Almagro vs Chacarita Juniors — Primera Nacional
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Almagro and Chacarita Juniors meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 10 October 2026. Almagro have recorded 9 wins from 29 matches this season (31% win rate), averaging 0.86 goals scored and 1.14 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 38% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 28%; and clean sheets in 31% of games. Chacarita Juniors have won 24% of their 29 matches, with 0.66 goals scored and 1.07 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 28%, Over 2.5 at 21%, and clean sheets at 28%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.18 for Almagro and 0.64 for Chacarita Juniors. The models give Almagro a 51% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Chacarita Juniors win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 28% and BTTS at 33%.
Season Statistics
Almagro—
Chacarita Juniors13º
Position
17º
1.21
PPG
0.93
31%
Win %
24%
0.86
Goals / game
0.66
1.14
Conceded / game
1.07
38%
BTTS %
28%
31%
Clean sheet %
28%
28%
Over 2.5 %
21%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Almagro
Home (15)
—
Chacarita Juniors
Away (15)
1.47
PPG
0.40
40%
Win %
7%
1.07
Goals / game
0.40
0.87
Conceded / game
1.33
40%
BTTS %
27%
40%
Clean sheet %
13%
27%
Over 2.5 %
13%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Almagro | Home | Away | Chacarita Juniors | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 59% | 73% | 43% | 45% | 57% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 24% | 33% | 14% | 17% | 29% | 7% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 0% | 7% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 41% | 27% | 57% | 55% | 43% | 67% |
Goals Conceded
| Almagro | Home | Away | Chacarita Juniors | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 69% | 60% | 79% | 72% | 57% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 28% | 27% | 29% | 28% | 14% | 40% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 14% | 7% | 7% | 7% |
| Clean Sheets | 31% | 40% | 21% | 28% | 43% | 13% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 90% | 90% |
| Over 1.5 | 62% | 52% |
| Over 2.5 | 28% | 21% |
| Over 3.5 | 10% | 7% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 3% |
| BTTS | 38% | 28% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 17% | 10% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 24% | 17% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Almagro | Chacarita Juniors | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 10% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 59% | 55% |
| Loss 1st Half | 31% | 28% |
| Scored 1st Half | 17% | 24% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 41% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 31% | 21% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 38% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 31% | 45% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 24% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 41% | 52% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 48% | 52% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 24% | 14% |
Recent Venue Form
Almagro (H)D
Deportivo Maipu2–2
Deportivo Maipu2–2L
Gimnasia Jujuy1–2
Gimnasia Jujuy1–2D
Colegiales0–0
Colegiales0–0L
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–2
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–2D
Midland1–1
Midland1–1W
Atletico DE Rafaela1–0
Atletico DE Rafaela1–0Chacarita Juniors (A)LMidland0–1
Midland0–1LGimnasia Y Tiro0–1
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–1L
CA Estudiantes0–2
CA Estudiantes0–2LAtletico DE Rafaela0–1
Atletico DE Rafaela0–1L
Tristan Suarez0–1
Tristan Suarez0–1DGimnasia Jujuy1–1
Gimnasia Jujuy1–1Head to Head · 12 matches
5
Almagro
42%
1
Draws
8%
6
Chacarita Juniors
50%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
50%
Over 2.5
6/12
8%
Over 3.5
1/12
25%
BTTS
3/12
24/05/26Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
1–0Almagro02/04/22Chacarita Juniors
Almagro
1–3Chacarita Juniors12/01/21Chacarita Juniors
Almagro
0–2Chacarita Juniors17/03/20Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
1–2Almagro21/09/19Chacarita Juniors
Almagro
0–0Chacarita Juniors28/08/18Chacarita Juniors
Almagro
1–0Chacarita Juniors03/06/17Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
3–0Almagro08/11/16Chacarita Juniors
Almagro
3–0Chacarita Juniors03/05/14Chacarita Juniors
Almagro
2–1Chacarita Juniors08/11/13Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
1–0Almagro25/05/13Chacarita Juniors
Almagro
3–0Chacarita Juniors03/12/12Almagro
Chacarita Juniors
2–0Almagro| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +20 | 55 |
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | +16 | 52 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 55 |
| 2 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 52 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +10 | 50 |
| 3 |  Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +14 | 46 |
| 5 |  Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 46 |
| 5 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 45 |
| 6 |  Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |  San Martin S.J. | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 41 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 39 |
| 8 | Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +6 | 40 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -2 | 39 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 40 |
| 9 |  Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 37 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 39 |
| 10 |  Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |  Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 |  Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 35 |
| 12 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 |  Atletico Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 |  Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 33 |
| 14 |  Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 |  Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |  All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 |  San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 |  San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 27 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -26 | 23 |
| 18 |  Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -15 | 23 |
Team Insights
Almagro- ●Almagro have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Almagro have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Almagro failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 14 away matches.
- ●64% of Almagro's goals have been scored at home.
Chacarita Juniors- ●Chacarita Juniors have failed to win in their last 7 matches.
- ●Chacarita Juniors have lost their last 4 matches.
- ●Chacarita Juniors have lost their last 5 away matches.
- ●Chacarita Juniors failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●Chacarita Juniors have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Chacarita Juniors failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Chacarita Juniors have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●68% of Chacarita Juniors's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Chacarita Juniors's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●78% of Chacarita Juniors's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
AlmagroDHDeportivo Maipu2–2
Deportivo Maipu2–2LHGimnasia Jujuy1–2
Gimnasia Jujuy1–2WAPatronato1–0
Patronato1–0DHColegiales0–0
Colegiales0–0LADeportivo Moron0–2
Deportivo Moron0–2DAQuilmes1–1
Quilmes1–1–ATemperley19/09
Temperley19/09–HNueva Chicago27/09
Nueva Chicago27/09–ASan Martin S.J.03/10
San Martin S.J.03/10Chacarita JuniorsLAMidland0–1
Midland0–1LHAtlanta0–1
Atlanta0–1LAGimnasia Y Tiro0–1
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–1LHSan Martin Tucuman1–2
San Martin Tucuman1–2DHClub Atlético Güemes0–0
Club Atlético Güemes0–0LACA Estudiantes0–2
CA Estudiantes0–2–HQuilmes20/09
Quilmes20/09–AColegiales26/09
Colegiales26/09–HPatronato03/10
Patronato03/10Top Scorers
AlmagroJ. Orlando5 ⚽
M. Benegas5 ⚽
F. De La Vega3 ⚽
J. Vitale2 ⚽
E. Martinez2 ⚽
F. Bustamante2 ⚽
Chacarita JuniorsM. Melendez6 ⚽
C. Guanca2 ⚽
J. Barbieri2 ⚽
F. Facello1 ⚽
L. Brun1 ⚽
M. Leyendeker1 ⚽
Cards Given
AlmagroM. Benegas9 🟨
J. Vitale6 🟨
E. Gonzalez5 🟨
J. Bustos5 🟨
J. Orlando5 🟨
P. Palacio5 🟨
Chacarita JuniorsA. Cuello8 🟨
F. Facello7 🟨
T. Perez6 🟨
B. Calderara5 🟨
J. Velazquez5 🟨
M. Melendez5 🟨