NY Cosmos vs Chattanooga Red Wolves — USL League One
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NY Cosmos and Chattanooga Red Wolves meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 24 October 2026. NY Cosmos have recorded 8 wins from 34 matches this season (24% win rate), averaging 1.24 goals scored and 2.09 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 76%; and clean sheets in 15% of games. Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 40% of their 35 matches, with 1.49 goals scored and 1.40 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 51%, and clean sheets at 23%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.58 for NY Cosmos and 1.46 for Chattanooga Red Wolves. The models give NY Cosmos a 36% win probability, with a draw at 26% and an Chattanooga Red Wolves win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 59% and BTTS at 61%.
Season Statistics
NY Cosmos—
Chattanooga Red Wolves15º
Position
7º
0.86
PPG
1.53
24%
Win %
47%
1.24
Goals / game
1.67
2.03
Conceded / game
1.43
68%
BTTS %
54%
15%
Clean sheet %
23%
76%
Over 2.5 %
51%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
NY Cosmos
Home (13)
—
Chattanooga Red Wolves
Away (14)
1.31
PPG
1.21
38%
Win %
36%
1.31
Goals / game
1.43
1.54
Conceded / game
1.86
63%
BTTS %
65%
25%
Clean sheet %
6%
75%
Over 2.5 %
59%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| NY Cosmos | Home | Away | Chattanooga Red | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 81% | 78% | 77% | 83% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 26% | 25% | 28% | 43% | 44% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 15% | 13% | 17% | 17% | 28% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 19% | 22% | 23% | 17% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| NY Cosmos | Home | Away | Chattanooga Red | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 85% | 75% | 94% | 77% | 61% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 79% | 75% | 83% | 37% | 22% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 38% | 25% | 50% | 20% | 22% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 15% | 25% | 6% | 23% | 39% | 6% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| NY Cosmos | Chattanooga Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 91% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 76% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 31% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 23% |
| BTTS | 68% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 12% | 17% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 62% | 43% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 9% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| NY Cosmos | Chattanooga Red | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 31% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 50% | 40% |
| Scored 1st Half | 26% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 62% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 34% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 37% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 29% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 76% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 46% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 80% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
NY Cosmos (H)W
Richmond Kickers3–2
Richmond Kickers3–2L
Westchester SC1–2
Westchester SC1–2L
Sarasota Paradise1–2
Sarasota Paradise1–2W
Alta1–0
Alta1–0L
Boise1–2
Boise1–2D
Corpus Christi0–0
Corpus Christi0–0Chattanooga Red (A)L
One Knoxville0–3
One Knoxville0–3L
Naples0–1
Naples0–1DRichmond Kickers1–1
Richmond Kickers1–1WWestchester SC1–0
Westchester SC1–0LSarasota Paradise2–3
Sarasota Paradise2–3W
Fort Wayne2–1
Fort Wayne2–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
NY Cosmos
0%
1
Draws
100%
0
Chattanooga Red
0%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
100%
Over 2.5
1/1
100%
Over 3.5
1/1
100%
BTTS
1/1
22/08/26NY Cosmos
Chattanooga Red Wolves
3–3NY Cosmos| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 |  Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 |  Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 | Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 |  Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 |  Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
NY Cosmos- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●NY Cosmos failed to keep a clean sheet in 15 of their 16 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have lost 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●NY Cosmos have scored in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●66% of NY Cosmos's goals conceded were conceded away.
Chattanooga Red- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have scored in 14 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have scored in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Chattanooga Red Wolves have conceded 56% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
NY CosmosLACharlotte Independence0–3
Charlotte Independence0–3LANaples1–2
Naples1–2WHRichmond Kickers3–2
Richmond Kickers3–2LHWestchester SC1–2
Westchester SC1–2LABoise1–2
Boise1–2WAFort Wayne4–2
Fort Wayne4–2–HOne Knoxville17/10
One Knoxville17/10–HSpokane Velocity21/10
Spokane Velocity21/10–HChattanooga Red Wolves24/10
Chattanooga Red Wolves24/10Chattanooga RedLAOne Knoxville0–3
One Knoxville0–3WHCorpus Christi3–0
Corpus Christi3–0LHSpokane Velocity0–1
Spokane Velocity0–1LANaples0–1
Naples0–1DHPortland Hearts of Pine1–1
Portland Hearts of Pine1–1WHForward Madison1–0
Forward Madison1–0–ASpokane Velocity18/10
Spokane Velocity18/10–ANY Cosmos24/10
NY Cosmos24/10Top Scorers
NY CosmosS. Guenzatti11 ⚽
A. Spengler11 ⚽
L. Jawneh6 ⚽
N. Mendonca3 ⚽
J. Chavez2 ⚽
D. Galazzini2 ⚽
Chattanooga RedO. Hernandez13 ⚽
M. Bentley6 ⚽
P. Hernandez6 ⚽
T. Adewole5 ⚽
G. Mercer4 ⚽
J. Ramos3 ⚽
Cards Given
NY CosmosJ. Chavez12 🟨
S. Guenzatti8 🟨
P. Bohui6 🟨
N. Cabrera6 🟨
A. Spengler6 🟨
N. Mendonca6 🟨
Chattanooga RedE. Kinzner11 🟨
J. Ramos7 🟨
A. Kelly-Rosales7 🟨
J. Ayimbila7 🟨
M. Acosta6 🟨
M. Knapp6 🟨