Sarpsborg 08 FF vs Lillestrom — Eliteserien
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Sarpsborg Stadion·Sarpsborg·Norway·8,022
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Sarpsborg 08 FF and Lillestrom meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 22 November 2026. Sarpsborg 08 FF have recorded 14 wins from 36 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.53 goals scored and 1.56 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 61% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 64%; and clean sheets in 25% of games. Lillestrom have won 43% of their 46 matches, with 1.67 goals scored and 1.59 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 54%, Over 2.5 at 61%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.41 for Sarpsborg 08 FF and 1.32 for Lillestrom. The models give Sarpsborg 08 FF a 39% win probability, with a draw at 27% and an Lillestrom win at 34%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 51% and BTTS at 55%.
Season Statistics
Sarpsborg 08 FF—
Lillestrom10º
Position
6º
1.22
PPG
1.57
30%
Win %
48%
1.22
Goals / game
1.39
1.48
Conceded / game
1.35
61%
BTTS %
54%
25%
Clean sheet %
24%
64%
Over 2.5 %
61%
5.3
Avg corners
5.3
13.1
Avg shots
12.6
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
10.9
Avg fouls
11.1
45.6%
Avg possession
51.2%
Home vs Away
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Home (11)
—
Lillestrom
Away (12)
1.36
PPG
1.67
36%
Win %
50%
1.09
Goals / game
1.08
1.36
Conceded / game
1.17
59%
BTTS %
32%
29%
Clean sheet %
36%
65%
Over 2.5 %
36%
5.3
Avg corners
5.3
13.1
Avg shots
12.6
4.7
Avg shots on target
4.0
1.4
Avg yellow cards
1.7
45.6%
Avg possession
51.2%
Goals Scored
| Sarpsborg 08 | Home | Away | Lillestrom | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 88% | 74% | 72% | 88% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 44% | 53% | 37% | 50% | 58% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 22% | 24% | 21% | 22% | 29% | 14% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 12% | 26% | 28% | 13% | 45% |
Goals Conceded
| Sarpsborg 08 | Home | Away | Lillestrom | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 75% | 71% | 79% | 76% | 88% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 50% | 35% | 63% | 46% | 63% | 27% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 22% | 12% | 32% | 20% | 25% | 14% |
| Clean Sheets | 25% | 29% | 21% | 24% | 13% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Sarpsborg 08 | Lillestrom | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 | 81% | 85% |
| Over 2.5 | 64% | 61% |
| Over 3.5 | 36% | 41% |
| Over 4.5 | 19% | 20% |
| BTTS | 61% | 54% |
| BTTS & Win | 19% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 19% | 11% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 53% | 50% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 11% | 11% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Sarpsborg 08 | Lillestrom | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 40% | 39% |
| Loss 1st Half | 26% | 37% |
| Scored 1st Half | 74% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 60% | 57% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 39% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 30% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 30% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 37% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 51% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 89% | 74% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 57% | 46% |
Recent Venue Form
Sarpsborg 08 (H)L
Rosenborg0–3
Rosenborg0–3L
KFUM Oslo1–3
KFUM Oslo1–3D
Valerenga2–2
Valerenga2–2L
Sandefjord1–2
Sandefjord1–2W
Ham-Kam1–0
Ham-Kam1–0W
Viking1–0
Viking1–0Lillestrom (A)WSandefjord2–0
Sandefjord2–0D
Sparta Praha1–1
Sparta Praha1–1W
Bærum5–1
Bærum5–1LViking0–3
Viking0–3W
Brann2–1
Brann2–1W
Aurskog Finstadbru3–0
Aurskog Finstadbru3–0Number of Corners
10.8
Corners / Match
23 games
League Avg
10.8
184 games
10.8
Corners / Match
28 games
| Match Corners | Sarpsborg 08 | Lillestrom | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 91% | 89% | 88% |
| Over 7 | 78% | 82% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 74% | 79% | 73% |
| Over 9 | 61% | 68% | 63% |
| Over 10 | 48% | 54% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 43% | 43% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 35% | 29% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 26% | 11% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Sarpsborg 08 | Lillestrom |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 5.3 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.5 | 5.5 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 87% | 89% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 70% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 48% | 57% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 87% | 93% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 70% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 61% | 54% |
Head to Head · 20 matches
8
Sarpsborg 08
40%
5
Draws
25%
7
Lillestrom
35%
80%
Over 1.5
16/20
65%
Over 2.5
13/20
45%
Over 3.5
9/20
50%
BTTS
10/20
03/07/26Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
3–1Sarpsborg 08 FF03/05/26Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
4–0Sarpsborg 08 FF06/12/25Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
3–1Sarpsborg 08 FF28/07/24Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
2–2Sarpsborg 08 FF05/05/24Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–0Lillestrom17/09/23Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3–1Lillestrom16/05/23Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1–2Sarpsborg 08 FF31/07/22Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
0–2Lillestrom16/05/22Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1–0Sarpsborg 08 FF26/03/22Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2–2Lillestrom02/10/21Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2–1Lillestrom28/07/21Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
2–0Sarpsborg 08 FF01/12/19Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
0–0Sarpsborg 08 FF14/04/19Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1–0Lillestrom12/08/18Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
2–0Lillestrom17/03/18Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
2–2Sarpsborg 08 FF10/07/17Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3–3Lillestrom16/05/17Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
1–2Sarpsborg 08 FF17/07/16Lillestrom
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3–0Lillestrom09/04/16Sarpsborg 08 FF
Lillestrom
4–0Sarpsborg 08 FF| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Bodo/Glimt | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | +38 | 56 |
| 2 | Viking | 23 | 18 | 2 | 3 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 |  Molde | 23 | 12 | 4 | 7 | +17 | 40 |
| 4 |  Tromso | 23 | 11 | 7 | 5 | +11 | 40 |
| 5 | Rosenborg | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | +12 | 37 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | +1 | 36 |
| 7 | Brann | 23 | 9 | 2 | 12 | +3 | 29 |
| 8 |  Fredrikstad | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -8 | 29 |
| 9 | KFUM Oslo | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | -9 | 29 |
| 10 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | -6 | 28 |
| 11 | Valerenga | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -8 | 26 |
| 12 | Ham-Kam | 23 | 7 | 5 | 11 | -15 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | -8 | 24 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 23 | 5 | 9 | 9 | -12 | 24 |
| 15 |  Kristiansund BK | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | -24 | 19 |
| 16 |  Start | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | -29 | 16 |
Team Insights
Sarpsborg 08- ●Sarpsborg 08 FF failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Sarpsborg 08 FF have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Sarpsborg 08 FF have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Sarpsborg 08 FF have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Sarpsborg 08 FF failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Sarpsborg 08 FF failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Sarpsborg 08 FF have scored 68% of their goals in the first half.
Lillestrom- ●Lillestrom failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Lillestrom have kept a clean sheet in 5 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lillestrom have won 6 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Lillestrom have conceded 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
Sarpsborg 08LHRosenborg0–3
Rosenborg0–3WAAalesund4–2
Aalesund4–2LHKFUM Oslo1–3
KFUM Oslo1–3DAFredrikstad1–1
Fredrikstad1–1DHValerenga2–2
Valerenga2–2DATromso0–0
Tromso0–0–HAalesund25/10
Aalesund25/10–HKristiansund BK01/11
Kristiansund BK01/11–AHam-Kam08/11
Ham-Kam08/11LillestromWASandefjord2–0
Sandefjord2–0DHMolde2–2
Molde2–2LAViking0–3
Viking0–3WHValerenga2–0
Valerenga2–0WABrann2–1
Brann2–1LHFredrikstad1–4
Fredrikstad1–4–HBrann25/10
Brann25/10–AStart01/11
Start01/11–HAalesund08/11
Aalesund08/11Top Scorers
Sarpsborg 08D. Karlsbakk7 ⚽
A. Nibe6 ⚽
S. Sorli5 ⚽
V. E. Halvorsen4 ⚽
M. Opoku3 ⚽
A. Sanyang2 ⚽
Lillestrom9 ⚽
G. Nyheim8 ⚽
Felix Va7 ⚽
T. Olsen6 ⚽
L. Ranger5 ⚽
K. Arierhi5 ⚽
Cards Given
Sarpsborg 08Mamour Ndiaye6 🟨
Bjorn Utvik4 🟨
Menno Koch2 🟨
B. Utvik2 🟨
A. Sher2 🟨
Aimar Sher1 🟨
LillestromYlldren Ibrahimaj5 🟨
Gustav Kjolstad Nyheim4 🟨
G. Nyheim3 🟨
Felix Vá3 🟨
Fredrik Gulbrandsen3 🟨
H. Woxen3 🟨