Lillestrom vs Brann — Eliteserien
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Lillestrom and Brann meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Lillestrom have recorded 19 wins from 43 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.72 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 56% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 63%; and clean sheets in 23% of games. Brann have won 45% of their 40 matches, with 2.00 goals scored and 1.52 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 83%, Over 2.5 at 80%, and clean sheets at 8%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.79 for Lillestrom and 1.79 for Brann. The models give Lillestrom a 40% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Brann win at 36%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 69% and BTTS at 69%.
Season Statistics
Lillestrom—
Brann6º
Position
7º
1.50
PPG
1.32
45%
Win %
41%
1.36
Goals / game
1.77
1.41
Conceded / game
1.55
56%
BTTS %
83%
23%
Clean sheet %
8%
63%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.6
Avg corners
6.7
12.9
Avg shots
14.3
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
11.4
Avg fouls
11.6
52.0%
Avg possession
55.7%
Home vs Away
Lillestrom
Home (11)
—
Brann
Away (10)
1.45
PPG
1.10
45%
Win %
30%
1.73
Goals / game
1.90
1.55
Conceded / game
1.60
78%
BTTS %
85%
13%
Clean sheet %
10%
83%
Over 2.5 %
80%
5.6
Avg corners
6.7
12.9
Avg shots
14.3
4.0
Avg shots on target
4.8
1.7
Avg yellow cards
1.8
52.0%
Avg possession
55.7%
Goals Scored
| Lillestrom | Home | Away | Brann | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 72% | 91% | 50% | 88% | 85% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 51% | 61% | 40% | 60% | 60% | 60% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 23% | 30% | 15% | 28% | 30% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 28% | 9% | 50% | 13% | 15% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Lillestrom | Home | Away | Brann | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 77% | 87% | 65% | 93% | 95% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 61% | 30% | 50% | 45% | 55% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 22% | 15% | 10% | 5% | 15% |
| Clean Sheets | 23% | 13% | 35% | 8% | 5% | 10% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Lillestrom | Brann | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 93% | 98% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 93% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 | 42% | 43% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 28% |
| BTTS | 56% | 83% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 40% |
| BTTS & Draw | 9% | 15% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 75% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Lillestrom | Brann | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 43% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 28% |
| Loss 1st Half | 37% | 30% |
| Scored 1st Half | 42% | 63% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 55% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 28% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 68% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 63% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 74% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Lillestrom (H)D
Molde2–2
Molde2–2L
Torreense1–2
Torreense1–2W
Valerenga2–0
Valerenga2–0L
Fredrikstad1–4
Fredrikstad1–4W
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2–1L
Rosenborg0–2
Rosenborg0–2Brann (A)L
Start1–2
Start1–2W
Os2–1
Os2–1LStart0–2
Start0–2D
Sandefjord0–0
Sandefjord0–0W
Fyllingen4–0
Fyllingen4–0D
PAOK1–1
PAOK1–1Number of Corners
11.3
Corners / Match
25 games
League Avg
10.9
176 games
11.9
Corners / Match
26 games
| Match Corners | Lillestrom | Brann | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 92% | 92% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 92% | 88% | 84% |
| Over 8 | 88% | 81% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 76% | 73% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 60% | 62% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 48% | 50% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 32% | 46% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 27% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Lillestrom | Brann |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 6.7 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.6 | 5.2 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 92% | 92% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 76% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 65% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 92% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 68% | 73% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 56% | 62% |
Head to Head · 16 matches
3
Lillestrom
19%
4
Draws
25%
9
Brann
56%
88%
Over 1.5
14/16
38%
Over 2.5
6/16
19%
Over 3.5
3/16
56%
BTTS
9/16
05/09/26Lillestrom
Brann
1–2Lillestrom09/11/24Lillestrom
Brann
2–1Lillestrom12/05/24Brann
Lillestrom
0–2Brann01/10/23Brann
Lillestrom
0–2Brann11/06/23Lillestrom
Brann
2–2Lillestrom20/05/23Lillestrom
Brann
2–0Lillestrom11/09/21Brann
Lillestrom
2–3Brann30/06/21Lillestrom
Brann
1–1Lillestrom01/09/19Brann
Lillestrom
1–3Brann23/06/19Lillestrom
Brann
1–0Lillestrom07/10/18Lillestrom
Brann
1–1Lillestrom21/05/18Brann
Lillestrom
1–1Brann05/11/17Lillestrom
Brann
2–0Lillestrom23/04/17Brann
Lillestrom
0–2Brann16/10/16Lillestrom
Brann
1–2Lillestrom11/05/16Brann
Lillestrom
1–0Brann| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 |  Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 39 |
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 16 |
Team Insights
Lillestrom- ●Lillestrom failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Lillestrom have won 5 of their 11 away matches.
- ●63% of Lillestrom's goals have been scored at home.
- ●Lillestrom have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Brann- ●Brann failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Brann have lost 6 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Brann failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Brann have scored in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Brann have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
LillestromDHMolde2–2
Molde2–2LAViking0–3
Viking0–3WHValerenga2–0
Valerenga2–0WABrann2–1
Brann2–1LHFredrikstad1–4
Fredrikstad1–4DAKFUM Oslo1–1
KFUM Oslo1–1–ASandefjord18/10
Sandefjord18/10–HBrann25/10
Brann25/10–AStart01/11
Start01/11BrannLHViking0–2
Viking0–2WHBodo/Glimt2–1
Bodo/Glimt2–1LAStart0–2
Start0–2LHLillestrom1–2
Lillestrom1–2DASandefjord0–0
Sandefjord0–0WHHam-Kam3–0
Ham-Kam3–0–AValerenga18/10
Valerenga18/10–ALillestrom25/10
Lillestrom25/10–HMolde01/11
Molde01/11Top Scorers
Lillestrom9 ⚽
G. Nyheim8 ⚽
Felix Va7 ⚽
T. Olsen6 ⚽
K. Arierhi5 ⚽
L. Ranger5 ⚽
BrannN. Holm10 ⚽
K. Eriksen9 ⚽
K. M. Ingason8 ⚽
B. Finne7 ⚽
N. Castro6 ⚽
J. Soltvedt6 ⚽
Cards Given
LillestromYlldren Ibrahimaj5 🟨
G. Nyheim3 🟨
Fredrik Gulbrandsen3 🟨
H. Woxen3 🟨
Harald Woxen3 🟨
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim2 🟨
BrannN. Castro6 🟨
T. Pedersen4 🟨
K. M. Ingason4 🟨
Noah Jean Holm4 🟨
Jacob Lungi Sørensen3 🟨
Kristian Eriksen3 🟨