Forward Madison vs Union Omaha — USL League One
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Forward Madison and Union Omaha meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Forward Madison have recorded 16 wins from 36 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.61 goals scored and 1.17 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 53% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 47%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Union Omaha have won 59% of their 39 matches, with 1.87 goals scored and 1.33 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 62%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 15%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.75 for Forward Madison and 1.14 for Union Omaha. The models give Forward Madison a 45% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Union Omaha win at 30%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 55% and BTTS at 57%.
Season Statistics
Forward Madison—
Union Omaha3º
Position
2º
1.73
PPG
2.03
50%
Win %
63%
1.73
Goals / game
1.77
1.00
Conceded / game
1.07
53%
BTTS %
62%
25%
Clean sheet %
15%
47%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Forward Madison
Home (14)
—
Union Omaha
Away (14)
2.07
PPG
1.71
57%
Win %
57%
2.36
Goals / game
1.43
0.79
Conceded / game
1.21
63%
BTTS %
52%
25%
Clean sheet %
10%
50%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Forward Madison | Home | Away | Union Omaha | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 88% | 60% | 77% | 94% | 62% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 47% | 56% | 40% | 64% | 72% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 25% | 50% | 5% | 26% | 28% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 13% | 40% | 23% | 6% | 38% |
Goals Conceded
| Forward Madison | Home | Away | Union Omaha | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 75% | 75% | 85% | 78% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 13% | 40% | 31% | 28% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 11% | 6% | 15% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 25% | 25% | 15% | 22% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Forward Madison | Union Omaha | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 75% | 87% |
| Over 2.5 | 47% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 31% | 36% |
| Over 4.5 | 14% | 15% |
| BTTS | 53% | 62% |
| BTTS & Win | 25% | 44% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 39% | 56% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Forward Madison | Union Omaha | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 29% |
| Draw 1st Half | 31% | 45% |
| Loss 1st Half | 25% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 53% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 47% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 32% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 25% | 21% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 53% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 50% | 53% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 78% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 42% |
Recent Venue Form
Forward Madison (H)L
Spokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1W
Alta3–0
Alta3–0D
Sarasota Paradise1–1
Sarasota Paradise1–1D
One Knoxville1–1
One Knoxville1–1D
Charlotte Independence1–1
Charlotte Independence1–1D
Greenville Triumph1–1
Greenville Triumph1–1Union Omaha (A)WGreenville Triumph3–1
Greenville Triumph3–1W
Corpus Christi2–1
Corpus Christi2–1L
Naples0–2
Naples0–2W
Chattanooga Red Wolves3–1
Chattanooga Red Wolves3–1W
Fort Wayne2–0
Fort Wayne2–0W
Portland Hearts of Pine2–1
Portland Hearts of Pine2–1Head to Head · 20 matches
5
Forward Madison
25%
9
Draws
45%
6
Union Omaha
30%
60%
Over 1.5
12/20
40%
Over 2.5
8/20
25%
Over 3.5
5/20
50%
BTTS
10/20
12/07/26Union Omaha
Forward Madison
4–3Union Omaha11/04/26Forward Madison
Union Omaha
1–0Forward Madison18/10/25Forward Madison
Union Omaha
4–0Forward Madison08/06/25Union Omaha
Forward Madison
0–1Union Omaha03/05/25Union Omaha
Forward Madison
0–0Union Omaha30/08/24Union Omaha
Forward Madison
3–3Union Omaha04/08/24Forward Madison
Union Omaha
2–2Forward Madison21/06/24Union Omaha
Forward Madison
2–0Union Omaha14/10/23Union Omaha
Forward Madison
0–1Union Omaha28/05/23Forward Madison
Union Omaha
1–2Forward Madison26/03/23Forward Madison
Union Omaha
1–1Forward Madison01/09/22Forward Madison
Union Omaha
1–0Forward Madison27/07/22Union Omaha
Forward Madison
0–0Union Omaha10/04/22Union Omaha
Forward Madison
2–2Union Omaha21/10/21Forward Madison
Union Omaha
1–2Forward Madison17/07/21Forward Madison
Union Omaha
1–1Forward Madison06/06/21Union Omaha
Forward Madison
1–2Union Omaha27/05/21Union Omaha
Forward Madison
1–0Union Omaha11/10/20Union Omaha
Forward Madison
0–0Union Omaha20/08/20Forward Madison
Union Omaha
1–1Forward Madison| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 |  Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 |  Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 |  NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 |  Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Forward Madison- ●Forward Madison have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Forward Madison failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Forward Madison have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Forward Madison failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Forward Madison have won 7 of their 16 away matches.
- ●63% of Forward Madison's goals have been scored at home.
Union Omaha- ●Union Omaha failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Union Omaha have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Union Omaha failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Union Omaha have scored in 15 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Union Omaha failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Union Omaha have won 8 of their 14 away matches.
- ●62% of Union Omaha's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Forward MadisonLAWestchester SC2–3
Westchester SC2–3DAFort Wayne0–0
Fort Wayne0–0LHSpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1WHAlta3–0
Alta3–0LAChattanooga Red Wolves0–1
Chattanooga Red Wolves0–1DHSarasota Paradise1–1
Sarasota Paradise1–1–HPortland Hearts of Pine17/10
Portland Hearts of Pine17/10–HUnion Omaha24/10
Union Omaha24/10Union OmahaLHFort Wayne0–1
Fort Wayne0–1WAGreenville Triumph3–1
Greenville Triumph3–1WHOne Knoxville2–1
One Knoxville2–1WHSpokane Velocity3–1
Spokane Velocity3–1WACorpus Christi2–1
Corpus Christi2–1WHCharlotte Independence2–0
Charlotte Independence2–0–AWestchester SC17/10
Westchester SC17/10–AForward Madison24/10
Forward Madison24/10Top Scorers
Forward MadisonR. Carmichael14 ⚽
H. Karamoko7 ⚽
S. Gyamfi6 ⚽
J. Bolma6 ⚽
R. Torres4 ⚽
K. Toure4 ⚽
Union OmahaS. Ors Navarro14 ⚽
D. Gutierrez11 ⚽
K. Tekiela8 ⚽
P. Botello Faz7 ⚽
A. Gomez6 ⚽
A. Gavilanes5 ⚽
Cards Given
Forward MadisonR. Torres15 🟨
K. Toure11 🟨
A. Edwards10 🟨
M. Glaeser8 🟨
E. Munjoma7 🟨
G. Kanyane7 🟨
Union OmahaL. Wootton9 🟨
B. Kallman8 🟨
S. Guediri7 🟨
S. Owusu7 🟨
Y. Boudadi7 🟨
Gabriel Cabral6 🟨