Stabaek vs Stromsgodset — 1. Division
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Stabaek and Stromsgodset meet in the 1. Division 2026 season on 8 November 2026. Stabaek have recorded 23 wins from 39 matches this season (59% win rate), averaging 2.44 goals scored and 1.41 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 62% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 74%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Stromsgodset have won 50% of their 34 matches, with 2.38 goals scored and 1.53 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 68%, Over 2.5 at 65%, and clean sheets at 24%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 2.15 for Stabaek and 1.96 for Stromsgodset. The models give Stabaek a 39% win probability, with a draw at 23% and an Stromsgodset win at 38%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 78% and BTTS at 76%.
Season Statistics
Stabaek—
Stromsgodset4º
Position
3º
1.84
PPG
2.16
56%
Win %
64%
2.36
Goals / game
2.64
1.32
Conceded / game
1.28
62%
BTTS %
68%
31%
Clean sheet %
24%
74%
Over 2.5 %
65%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Stabaek
Home (12)
—
Stromsgodset
Away (13)
2.33
PPG
1.92
75%
Win %
54%
2.92
Goals / game
2.69
1.33
Conceded / game
1.46
63%
BTTS %
67%
37%
Clean sheet %
22%
74%
Over 2.5 %
67%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Stabaek | Home | Away | Stromsgodset | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 92% | 100% | 85% | 91% | 94% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 72% | 84% | 60% | 66% | 65% | 67% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 38% | 47% | 30% | 49% | 47% | 50% |
| Failed To Score | 8% | 0% | 15% | 9% | 6% | 11% |
Goals Conceded
| Stabaek | Home | Away | Stromsgodset | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 63% | 75% | 77% | 76% | 78% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 49% | 42% | 55% | 37% | 24% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 16% | 10% | 20% | 6% | 33% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 37% | 25% | 23% | 24% | 22% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Stabaek | Stromsgodset | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 100% | 100% |
| Over 1.5 | 92% | 94% |
| Over 2.5 | 74% | 66% |
| Over 3.5 | 56% | 49% |
| Over 4.5 | 33% | 34% |
| BTTS | 62% | 69% |
| BTTS & Win | 28% | 29% |
| BTTS & Draw | 13% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 59% | 51% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 15% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Stabaek | Stromsgodset | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 44% | 40% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 37% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 23% |
| Scored 1st Half | 67% | 51% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 38% | 46% |
| Win 2nd Half | 62% | 51% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 13% | 26% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 26% | 23% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 77% | 83% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 54% | 60% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 77% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 49% | 43% |
Recent Venue Form
Stabaek (H)W
Sandnes ULF4–1
Sandnes ULF4–1D
Strommen2–2
Strommen2–2W
Sogndal2–1
Sogndal2–1L
Moss2–3
Moss2–3W
Ranheim4–2
Ranheim4–2W
Lyn4–3
Lyn4–3Stromsgodset (A)WLyn5–1
Lyn5–1W
Raufoss2–0
Raufoss2–0W
Asker4–1
Asker4–1D
ODD Ballklubb1–1
ODD Ballklubb1–1WSogndal3–2
Sogndal3–2W
Modum FK6–0
Modum FK6–0Head to Head · 18 matches
5
Stabaek
28%
4
Draws
22%
9
Stromsgodset
50%
78%
Over 1.5
14/18
61%
Over 2.5
11/18
33%
Over 3.5
6/18
56%
BTTS
10/18
05/04/26Stabaek
Stromsgodset
2–1Stabaek07/02/25Stromsgodset
Stabaek
1–4Stromsgodset03/09/23Stabaek
Stromsgodset
2–1Stabaek03/07/23Stromsgodset
Stabaek
0–1Stromsgodset29/09/21Stromsgodset
Stabaek
0–0Stromsgodset22/09/21Stabaek
Stromsgodset
5–1Stabaek18/07/21Stabaek
Stromsgodset
2–1Stabaek22/12/20Stabaek
Stromsgodset
0–4Stabaek01/07/20Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2–0Stromsgodset02/06/20Stabaek
Stromsgodset
1–0Stabaek31/08/19Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2–1Stromsgodset05/07/19Stabaek
Stromsgodset
0–2Stabaek24/11/18Stromsgodset
Stabaek
2–2Stromsgodset11/03/18Stabaek
Stromsgodset
2–2Stabaek16/09/17Stromsgodset
Stabaek
0–2Stromsgodset16/05/17Stabaek
Stromsgodset
1–2Stabaek31/07/16Stabaek
Stromsgodset
2–2Stabaek20/04/16Stromsgodset
Stabaek
0–1Stromsgodset| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Kongsvinger | 25 | 17 | 5 | 3 | +39 | 56 |
| 2 |  Haugesund | 25 | 18 | 2 | 5 | +35 | 56 |
| 3 | Stromsgodset | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | +34 | 54 |
| 4 | Stabaek | 25 | 14 | 4 | 7 | +26 | 46 |
| 5 | ODD Ballklubb | 25 | 12 | 6 | 7 | +13 | 42 |
| 6 |  Bryne | 25 | 12 | 2 | 11 | +1 | 38 |
| 7 |  hodd | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | -10 | 34 |
| 8 |  Egersund | 25 | 9 | 5 | 11 | -11 | 32 |
| 9 | Ranheim | 25 | 9 | 4 | 12 | -1 | 31 |
| 10 | Lyn | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -14 | 28 |
| 11 | Moss | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | -15 | 28 |
| 12 | Strommen | 25 | 7 | 6 | 12 | -17 | 27 |
| 13 | Sandnes ULF | 25 | 7 | 5 | 13 | -10 | 26 |
| 14 | Sogndal | 24 | 6 | 5 | 13 | -16 | 23 |
| 15 |  Asane | 25 | 6 | 5 | 14 | -18 | 23 |
| 16 | Raufoss | 24 | 6 | 1 | 17 | -36 | 19 |
Team Insights
Stabaek- ●Stabaek failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 8 matches.
- ●Stabaek have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Stabaek failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●Stabaek have scored in each of their last 13 home matches.
- ●Stabaek have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stabaek have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Stabaek failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Stabaek have scored in 13 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Stabaek have won 5 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Stabaek have scored in 10 of their 13 away matches.
- ●62% of Stabaek's goals have been scored at home.
Stromsgodset- ●Stromsgodset have won their last 5 matches.
- ●Stromsgodset have scored in each of their last 9 matches.
- ●Stromsgodset have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Stromsgodset have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●Stromsgodset have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Stromsgodset have scored in each of their last 13 away matches.
- ●Stromsgodset failed to keep a clean sheet in 9 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Stromsgodset have scored in 12 of their 13 home matches.
- ●Stromsgodset have won 7 of their 13 away matches.
- ●Stromsgodset have scored in 13 of their 13 away matches.
Season Schedule
StabaekWHSandnes ULF4–1
Sandnes ULF4–1DHStrommen2–2
Strommen2–2LAHaugesund0–2
Haugesund0–2WHSogndal2–1
Sogndal2–1LABryne0–2
Bryne0–2LHMoss2–3
Moss2–3–AAsane18/10
Asane18/10–HODD Ballklubb25/10
ODD Ballklubb25/10–AKongsvinger02/11
Kongsvinger02/11StromsgodsetWHKongsvinger5–1
Kongsvinger5–1WALyn5–1
Lyn5–1WHAsane1–0
Asane1–0WARaufoss2–0
Raufoss2–0WHSandnes ULF4–1
Sandnes ULF4–1DAODD Ballklubb1–1
ODD Ballklubb1–1–HHaugesund18/10
Haugesund18/10–AStrommen25/10
Strommen25/10–HMoss01/11
Moss01/11Top Scorers
StabaekM. Dahlby17 ⚽
J. Hanstad9 ⚽
A. Sanyang8 ⚽
W. Wendt7 ⚽
S. Olderheim5 ⚽
A. Matic5 ⚽
StromsgodsetS. Pingel21 ⚽
E. Melkersen14 ⚽
H. Stengel9 ⚽
M. Mehnert8 ⚽
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa7 ⚽
J. Taaje4 ⚽
Cards Given
StabaekO. Solnordal5 🟨
W. Wendt5 🟨
4 🟨
A. Matic4 🟨
B. Tobiassen3 🟨
M. Dahlby3 🟨
StromsgodsetK. Krasniqi5 🟨
5 🟨
F. P. Vilaseca Ardraa4 🟨
S. Pingel3 🟨
H. Stengel3 🟨
K. Antonsen3 🟨