Sarasota Paradise vs Westchester SC — USL League One
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Sarasota Paradise and Westchester SC meet in the USL League One 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Sarasota Paradise have recorded 13 wins from 39 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 1.33 goals scored and 1.72 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 59% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 59%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Westchester SC have won 30% of their 37 matches, with 1.62 goals scored and 1.70 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 57%, Over 2.5 at 62%, and clean sheets at 19%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.91 for Sarasota Paradise and 1.20 for Westchester SC. The models give Sarasota Paradise a 54% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Westchester SC win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 60% and BTTS at 60%.
Season Statistics
Sarasota Paradise—
Westchester SC11º
Position
10º
1.24
PPG
1.20
34%
Win %
33%
1.45
Goals / game
1.70
1.55
Conceded / game
1.60
59%
BTTS %
57%
18%
Clean sheet %
19%
59%
Over 2.5 %
62%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Sarasota Paradise
Home (14)
—
Westchester SC
Away (15)
1.64
PPG
0.47
50%
Win %
7%
1.93
Goals / game
0.93
1.43
Conceded / game
1.93
65%
BTTS %
44%
18%
Clean sheet %
17%
71%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Sarasota Paradise | Home | Away | Westchester SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 82% | 64% | 68% | 89% | 44% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 53% | 27% | 51% | 74% | 28% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 13% | 18% | 9% | 22% | 37% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 18% | 36% | 32% | 11% | 56% |
Goals Conceded
| Sarasota Paradise | Home | Away | Westchester SC | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 82% | 82% | 81% | 79% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 51% | 59% | 45% | 51% | 42% | 61% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 18% | 23% | 22% | 21% | 22% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 18% | 18% | 19% | 21% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sarasota Paradise | Westchester SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 95% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 59% | 62% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 23% | 27% |
| BTTS | 59% | 57% |
| BTTS & Win | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 14% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sarasota Paradise | Westchester SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 29% | 35% |
| Draw 1st Half | 42% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 41% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 57% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 24% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 18% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 55% | 38% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 43% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 71% | 62% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 63% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 39% | 51% |
Recent Venue Form
Sarasota Paradise (H)W
Richmond Kickers3–2
Richmond Kickers3–2L
Charlotte Independence2–3
Charlotte Independence2–3W
Greenville Triumph6–0
Greenville Triumph6–0D
Spokane Velocity1–1
Spokane Velocity1–1W
Chattanooga Red Wolves3–2
Chattanooga Red Wolves3–2D
Portland Hearts of Pine2–2
Portland Hearts of Pine2–2Westchester SC (A)D
One Knoxville0–0
One Knoxville0–0W
NY Cosmos2–1
NY Cosmos2–1LCharlotte Independence4–5
Charlotte Independence4–5LPortland Hearts of Pine1–2
Portland Hearts of Pine1–2D
Corpus Christi2–2
Corpus Christi2–2L
Forward Madison0–2
Forward Madison0–2Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Sarasota Paradise
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Westchester SC
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
08/04/26Sarasota Paradise
Westchester SC
2–0Sarasota Paradise| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Charlotte Independence | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | +28 | 63 |
| 2 |  Union Omaha | 30 | 19 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 61 |
| 3 | Forward Madison | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +22 | 52 |
| 4 |  Boise | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +7 | 52 |
| 5 | One Knoxville | 31 | 14 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 51 |
| 6 | Spokane Velocity | 28 | 15 | 5 | 8 | +7 | 50 |
| 7 | Chattanooga Red Wolves | 30 | 14 | 4 | 12 | +7 | 46 |
| 8 |  Fort Wayne | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +9 | 45 |
| 9 |  Naples | 30 | 12 | 4 | 14 | -9 | 40 |
| 10 | Westchester SC | 30 | 10 | 6 | 14 | +3 | 36 |
| 11 | Sarasota Paradise | 29 | 10 | 6 | 13 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Corpus Christi | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -11 | 36 |
| 13 |  Alta | 30 | 8 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 33 |
| 14 | Portland Hearts of Pine | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 15 | NY Cosmos | 29 | 7 | 4 | 18 | -23 | 25 |
| 16 | Greenville Triumph | 29 | 6 | 6 | 17 | -22 | 24 |
| 17 | Richmond Kickers | 30 | 6 | 5 | 19 | -31 | 23 |
| 18 |  Tormenta | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Team Insights
Sarasota Paradise- ●Sarasota Paradise have scored in each of their last 11 matches.
- ●Sarasota Paradise have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Sarasota Paradise have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Sarasota Paradise have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Sarasota Paradise failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sarasota Paradise have scored in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Sarasota Paradise failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sarasota Paradise have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Sarasota Paradise failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●64% of Sarasota Paradise's goals have been scored at home.
Westchester SC- ●Westchester SC have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Westchester SC have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Westchester SC failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Westchester SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Westchester SC have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Westchester SC failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Westchester SC have lost 10 of their 15 away matches.
- ●73% of Westchester SC's goals have been scored at home.
- ●81% of Westchester SC's points have been earned at home.
- ●Westchester SC have scored 61% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sarasota ParadiseWHRichmond Kickers3–2
Richmond Kickers3–2LHCharlotte Independence2–3
Charlotte Independence2–3WAPortland Hearts of Pine4–1
Portland Hearts of Pine4–1WHGreenville Triumph6–0
Greenville Triumph6–0DAForward Madison1–1
Forward Madison1–1DHSpokane Velocity1–1
Spokane Velocity1–1–AFort Wayne17/10
Fort Wayne17/10–HNaples21/10
Naples21/10–HWestchester SC24/10
Westchester SC24/10Westchester SCWHForward Madison3–2
Forward Madison3–2WHAlta2–1
Alta2–1DAOne Knoxville0–0
One Knoxville0–0WANY Cosmos2–1
NY Cosmos2–1WHRichmond Kickers5–2
Richmond Kickers5–2LACharlotte Independence4–5
Charlotte Independence4–5–HUnion Omaha17/10
Union Omaha17/10–ASarasota Paradise24/10
Sarasota Paradise24/10Top Scorers
Sarasota ParadiseA. Rosa7 ⚽
S. Roed7 ⚽
J. Bolanos6 ⚽
R. Gall3 ⚽
B. Krueger3 ⚽
E. Terzaghi3 ⚽
Westchester SCC. McGlynn16 ⚽
D. Guezen7 ⚽
J. Jimenez6 ⚽
K. Blommestijn6 ⚽
D. Burko5 ⚽
E. Mackic3 ⚽
Cards Given
Sarasota ParadiseA. Walker7 🟨
A. Sogaard7 🟨
J. Bolanos6 🟨
D. Watters6 🟨
A. Rosa6 🟨
E. Terzaghi4 🟨
Westchester SCM. Jennings12 🟨
B. Pierre10 🟨
D. Bouman8 🟨
C. Dickerson6 🟨
K. Blommestijn6 🟨
K. Evans5 🟨