San Martin Tucuman vs Midland — Primera Nacional
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San Martin Tucuman and Midland meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 17 October 2026. San Martin Tucuman have recorded 9 wins from 31 matches this season (29% win rate), averaging 1.00 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 26%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Midland have won 41% of their 32 matches, with 1.16 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 47%, Over 2.5 at 31%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.29 for San Martin Tucuman and 0.86 for Midland. The models give San Martin Tucuman a 45% win probability, with a draw at 29% and an Midland win at 26%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 36% and BTTS at 42%.
Season Statistics
San Martin Tucuman—
Midland11º
Position
6º
1.29
PPG
1.52
29%
Win %
41%
0.96
Goals / game
1.10
0.93
Conceded / game
0.86
42%
BTTS %
47%
39%
Clean sheet %
38%
26%
Over 2.5 %
31%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
San Martin Tucuman
Home (14)
—
Midland
Away (14)
1.43
PPG
0.79
29%
Win %
14%
1.21
Goals / game
0.93
0.79
Conceded / game
1.36
47%
BTTS %
65%
47%
Clean sheet %
12%
40%
Over 2.5 %
47%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| San Martin | Home | Away | Midland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 65% | 73% | 56% | 78% | 87% | 71% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 29% | 47% | 13% | 34% | 40% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 35% | 27% | 44% | 22% | 13% | 29% |
Goals Conceded
| San Martin | Home | Away | Midland | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 53% | 69% | 63% | 33% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 26% | 20% | 31% | 22% | 7% | 35% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 0% | 0% | 0% | 6% | 0% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 47% | 31% | 38% | 67% | 12% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Martin | Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 84% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 71% | 66% |
| Over 2.5 | 26% | 31% |
| Over 3.5 | 6% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 3% |
| BTTS | 42% | 47% |
| BTTS & Win | 6% | 9% |
| BTTS & Draw | 29% | 25% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 19% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 6% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Martin | Midland | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 26% | 41% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 29% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 35% | 47% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 39% | 28% |
| Win 2nd Half | 29% | 44% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 39% | 25% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 32% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 39% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 65% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 19% | 16% |
Recent Venue Form
San Martin (H)W
Agropecuario3–0
Agropecuario3–0D
Club Atlético Güemes1–1
Club Atlético Güemes1–1D
Deportivo Madryn2–2
Deportivo Madryn2–2D
San Martin S.J.1–1
San Martin S.J.1–1L
Temperley1–2
Temperley1–2W
Almagro3–0
Almagro3–0Midland (A)LSan Martin S.J.2–3
San Martin S.J.2–3L
Colegiales0–3
Colegiales0–3LTemperley1–2
Temperley1–2D
Banfield2–2
Banfield2–2D
Acassuso1–1
Acassuso1–1DAlmagro1–1
Almagro1–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
San Martin
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Midland
100%
100%
Over 1.5
1/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
31/05/26San Martin Tucuman
Midland
2–0San Martin Tucuman| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Deportivo Moron | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +20 | 55 |
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | +16 | 52 |
| 2 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 55 |
| 2 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 52 |
| 3 | Temperley | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +10 | 50 |
| 3 | Deportivo Madryn | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | +15 | 46 |
| 4 |  Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 4 |  Godoy Cruz | 28 | 13 | 7 | 8 | +9 | 46 |
| 5 |  Almirante Brown | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 46 |
| 5 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 45 |
| 6 |  Colon Santa Fe | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | +12 | 45 |
| 6 | Midland | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 44 |
| 7 | San Martin S.J. | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 41 |
| 7 |  CA Estudiantes | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 39 |
| 8 |  Deportivo Maipu | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +6 | 40 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -2 | 39 |
| 9 | Colegiales | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 40 |
| 9 |  Los Andes | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 37 |
| 10 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 39 |
| 10 |  Racing Cordoba | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 11 | San Martin Tucuman | 28 | 8 | 12 | 8 | +1 | 36 |
| 11 |  Chaco For Ever | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 |
| 12 |  Quilmes | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 35 |
| 12 |  Atletico Mitre | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | -8 | 32 |
| 13 | Almagro | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 |
| 13 |  Central Norte | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | -8 | 31 |
| 14 | Agropecuario | 28 | 8 | 9 | 11 | -6 | 33 |
| 14 |  All Boys | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | -9 | 31 |
| 15 |  Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |  San Telmo | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | -5 | 30 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 |  San Miguel | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 30 |
| 17 |  Chacarita Juniors | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 27 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -26 | 23 |
| 18 | Acassuso | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -15 | 23 |
Team Insights
San Martin- ●San Martin Tucuman have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Martin Tucuman have scored in each of their last 6 home matches.
- ●San Martin Tucuman have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●San Martin Tucuman failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 14 away matches.
- ●67% of San Martin Tucuman's goals have been scored at home.
Midland- ●Midland have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Midland have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Midland have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Midland have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Midland failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 11 away matches.
- ●Midland have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 away matches.
- ●Midland have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Midland have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Midland failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 14 away matches.
- ●76% of Midland's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●75% of Midland's points have been earned at home.
Season Schedule
San MartinWHAgropecuario3–0
Agropecuario3–0LATristan Suarez0–2
Tristan Suarez0–2DHClub Atlético Güemes1–1
Club Atlético Güemes1–1WAChacarita Juniors2–1
Chacarita Juniors2–1DHDeportivo Madryn2–2
Deportivo Madryn2–2DHSan Martin S.J.1–1
San Martin S.J.1–1–AAtletico DE Rafaela19/09
Atletico DE Rafaela19/09–AGimnasia Jujuy27/09
Gimnasia Jujuy27/09–HGimnasia Y Tiro03/10
Gimnasia Y Tiro03/10MidlandWHChacarita Juniors1–0
Chacarita Juniors1–0LASan Martin S.J.2–3
San Martin S.J.2–3LAColegiales0–3
Colegiales0–3WHNueva Chicago2–0
Nueva Chicago2–0LATemperley1–2
Temperley1–2DAAcassuso1–1
Acassuso1–1–AClub Atlético Güemes20/09
Club Atlético Güemes20/09–HTristan Suarez27/09
Tristan Suarez27/09–AAgropecuario03/10
Agropecuario03/10Top Scorers
San MartinD. Diellos4 ⚽
B. Cabrera4 ⚽
L. Arfaras3 ⚽
L. Ovando3 ⚽
G. Carabajal3 ⚽
N. Ferreyra3 ⚽
MidlandM. Rogoski6 ⚽
D. Bulacio5 ⚽
M. Roseti4 ⚽
M. Flores4 ⚽
A. I. Campana3 ⚽
J. Perales3 ⚽
Cards Given
San MartinS. Brinone11 🟨
N. Ferreyra10 🟨
J. Juarez9 🟨
D. Diellos8 🟨
E. Parnisari7 🟨
L. Diarte6 🟨
MidlandP. Casarico7 🟨
N. Violini6 🟨
G. Cepeda6 🟨
F. Gonzalez5 🟨
M. Penepil5 🟨
L. Diaz Laharque4 🟨