Fredrikstad vs Aalesund — Eliteserien
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Fredrikstad and Aalesund meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 29 November 2026. Fredrikstad have recorded 15 wins from 37 matches this season (41% win rate), averaging 1.43 goals scored and 1.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 70% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 57%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Aalesund have won 37% of their 38 matches, with 1.89 goals scored and 1.95 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 82%, Over 2.5 at 74%, and clean sheets at 11%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.70 for Fredrikstad and 1.47 for Aalesund. The models give Fredrikstad a 45% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Aalesund win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 61% and BTTS at 62%.
Season Statistics
Fredrikstad—
Aalesund11º
Position
14º
1.21
PPG
1.00
33%
Win %
21%
1.21
Goals / game
1.67
1.71
Conceded / game
2.21
70%
BTTS %
82%
16%
Clean sheet %
11%
57%
Over 2.5 %
74%
4.3
Avg corners
5.3
11.8
Avg shots
15.5
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
10.6
Avg fouls
12.9
48.6%
Avg possession
43.4%
Home vs Away
Fredrikstad
Home (11)
—
Aalesund
Away (12)
1.64
PPG
1.00
45%
Win %
25%
1.27
Goals / game
1.33
1.09
Conceded / game
1.92
76%
BTTS %
86%
18%
Clean sheet %
5%
47%
Over 2.5 %
81%
4.3
Avg corners
5.3
11.8
Avg shots
15.5
3.8
Avg shots on target
5.1
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.2
48.6%
Avg possession
43.4%
Goals Scored
| Fredrikstad | Home | Away | Aalesund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 84% | 88% | 80% | 92% | 94% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 38% | 35% | 40% | 58% | 71% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 18% | 15% | 21% | 12% | 29% |
| Failed To Score | 16% | 12% | 20% | 8% | 6% | 10% |
Goals Conceded
| Fredrikstad | Home | Away | Aalesund | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 82% | 85% | 89% | 82% | 95% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 43% | 24% | 60% | 53% | 59% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 19% | 0% | 35% | 26% | 35% | 19% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 18% | 15% | 11% | 18% | 5% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fredrikstad | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 95% |
| Over 2.5 | 57% | 74% |
| Over 3.5 | 38% | 47% |
| Over 4.5 | 22% | 34% |
| BTTS | 70% | 82% |
| BTTS & Win | 27% | 26% |
| BTTS & Draw | 22% | 24% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 51% | 68% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 5% | 5% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fredrikstad | Aalesund | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 35% | 33% |
| Draw 1st Half | 27% | 36% |
| Loss 1st Half | 38% | 31% |
| Scored 1st Half | 54% | 67% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 57% | 64% |
| Win 2nd Half | 27% | 36% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 22% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 42% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 51% | 72% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 64% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 92% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 43% | 53% |
Recent Venue Form
Fredrikstad (H)D
Tromso1–1
Tromso1–1D
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1L
Bodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2W
Kristiansund BK1–0
Kristiansund BK1–0W
Sandefjord1–0
Sandefjord1–0L
Lillestrom0–2
Lillestrom0–2Aalesund (A)WKristiansund BK2–0
Kristiansund BK2–0LSarpsborg 08 FF1–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2WKristiansund BK4–1
Kristiansund BK4–1W
Molde2–1
Molde2–1W
Førde4–3
Førde4–3L
KFUM Oslo1–2
KFUM Oslo1–2Number of Corners
10.2
Corners / Match
24 games
League Avg
10.9
192 games
13.2
Corners / Match
24 games
| Match Corners | Fredrikstad | Aalesund | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 100% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 100% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 75% | 96% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 63% | 92% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 50% | 79% | 54% |
| Over 11 | 33% | 67% | 41% |
| Over 12 | 21% | 50% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 13% | 38% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fredrikstad | Aalesund |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 5.3 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 7.9 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 75% | 79% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 54% | 67% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 50% | 46% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 100% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 71% | 96% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 67% | 83% |
Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Fredrikstad
50%
2
Draws
50%
0
Aalesund
0%
100%
Over 1.5
4/4
100%
Over 2.5
4/4
100%
Over 3.5
4/4
100%
BTTS
4/4
07/04/26Fredrikstad
Aalesund
2–3Fredrikstad22/02/26Fredrikstad
Aalesund
2–3Fredrikstad06/11/21Aalesund
Fredrikstad
2–2Aalesund12/06/21Fredrikstad
Aalesund
2–2Fredrikstad| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 24 | 19 | 2 | 3 | +39 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 24 | 18 | 2 | 4 | +37 | 56 |
| 3 | Molde | 24 | 13 | 4 | 7 | +21 | 43 |
| 4 |  Rosenborg | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | +15 | 40 |
| 5 | Tromso | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 40 |
| 6 | Lillestrom | 24 | 12 | 3 | 9 | +2 | 39 |
| 7 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | -5 | 31 |
| 8 | KFUM Oslo | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | -9 | 30 |
| 9 |  Brann | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | +2 | 29 |
| 10 |  Valerenga | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -7 | 29 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | -12 | 29 |
| 12 |  Ham-Kam | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | -18 | 26 |
| 13 | Sandefjord | 24 | 6 | 6 | 12 | -9 | 24 |
| 14 | Aalesund | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | -13 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 24 | 5 | 5 | 14 | -24 | 20 |
| 16 |  Start | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | -28 | 19 |
Team Insights
Fredrikstad- ●Fredrikstad have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 10 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 5 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in 10 of their 11 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●71% of Fredrikstad's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Aalesund- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 17 matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 12 home matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 12 away matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in 12 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Aalesund failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored in 10 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Aalesund have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
FredrikstadLAMolde1–5
Molde1–5LAViking2–3
Viking2–3DHTromso1–1
Tromso1–1DAValerenga1–1
Valerenga1–1DHSarpsborg 08 FF1–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1LHBodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2–HRosenborg31/10
Rosenborg31/10–HBrann08/11
Brann08/11–AHam-Kam21/11
Ham-Kam21/11AalesundLASarpsborg 08 FF1–2
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–2WAKristiansund BK4–1
Kristiansund BK4–1LHSarpsborg 08 FF2–4
Sarpsborg 08 FF2–4WAMolde2–1
Molde2–1LAKFUM Oslo1–2
KFUM Oslo1–2WHStart2–0
Start2–0–HSandefjord31/10
Sandefjord31/10–ALillestrom08/11
Lillestrom08/11–HRosenborg22/11
Rosenborg22/11Top Scorers
FredrikstadH. Skogvold6 ⚽
O. Ohlenschlaeger5 ⚽
F. Holme4 ⚽
B. Faraas4 ⚽
Bryan Fiabema3 ⚽
D. Eid3 ⚽
AalesundM. Christensen7 ⚽
K. Lonebu7 ⚽
H. Melland5 ⚽
E. Osenbroch5 ⚽
Mathias Christensen4 ⚽
Elias Kristoffersen Hagen3 ⚽
Cards Given
Fredrikstad8 🟨
Max Nilsson4 🟨
Daniel Eid4 🟨
Fredrik Holmé3 🟨
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem3 🟨
Eirik Granaas3 🟨
AalesundMarius Andresen5 🟨
Mathias Christensen4 🟨
Ólafur Gudmundsson4 🟨
Aleksander Kjelsen3 🟨
Davíð Snær Jóhannsson3 🟨
M. Christensen3 🟨