Molde vs Fredrikstad — Eliteserien
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Aker Stadion·Molde·Norway·11,800
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Molde and Fredrikstad meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 25 October 2026. Molde have recorded 15 wins from 34 matches this season (44% win rate), averaging 1.97 goals scored and 1.47 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 74% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 68%; and clean sheets in 18% of games. Fredrikstad have won 43% of their 35 matches, with 1.43 goals scored and 1.43 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 69%, Over 2.5 at 54%, and clean sheets at 17%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.12 for Molde and 1.36 for Fredrikstad. The models give Molde a 53% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Fredrikstad win at 24%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 67% and BTTS at 64%.
Season Statistics
Molde—
Fredrikstad4º
Position
8º
1.68
PPG
1.32
50%
Win %
36%
2.09
Goals / game
1.18
1.55
Conceded / game
1.50
74%
BTTS %
69%
18%
Clean sheet %
17%
68%
Over 2.5 %
54%
5.6
Avg corners
4.3
15.6
Avg shots
11.9
6.0
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
11.7
Avg fouls
10.6
59.2%
Avg possession
48.7%
Home vs Away
Molde
Home (11)
—
Fredrikstad
Away (11)
2.00
PPG
1.00
64%
Win %
27%
2.18
Goals / game
1.09
1.18
Conceded / game
1.91
67%
BTTS %
61%
24%
Clean sheet %
17%
67%
Over 2.5 %
61%
5.6
Avg corners
4.3
15.6
Avg shots
11.9
6.0
Avg shots on target
3.8
2.0
Avg yellow cards
1.7
59.2%
Avg possession
48.7%
Goals Scored
| Molde | Home | Away | Fredrikstad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 88% | 86% | 92% | 83% | 88% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 50% | 57% | 38% | 37% | 35% | 39% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 29% | 33% | 23% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
| Failed To Score | 12% | 14% | 8% | 17% | 12% | 22% |
Goals Conceded
| Molde | Home | Away | Fredrikstad | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 82% | 76% | 92% | 83% | 82% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 47% | 33% | 69% | 40% | 24% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 12% | 10% | 15% | 14% | 0% | 28% |
| Clean Sheets | 18% | 24% | 8% | 17% | 18% | 17% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Molde | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 85% | 83% |
| Over 2.5 | 68% | 54% |
| Over 3.5 | 41% | 34% |
| Over 4.5 | 32% | 17% |
| BTTS | 74% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 29% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 23% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 65% | 49% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Molde | Fredrikstad | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 47% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 24% | 29% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 62% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 50% | 54% |
| Win 2nd Half | 32% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 44% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 26% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 62% | 54% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 65% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 88% | 83% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 44% | 40% |
Recent Venue Form
Molde (H)W
Kristiansund BK3–0
Kristiansund BK3–0L
Aalesund1–2
Aalesund1–2W
KFUM Oslo2–0
KFUM Oslo2–0W
Tromso3–2
Tromso3–2D
Sarpsborg 08 FF3–3
Sarpsborg 08 FF3–3L
Brann1–2
Brann1–2Fredrikstad (A)D
Valerenga1–1
Valerenga1–1W
Stjørdals-Blink1–0
Stjørdals-Blink1–0W
Lillestrom4–1
Lillestrom4–1W
Eidsvold IF7–1
Eidsvold IF7–1W
Start1–0
Start1–0L
Rosenborg0–4
Rosenborg0–4Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
22 games
League Avg
10.9
176 games
10.2
Corners / Match
22 games
| Match Corners | Molde | Fredrikstad | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 95% | 91% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 86% | 91% | 84% |
| Over 8 | 73% | 77% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 50% | 64% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 36% | 50% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 32% | 32% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 18% | 18% | 31% |
| Over 13 | 9% | 9% | 22% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Molde | Fredrikstad |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.6 | 4.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 4.5 | 5.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 77% | 77% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 68% | 55% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 64% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 73% | 86% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 64% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 45% | 64% |
Head to Head · 5 matches
1
Molde
20%
2
Draws
40%
2
Fredrikstad
40%
60%
Over 1.5
3/5
60%
Over 2.5
3/5
40%
Over 3.5
2/5
60%
BTTS
3/5
13/09/25Fredrikstad
Molde
1–2Fredrikstad12/07/25Molde
Fredrikstad
4–2Molde07/12/24Molde
Fredrikstad
0–0Molde14/09/24Fredrikstad
Molde
6–1Fredrikstad13/07/24Molde
Fredrikstad
0–0Molde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 2 |  Bodo/Glimt | 22 | 17 | 2 | 3 | +36 | 53 |
| 3 | Tromso | 22 | 11 | 6 | 5 | +11 | 39 |
| 4 | Molde | 22 | 11 | 4 | 7 | +12 | 37 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 22 | 10 | 4 | 8 | +9 | 34 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 22 | 10 | 3 | 9 | -1 | 33 |
| 7 | Brann | 22 | 9 | 2 | 11 | +5 | 29 |
| 8 | Fredrikstad | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | -7 | 29 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | -3 | 28 |
| 10 | KFUM Oslo | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 28 |
| 11 |  Ham-Kam | 22 | 7 | 5 | 10 | -13 | 26 |
| 12 |  Sandefjord | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | -6 | 24 |
| 13 | Valerenga | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | -10 | 23 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 22 | 4 | 9 | 9 | -15 | 21 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | -21 | 19 |
| 16 | Start | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 16 |
Team Insights
Molde- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 14 matches.
- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Molde have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 7 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Molde have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Molde have won 4 of their 11 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored in 10 of their 11 away matches.
Fredrikstad- ●Fredrikstad have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 away matches.
Season Schedule
MoldeDALillestrom2–2
Lillestrom2–2LHAalesund1–2
Aalesund1–2WAHam-Kam5–1
Ham-Kam5–1WHKFUM Oslo2–0
KFUM Oslo2–0WAValerenga4–3
Valerenga4–3WHTromso3–2
Tromso3–2–HStart18/10
Start18/10–HFredrikstad25/10
Fredrikstad25/10–ABrann01/11
Brann01/11FredrikstadDHTromso1–1
Tromso1–1DAValerenga1–1
Valerenga1–1DHSarpsborg 08 FF1–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1LHBodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2WALillestrom4–1
Lillestrom4–1WHKristiansund BK1–0
Kristiansund BK1–0–AViking17/10
Viking17/10–AMolde25/10
Molde25/10–HRosenborg31/10
Rosenborg31/10Top Scorers
MoldeE. Breivik9 ⚽
E. Hestad8 ⚽
4 ⚽
Trent Kone-Doherty4 ⚽
F. Gulbrandsen4 ⚽
O. Spiten-Nysaeter3 ⚽
FredrikstadH. Skogvold6 ⚽
O. Ohlenschlaeger5 ⚽
F. Holme4 ⚽
B. Faraas4 ⚽
D. Eid3 ⚽
J. Nunez2 ⚽
Cards Given
MoldeSamukelo Kabini6 🟨
Eirik Hestad5 🟨
4 🟨
E. Breivik3 🟨
Jalal Abdullai3 🟨
E. Hestad2 🟨
Fredrikstad8 🟨
Max Nilsson4 🟨
Fredrik Holmé3 🟨
Eirik Granaas3 🟨
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem3 🟨
Daniel Eid3 🟨