 17% | 28% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 20% | 11% | 29% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| Spokane Velocity | Home | Away | Chattanooga Red | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 74% | 78% | 71% | 77% | 61% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 22% | 29% | 37% | 22% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 20% | 17% | 24% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 26% | 22% | 29% | 23% | 39% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Spokane Velocity | Chattanooga Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 60% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 23% |
| BTTS | 57% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 31% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 46% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 14% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Spokane Velocity | Chattanooga Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 37% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 34% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 49% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 46% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 46% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 23% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 57% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 46% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Spokane Velocity (H)D
Portland Hearts of Pine3–3
Portland Hearts of Pine3–3D
Boise2–2
Boise2–2W
Greenville Triumph2–1
Greenville Triumph2–1L
Corpus Christi2–3
Corpus Christi2–3D
Colorado Springs1–1
Colorado Springs1–1W
Fort Wayne3–1
Fort Wayne3–1Chattanooga Red (A)L
One Knoxville0–3
One Knoxville0–3L
Naples0–1
Naples0–1D
Richmond Kickers1–1
Richmond Kickers1–1W
Westchester SC1–0
Westchester SC1–0L
Sarasota Paradise2–3
Sarasota Paradise2–3WFort Wayne2–1
Fort Wayne2–1Head to Head · 5 matches
3
Spokane Velocity
60%
0
Draws
0%
2
Chattanooga Red
40%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
0%
Over 3.5
0/5
40%
BTTS
2/5
30/09/26Spokane Velocity
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0–1Spokane Velocity21/09/25Chattanooga Red Wolves
Spokane Velocity
1–2Chattanooga Red Wolves19/07/25Spokane Velocity
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3–0Spokane Velocity07/08/24Spokane Velocity
Chattanooga Red Wolves
0–1Spokane Velocity07/07/24Chattanooga Red Wolves
Spokane Velocity
2–1Chattanooga Red Wolves| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 |  Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 |  NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Spokane Velocity- ●Spokane Velocity have been undefeated in their last 5 matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 13 matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have won their last 3 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Spokane Velocity have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●70% of Spokane Velocity's goals have been scored at home.
Chattanooga Red- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Spokane VelocityWAOne Knoxville2–0
One Knoxville2–0DHPortland Hearts of Pine3–3
Portland Hearts of Pine3–3WAChattanooga Red Wolves1–0
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–0WAForward Madison1–0
Forward Madison1–0DHBoise2–2
Boise2–2LAUnion Omaha1–3
Union Omaha1–3–AGreenville Triumph14/10
Greenville Triumph14/10–HChattanooga Red Wolves18/10
Chattanooga Red Wolves18/10–ANY Cosmos21/10
NY Cosmos21/10Chattanooga RedLAOne Knoxville0–3
One Knoxville0–3WHCorpus Christi3–0
Corpus Christi3–0LHSpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1LANaples0–1
Naples0–1DHPortland Hearts of Pine1–1
Portland Hearts of Pine1–1WHForward Madison1–0
Forward Madison1–0–ASpokane Velocity18/10
Spokane Velocity18/10–ANY Cosmos24/10
NY Cosmos24/10Top Scorers
Spokane VelocityN. Brett9 ⚽
S. John-Brown7 ⚽
N. Vinyals6 ⚽
L. Gil6 ⚽
A. Lewis5 ⚽
J. Gallardo4 ⚽
Chattanooga RedO. Hernandez13 ⚽
M. Bentley6 ⚽
P. Hernandez6 ⚽
T. Adewole5 ⚽
G. Mercer4 ⚽
J. Ramos3 ⚽
Cards Given
Spokane VelocityN. Spielman6 🟨
A. Lewis6 🟨
I. Covi5 🟨
G. Margvelashvili5 🟨
C. Fernandez4 🟨
C. Miller4 🟨
Chattanooga RedE. Kinzner11 🟨
J. Ramos7 🟨
A. Kelly-Rosales7 🟨
J. Ayimbila7 🟨
M. Acosta6 🟨
M. Knapp6 🟨