Valerenga vs Tromso — Eliteserien
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Valerenga and Tromso meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 1 November 2026. Valerenga have recorded 12 wins from 31 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.87 goals scored and 1.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 65%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Tromso have won 50% of their 36 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.22 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 42%, Over 2.5 at 50%, and clean sheets at 44%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.11 for Valerenga and 1.87 for Tromso. The models give Valerenga a 39% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Tromso win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 75% and BTTS at 74%.
Season Statistics
Valerenga—
Tromso12º
Position
4º
1.10
PPG
1.75
30%
Win %
50%
1.65
Goals / game
1.85
2.10
Conceded / game
1.35
61%
BTTS %
42%
16%
Clean sheet %
44%
65%
Over 2.5 %
50%
6.8
Avg corners
5.0
16.1
Avg shots
12.7
5.5
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.3
12.2
Avg fouls
11.9
49.6%
Avg possession
49.5%
Home vs Away
Valerenga
Home (10)
—
Tromso
Away (10)
1.30
PPG
1.40
40%
Win %
40%
1.90
Goals / game
1.90
1.80
Conceded / game
2.00
67%
BTTS %
56%
17%
Clean sheet %
25%
78%
Over 2.5 %
69%
6.8
Avg corners
5.0
16.1
Avg shots
12.7
5.5
Avg shots on target
5.2
2.2
Avg yellow cards
1.3
49.6%
Avg possession
49.5%
Goals Scored
| Valerenga | Home | Away | Tromso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 78% | 84% | 69% | 73% | 71% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 53% | 31% | 49% | 48% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 34% | 47% | 15% | 24% | 24% | 25% |
| Failed To Score | 22% | 16% | 31% | 27% | 29% | 25% |
Goals Conceded
| Valerenga | Home | Away | Tromso | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 84% | 85% | 57% | 43% | 75% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 59% | 58% | 62% | 30% | 10% | 56% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 21% | 23% | 19% | 5% | 38% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 16% | 15% | 43% | 57% | 25% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Valerenga | Tromso | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 86% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 73% |
| Over 2.5 | 63% | 51% |
| Over 3.5 | 47% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 28% | 27% |
| BTTS | 63% | 43% |
| BTTS & Win | 22% | 22% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 8% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 35% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 16% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Valerenga | Tromso | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 32% |
| Draw 1st Half | 25% | 46% |
| Loss 1st Half | 41% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 56% | 46% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 66% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 49% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 41% | 24% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 28% | 27% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 57% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 63% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 91% | 68% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 47% | 35% |
Recent Venue Form
Valerenga (H)D
Fredrikstad1–1
Fredrikstad1–1L
Molde3–4
Molde3–4L
Bodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2L
Ham-Kam0–3
Ham-Kam0–3W
Aalesund6–1
Aalesund6–1WFredrikstad3–1
Fredrikstad3–1Tromso (A)W
Alta2–1
Alta2–1L
Rosenborg3–5
Rosenborg3–5L
Kristiansund BK0–2
Kristiansund BK0–2L
Brighton0–4
Brighton0–4W
Ulfstind5–0
Ulfstind5–0LMolde2–3
Molde2–3Number of Corners
12.6
Corners / Match
20 games
League Avg
10.9
163 games
9.3
Corners / Match
26 games
| Match Corners | Valerenga | Tromso | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 95% | 77% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 75% | 69% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 50% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 70% | 35% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 70% | 35% | 54% |
| Over 11 | 60% | 23% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 50% | 23% | 29% |
| Over 13 | 50% | 15% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Valerenga | Tromso |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 6.8 | 5.0 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 4.3 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 95% | 81% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 90% | 77% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 90% | 62% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 80% | 73% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 54% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 65% | 35% |
Head to Head · 21 matches
9
Valerenga
43%
6
Draws
29%
6
Tromso
29%
67%
Over 1.5
14/21
52%
Over 2.5
11/21
33%
Over 3.5
7/21
43%
BTTS
9/21
11/07/26Valerenga
Tromso
4–0Valerenga04/10/25Tromso
Valerenga
1–0Tromso31/05/25Valerenga
Tromso
2–1Valerenga15/03/25Tromso
Valerenga
1–4Tromso01/05/24Tromso
Valerenga
1–0Tromso17/03/24Tromso
Valerenga
3–1Tromso03/12/23Tromso
Valerenga
1–1Tromso09/07/23Valerenga
Tromso
0–0Valerenga21/08/22Tromso
Valerenga
1–0Tromso12/05/22Valerenga
Tromso
1–0Valerenga21/11/21Tromso
Valerenga
1–1Tromso15/08/21Valerenga
Tromso
1–1Valerenga02/05/21Tromso
Valerenga
3–4Tromso10/11/19Valerenga
Tromso
0–0Valerenga14/04/19Tromso
Valerenga
4–1Tromso19/08/18Tromso
Valerenga
3–0Tromso21/05/18Valerenga
Tromso
3–0Valerenga14/08/17Tromso
Valerenga
0–0Tromso03/06/17Valerenga
Tromso
2–4Valerenga23/10/16Valerenga
Tromso
0–3Valerenga| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bodo/Glimt | 20 | 16 | 2 | 2 | +35 | 50 |
| 2 |  Viking | 20 | 15 | 2 | 3 | +31 | 47 |
| 3 | Molde | 21 | 11 | 3 | 7 | +12 | 36 |
| 4 | Tromso | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | +10 | 35 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | +9 | 33 |
| 6 |  Lillestrom | 20 | 10 | 2 | 8 | +2 | 32 |
| 7 | Fredrikstad | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | -7 | 27 |
| 8 |  Brann | 20 | 8 | 2 | 10 | +6 | 26 |
| 9 |  Sarpsborg 08 FF | 21 | 6 | 7 | 8 | -5 | 25 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 21 | 7 | 4 | 10 | -10 | 25 |
| 11 | Ham-Kam | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | -14 | 23 |
| 12 | Valerenga | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | -9 | 22 |
| 13 | Aalesund | 21 | 4 | 9 | 8 | -13 | 21 |
| 14 |  Sandefjord | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 20 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 21 | 5 | 4 | 12 | -19 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 20 | 4 | 4 | 12 | -19 | 16 |
Team Insights
Valerenga- ●Valerenga have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Valerenga failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 19 matches.
- ●Valerenga have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Valerenga failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Valerenga failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Valerenga have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Valerenga failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Valerenga failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 10 away matches.
Tromso- ●Tromso have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Tromso have been undefeated in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Tromso have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Tromso failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Tromso have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tromso have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Tromso failed to keep a clean sheet in 8 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Tromso have won 4 of their 10 away matches.
- ●Tromso have scored in 7 of their 10 away matches.
- ●69% of Tromso's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
ValerengaDHFredrikstad1–1
Fredrikstad1–1LALillestrom0–2
Lillestrom0–2DASarpsborg 08 FF2–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF2–2LHMolde3–4
Molde3–4DAAalesund5–5
Aalesund5–5LHBodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2–AKFUM Oslo12/10
KFUM Oslo12/10–HBrann18/10
Brann18/10–ABodo/Glimt24/10
Bodo/Glimt24/10TromsoWHHam-Kam3–2
Ham-Kam3–2LARosenborg3–5
Rosenborg3–5LAKristiansund BK0–2
Kristiansund BK0–2DHSarpsborg 08 FF0–0
Sarpsborg 08 FF0–0LAMolde2–3
Molde2–3WAAalesund6–2
Aalesund6–2–AFredrikstad11/10
Fredrikstad11/10–HKFUM Oslo18/10
KFUM Oslo18/10–AViking25/10
Viking25/10Top Scorers
ValerengaL. Haren11 ⚽
C. Lange10 ⚽
M. Grundetjern8 ⚽
F. Thorvaldsen6 ⚽
E. Sorensen4 ⚽
G. Rajkovic3 ⚽
TromsoH. Larsen11 ⚽
J. Hjerto-Dahl8 ⚽
A. Thongla-Iad Warneryd5 ⚽
D. Braut5 ⚽
I. Dahlqvist3 ⚽
Ieltsin Camoes3 ⚽
Cards Given
Valerenga10 🟨
Aaron Kiil Olsen4 🟨
Sebastian Jarl3 🟨
Kolbeinn Finnsson3 🟨
Magnus Westergaard3 🟨
M. Grundetjern3 🟨
TromsoDavid Edvardsson5 🟨
Leo Cornic3 🟨
3 🟨
H. Larsen3 🟨
Lars Olden Larsen2 🟨
Alexander Warneryd2 🟨