Fredrikstad vs Molde — Eliteserien
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Fredrikstad and Molde meet in the Eliteserien 2026 season on 13 December 2026. Fredrikstad have recorded 15 wins from 38 matches this season (39% win rate), averaging 1.39 goals scored and 1.61 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 68% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 58%; and clean sheets in 16% of games. Molde have won 46% of their 37 matches, with 2.16 goals scored and 1.49 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 76%, Over 2.5 at 70%, and clean sheets at 16%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.65 for Fredrikstad and 1.73 for Molde. The models give Fredrikstad a 36% win probability, with a draw at 25% and an Molde win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 65% and BTTS at 66%.
Season Statistics
Fredrikstad—
Molde11º
Position
3º
1.16
PPG
1.72
32%
Win %
52%
1.16
Goals / game
2.36
1.76
Conceded / game
1.56
68%
BTTS %
76%
16%
Clean sheet %
16%
58%
Over 2.5 %
70%
4.3
Avg corners
5.6
11.9
Avg shots
16.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
10.7
Avg fouls
11.4
48.6%
Avg possession
60.0%
Home vs Away
Fredrikstad
Home (12)
—
Molde
Away (12)
1.50
PPG
1.25
42%
Win %
33%
1.17
Goals / game
2.00
1.25
Conceded / game
2.00
72%
BTTS %
86%
17%
Clean sheet %
7%
50%
Over 2.5 %
71%
4.3
Avg corners
5.6
11.9
Avg shots
16.0
3.8
Avg shots on target
6.3
1.7
Avg yellow cards
2.0
48.6%
Avg possession
60.0%
Goals Scored
| Fredrikstad | Home | Away | Molde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 82% | 83% | 80% | 89% | 87% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 37% | 33% | 40% | 54% | 61% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 17% | 15% | 32% | 39% | 21% |
| Failed To Score | 18% | 17% | 20% | 11% | 13% | 7% |
Goals Conceded
| Fredrikstad | Home | Away | Molde | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 84% | 83% | 85% | 84% | 78% | 93% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 45% | 28% | 60% | 46% | 30% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 21% | 6% | 35% | 14% | 9% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 16% | 17% | 15% | 16% | 22% | 7% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Fredrikstad | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 97% | 97% |
| Over 1.5 | 84% | 86% |
| Over 2.5 | 58% | 70% |
| Over 3.5 | 37% | 46% |
| Over 4.5 | 21% | 38% |
| BTTS | 68% | 76% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 32% |
| BTTS & Draw | 21% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 50% | 68% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 8% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Fredrikstad | Molde | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 34% | 49% |
| Draw 1st Half | 26% | 24% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 27% |
| Scored 1st Half | 53% | 65% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 58% | 51% |
| Win 2nd Half | 26% | 35% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 42% | 41% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 50% | 65% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 55% | 65% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 84% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 42% | 49% |
Recent Venue Form
Fredrikstad (H)L
Rosenborg0–3
Rosenborg0–3D
Tromso1–1
Tromso1–1D
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1L
Bodo/Glimt1–2
Bodo/Glimt1–2W
Kristiansund BK1–0
Kristiansund BK1–0W
Sandefjord1–0
Sandefjord1–0Molde (A)L
Brann2–3
Brann2–3D
Lillestrom2–2
Lillestrom2–2W
Trygg/Lade5–0
Trygg/Lade5–0W
Ham-Kam5–1
Ham-Kam5–1W
Valerenga4–3
Valerenga4–3W
Midsund11–0
Midsund11–0Number of Corners
10.1
Corners / Match
25 games
League Avg
10.9
200 games
10.4
Corners / Match
25 games
| Match Corners | Fredrikstad | Molde | League Avg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 6 | 88% | 96% | 89% |
| Over 7 | 88% | 88% | 83% |
| Over 8 | 72% | 76% | 74% |
| Over 9 | 60% | 56% | 64% |
| Over 10 | 48% | 44% | 53% |
| Over 11 | 32% | 32% | 40% |
| Over 12 | 20% | 20% | 30% |
| Over 13 | 12% | 12% | 21% |
Team Corners
| Team Corners | Fredrikstad | Molde |
|---|---|---|
| Corners Earned / Match | 4.3 | 5.6 |
| Corners Against / Match | 5.8 | 4.8 |
| Over 2.5 Corners For | 76% | 80% |
| Over 3.5 Corners For | 56% | 72% |
| Over 4.5 Corners For | 48% | 68% |
| Over 2.5 Corners Against | 88% | 76% |
| Over 3.5 Corners Against | 72% | 68% |
| Over 4.5 Corners Against | 64% | 48% |
Head to Head · 6 matches
2
Fredrikstad
33%
2
Draws
33%
2
Molde
33%
67%
Over 1.5
4/6
67%
Over 2.5
4/6
50%
Over 3.5
3/6
67%
BTTS
4/6
25/10/26Fredrikstad
Molde
5–1Fredrikstad13/09/25Fredrikstad
Molde
1–2Fredrikstad12/07/25Molde
Fredrikstad
4–2Molde07/12/24Molde
Fredrikstad
0–0Molde14/09/24Fredrikstad
Molde
6–1Fredrikstad13/07/24Molde
Fredrikstad
0–0Molde| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Viking | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 |
| 2 | Bodo/Glimt | 25 | 19 | 2 | 4 | +38 | 59 |
| 3 | Molde | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +20 | 43 |
| 4 | Rosenborg | 25 | 13 | 4 | 8 | +18 | 43 |
| 5 | Lillestrom | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | +3 | 42 |
| 6 | Tromso | 25 | 11 | 7 | 7 | +5 | 40 |
| 7 | Brann | 25 | 10 | 2 | 13 | +3 | 32 |
| 8 | Valerenga | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -3 | 32 |
| 9 | Sarpsborg 08 FF | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -7 | 31 |
| 10 |  KFUM Oslo | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | -9 | 31 |
| 11 | Fredrikstad | 25 | 8 | 5 | 12 | -15 | 29 |
| 12 | Sandefjord | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -8 | 27 |
| 13 | Ham-Kam | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -18 | 27 |
| 14 |  Aalesund | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | -14 | 24 |
| 15 | Kristiansund BK | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -22 | 23 |
| 16 |  Start | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | -29 | 19 |
Team Insights
Fredrikstad- ●Fredrikstad have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have lost their last 3 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have failed to win in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 12 home matches.
- ●Fredrikstad failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Fredrikstad have lost 8 of their 13 away matches.
- ●66% of Fredrikstad's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Fredrikstad have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Molde- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 17 matches.
- ●Molde have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 matches.
- ●Molde have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 11 home matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 9 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored in each of their last 8 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 4 away matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Molde have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Molde failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 12 away matches.
- ●Molde have scored in 11 of their 12 away matches.
Season Schedule
FredrikstadLHRosenborg0–3
Rosenborg0–3LAMolde1–5
Molde1–5LAViking2–3
Viking2–3DHTromso1–1
Tromso1–1DAValerenga1–1
Valerenga1–1DHSarpsborg 08 FF1–1
Sarpsborg 08 FF1–1–HBrann08/11
Brann08/11–AHam-Kam21/11
Ham-Kam21/11–HAalesund29/11
Aalesund29/11MoldeLABrann2–3
Brann2–3WHFredrikstad5–1
Fredrikstad5–1WHStart6–1
Start6–1DALillestrom2–2
Lillestrom2–2LHAalesund1–2
Aalesund1–2WAHam-Kam5–1
Ham-Kam5–1–ASandefjord08/11
Sandefjord08/11–HBodo/Glimt20/11
Bodo/Glimt20/11–ARosenborg28/11
Rosenborg28/11Top Scorers
FredrikstadH. Skogvold6 ⚽
O. Ohlenschlaeger5 ⚽
F. Holme4 ⚽
B. Faraas4 ⚽
Bryan Fiabema3 ⚽
D. Eid3 ⚽
MoldeE. Breivik9 ⚽
E. Hestad8 ⚽
Kristian Lonebu8 ⚽
Sander Hestetun Kilen5 ⚽
F. Gulbrandsen4 ⚽
Trent Kone-Doherty4 ⚽
Cards Given
Fredrikstad8 🟨
Max Nilsson5 🟨
Daniel Eid4 🟨
Fredrik Holmé3 🟨
Fanuel Ghebreyohannes Yrga-Alem3 🟨
Eirik Granaas3 🟨
MoldeSamukelo Kabini6 🟨
Eirik Hestad5 🟨
4 🟨
E. Breivik3 🟨
Jalal Abdullai3 🟨
Daniel Daga2 🟨