Portland Hearts of Pine vs Charlotte Independence — USL League One
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Portland Hearts of Pine and Charlotte Independence meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Portland Hearts of Pine have recorded 8 wins from 37 matches this season (22% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.86 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 81% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 8% of games. Charlotte Independence have won 61% of their 38 matches, with 2.24 goals scored and 1.55 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 74%, Over 2.5 at 71%, and clean sheets at 18%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.57 for Portland Hearts of Pine and 1.65 for Charlotte Independence. The models give Portland Hearts of Pine a 32% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Charlotte Independence win at 44%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 62% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Portland Hearts of Pine—
Charlotte Independence14º
Position
1º
1.03
PPG
2.10
23%
Win %
63%
1.47
Goals / game
2.33
1.83
Conceded / game
1.40
81%
BTTS %
74%
8%
Clean sheet %
18%
68%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Portland Hearts of Pine
Home (15)
—
Charlotte Independence
Away (14)
1.20
PPG
1.43
33%
Win %
36%
1.40
Goals / game
1.79
1.60
Conceded / game
1.64
83%
BTTS %
82%
11%
Clean sheet %
0%
67%
Over 2.5 %
71%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Portland Hearts | Home | Away | Charlotte Independence | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 89% | 79% | 92% | 100% | 82% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 28% | 47% | 66% | 76% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 11% | 21% | 42% | 57% | 24% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 11% | 21% | 8% | 0% | 18% |
Goals Conceded
| Portland Hearts | Home | Away | Charlotte Independence | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 92% | 89% | 95% | 82% | 67% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 54% | 44% | 63% | 39% | 29% | 53% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 24% | 11% | 37% | 18% | 19% | 18% |
| Clean Sheets | 8% | 11% | 5% | 18% | 33% | 0% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Portland Hearts | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 86% | 92% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 71% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 | 27% | 34% |
| BTTS | 81% | 74% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 42% |
| BTTS & Draw | 30% | 21% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 58% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Portland Hearts | Charlotte Independence | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 25% | 53% |
| Draw 1st Half | 33% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 42% | 11% |
| Scored 1st Half | 39% | 74% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 45% |
| Win 2nd Half | 19% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 29% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 42% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 58% | 63% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 72% | 61% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 72% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 36% | 55% |
Recent Venue Form
Portland Hearts (H)L
Boise1–2
Boise1–2L
Sarasota Paradise1–4
Sarasota Paradise1–4W
Alta1–0
Alta1–0W
Westchester SC2–1
Westchester SC2–1L
Fort Wayne1–4
Fort Wayne1–4L
Forward Madison1–2
Forward Madison1–2Charlotte Independence (A)WSarasota Paradise3–2
Sarasota Paradise3–2W
Richmond Kickers2–1
Richmond Kickers2–1DBoise1–1
Boise1–1L
Union Omaha0–2
Union Omaha0–2DForward Madison1–1
Forward Madison1–1L
Spokane Velocity0–3
Spokane Velocity0–3Head to Head · 3 matches
1
Portland Hearts
33%
1
Draws
33%
1
Charlotte Independence
33%
100%
Over 1.5
3/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
67%
Over 3.5
2/3
100%
BTTS
3/3
02/09/26Portland Hearts of Pine
Charlotte Independence
3–2Portland Hearts of Pine30/08/25Charlotte Independence
Portland Hearts of Pine
4–2Charlotte Independence19/07/25Portland Hearts of Pine
Charlotte Independence
1–1Portland Hearts of Pine| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 | Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 | Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 52 |
| 5 |  One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 |  Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 | Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 |  Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 |  Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 | Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 |  NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 |  Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Portland Hearts- ●Portland Hearts of Pine have failed to win in their last 4 matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Portland Hearts of Pine have scored in 12 of their 15 away matches.
Charlotte Independence- ●Charlotte Independence have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence have scored in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence have scored in each of their last 16 home matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 14 away matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence have scored in 16 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence failed to keep a clean sheet in 14 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence have won 5 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Charlotte Independence have scored in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●64% of Charlotte Independence's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Charlotte Independence have scored 64% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Portland HeartsLHBoise1–2
Boise1–2DASpokane Velocity3–3
Spokane Velocity3–3LHSarasota Paradise1–4
Sarasota Paradise1–4DAChattanooga Red Wolves1–1
Chattanooga Red Wolves1–1WHAlta1–0
Alta1–0WHWestchester SC2–1
Westchester SC2–1–AForward Madison17/10
Forward Madison17/10–HCharlotte Independence24/10
Charlotte Independence24/10Charlotte IndependenceWHNY Cosmos3–0
NY Cosmos3–0WASarasota Paradise3–2
Sarasota Paradise3–2DHFort Wayne1–1
Fort Wayne1–1WARichmond Kickers2–1
Richmond Kickers2–1DABoise1–1
Boise1–1WHWestchester SC5–4
Westchester SC5–4–AGreenville Triumph17/10
Greenville Triumph17/10–APortland Hearts of Pine24/10
Portland Hearts of Pine24/10Top Scorers
Portland HeartsD. Gonzalez11 ⚽
A. Camara9 ⚽
O. Wright8 ⚽
J. Kamara4 ⚽
M. Kidd3 ⚽
K. Georgallides3 ⚽
Charlotte IndependenceS. Marou18 ⚽
L. Alvarez10 ⚽
J. Bakero9 ⚽
J. Skinner6 ⚽
E. Martinez6 ⚽
V. Ortiz5 ⚽
Cards Given
Portland HeartsD. Barbosa9 🟨
O. Wright8 🟨
K. Green7 🟨
M. Lopez7 🟨
M. Kidd6 🟨
M. Poon-Angeron6 🟨
Charlotte IndependenceR. Manin12 🟨
J. Romero10 🟨
S. Coulibaly7 🟨
J. Amaya7 🟨
C. Jaime6 🟨
L. Alvarez5 🟨