Deportivo Moron vs Atletico Mitre — Primera Nacional
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Deportivo Moron and Atletico Mitre meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 17 October 2026. Deportivo Moron have recorded 17 wins from 31 matches this season (55% win rate), averaging 1.58 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 52% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 52%; and clean sheets in 35% of games. Atletico Mitre have won 21% of their 29 matches, with 0.93 goals scored and 1.21 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 48%, Over 2.5 at 41%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.63 for Deportivo Moron and 0.66 for Atletico Mitre. The models give Deportivo Moron a 63% win probability, with a draw at 24% and an Atletico Mitre win at 13%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 40% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
Deportivo Moron—
Atletico Mitre1º
Position
13º
1.90
PPG
1.10
55%
Win %
21%
1.62
Goals / game
0.93
0.93
Conceded / game
1.21
52%
BTTS %
48%
35%
Clean sheet %
38%
52%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Deportivo Moron
Home (14)
—
Atletico Mitre
Away (14)
2.57
PPG
0.79
79%
Win %
7%
2.00
Goals / game
0.71
0.57
Conceded / game
1.36
47%
BTTS %
50%
53%
Clean sheet %
36%
47%
Over 2.5 %
43%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Deportivo Moron | Home | Away | Atletico Mitre | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 81% | 93% | 69% | 66% | 73% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 55% | 67% | 44% | 21% | 27% | 14% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 16% | 20% | 13% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 19% | 7% | 31% | 34% | 27% | 43% |
Goals Conceded
| Deportivo Moron | Home | Away | Atletico Mitre | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 65% | 47% | 81% | 62% | 60% | 64% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 29% | 20% | 38% | 34% | 27% | 43% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 21% | 20% | 21% |
| Clean Sheets | 35% | 53% | 19% | 38% | 40% | 36% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 79% |
| Over 1.5 | 77% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 52% | 41% |
| Over 3.5 | 23% | 24% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 0% |
| BTTS | 52% | 48% |
| BTTS & Win | 26% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 16% | 28% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 45% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 14% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Deportivo Moron | Atletico Mitre | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 45% | 17% |
| Draw 1st Half | 35% | 48% |
| Loss 1st Half | 19% | 34% |
| Scored 1st Half | 52% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 29% | 48% |
| Win 2nd Half | 42% | 38% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 35% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 23% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 48% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 68% | 66% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 29% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Deportivo Moron (H)W
San Miguel2–1
San Miguel2–1W
Almagro2–0
Almagro2–0W
Acassuso4–1
Acassuso4–1W
Ferro Carril Oeste4–0
Ferro Carril Oeste4–0D
Deportivo Madryn2–2
Deportivo Madryn2–2W
Almirante Brown1–0
Almirante Brown1–0Atletico Mitre (A)DFerro Carril Oeste0–0
Ferro Carril Oeste0–0LDeportivo Madryn0–4
Deportivo Madryn0–4W
Ciudad de Bolívar2–0
Ciudad de Bolívar2–0L
CA Estudiantes0–3
CA Estudiantes0–3LAlmirante Brown1–3
Almirante Brown1–3L
Godoy Cruz1–2
Godoy Cruz1–2Head to Head · 9 matches
3
Deportivo Moron
33%
4
Draws
44%
2
Atletico Mitre
22%
56%
Over 1.5
5/9
33%
Over 2.5
3/9
11%
Over 3.5
1/9
44%
BTTS
4/9
31/05/26Deportivo Moron
Atletico Mitre
1–3Deportivo Moron28/09/25Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
3–0Atletico Mitre25/05/25Deportivo Moron
Atletico Mitre
0–0Deportivo Moron22/09/24Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1–2Atletico Mitre04/05/24Deportivo Moron
Atletico Mitre
0–0Deportivo Moron18/09/22Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1–0Atletico Mitre14/10/19Deportivo Moron
Atletico Mitre
1–1Deportivo Moron11/12/18Deportivo Moron
Atletico Mitre
1–0Deportivo Moron10/03/18Atletico Mitre
Deportivo Moron
1–1Atletico Mitre| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +20 | 55 |
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | +16 | 52 |
| 2 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 55 |
| 2 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 52 |
| 3 |  Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +10 | 50 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 49 |
| 4 |  Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +14 | 46 |
| 5 | Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 46 |
| 5 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 45 |
| 6 |  Colon Santa Fe | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 45 |
| 6 |  Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 |  San Martin S.J. | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 41 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 39 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +6 | 40 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -2 | 39 |
| 9 |  Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 40 |
| 9 |  Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 37 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 39 |
| 10 |  Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 39 |
| 11 |  Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 |  Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 35 |
| 12 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -4 | 33 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 | Atletico Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
| 14 |  Agropecuario | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 33 |
| 14 |  Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | -8 | 31 |
| 15 |  Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |  All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 |  San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 |  Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 27 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -26 | 23 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -15 | 23 |
Team Insights
Deportivo Moron- ●Deportivo Moron have won their last 3 matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have scored a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have won their last 4 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have scored in each of their last 7 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have scored in 13 of their 14 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●70% of Deportivo Moron's goals conceded were conceded away.
Atletico Mitre- ●Atletico Mitre have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Atletico Mitre have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Atletico Mitre have been undefeated in their last 7 home matches.
- ●Atletico Mitre have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●63% of Atletico Mitre's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Deportivo MoronWARacing Cordoba2–1
Racing Cordoba2–1WAColon Santa Fe2–1
Colon Santa Fe2–1WHSan Miguel2–1
San Miguel2–1DACentral Norte0–0
Central Norte0–0DASan Telmo2–2
San Telmo2–2WHAlmagro2–0
Almagro2–0–HGodoy Cruz20/09
Godoy Cruz20/09–ALos Andes27/09
Los Andes27/09–HAll Boys03/10
All Boys03/10Atletico MitreDHChaco For Ever0–0
Chaco For Ever0–0DAFerro Carril Oeste0–0
Ferro Carril Oeste0–0DHCentral Norte2–2
Central Norte2–2LADeportivo Madryn0–4
Deportivo Madryn0–4DHClub Atlético Güemes1–1
Club Atlético Güemes1–1WHDefensores De Belgrano2–1
Defensores De Belgrano2–1–AAcassuso19/09
Acassuso19/09–HSan Telmo27/09
San Telmo27/09–ASan Miguel03/10
San Miguel03/10Top Scorers
Deportivo MoronF. Fagundez13 ⚽
F. Toloza7 ⚽
J. Olivares5 ⚽
M. Levato4 ⚽
E. Iniguez2 ⚽
G. Berterame2 ⚽
Atletico MitreM. Machado11 ⚽
S. Rosales2 ⚽
G. Fernandez2 ⚽
I. Antunes2 ⚽
J. Zarate2 ⚽
M. Vazquez1 ⚽
Cards Given
Deportivo MoronF. Vazquez10 🟨
J. Olivares9 🟨
B. Salvareschi8 🟨
M. Burruchaga8 🟨
E. Contreras7 🟨
F. Fagundez7 🟨
Atletico MitreM. Vazquez8 🟨
D. Abello7 🟨
P. Minissale6 🟨
E. Avaro5 🟨
T. Ferreyra5 🟨
F. Ferrari4 🟨