San Miguel vs Ciudad de Bolívar — Primera Nacional
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San Miguel and Ciudad de Bolívar meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 17 October 2026. San Miguel have recorded 6 wins from 30 matches this season (20% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 1.20 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 43% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 30% of games. Ciudad de Bolívar have won 30% of their 30 matches, with 0.80 goals scored and 0.90 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 40%, Over 2.5 at 23%, and clean sheets at 47%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.94 for San Miguel and 0.82 for Ciudad de Bolívar. The models give San Miguel a 37% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Ciudad de Bolívar win at 31%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 26% and BTTS at 34%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| San Miguel | Home | Away | Ciudad de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 71% | 50% | 63% | 67% | 60% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 21% | 13% | 13% | 13% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 0% | 0% | 0% | 3% | 7% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 29% | 50% | 37% | 33% | 40% |
Goals Conceded
| San Miguel | Home | Away | Ciudad de | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 70% | 57% | 81% | 53% | 53% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 29% | 38% | 23% | 27% | 20% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 13% | 0% | 25% | 10% | 7% | 13% |
| Clean Sheets | 30% | 43% | 19% | 47% | 47% | 47% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Miguel | Ciudad de | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 | 70% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 23% |
| Over 3.5 | 7% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 3% |
| BTTS | 43% | 40% |
| BTTS & Win | 3% | 7% |
| BTTS & Draw | 27% | 17% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 20% | 23% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 13% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Miguel | Ciudad de | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 20% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 70% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 10% |
| Scored 1st Half | 27% | 37% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 33% |
| Win 2nd Half | 23% | 27% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 40% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 33% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 37% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 53% | 37% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 23% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +20 | 55 | |
| 1 | 28 | 14 | 10 | 4 | +16 | 52 | |
| 2 | 29 | 16 | 7 | 6 | +9 | 55 | |
| 2 | 29 | 15 | 7 | 7 | +9 | 52 | |
| 3 | 29 | 13 | 11 | 5 | +10 | 50 | |
| 3 | 29 | 14 | 7 | 8 | +11 | 49 | |
| 4 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 | |
| 4 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +14 | 46 | |
| 5 | 29 | 12 | 10 | 7 | +7 | 46 | |
| 5 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +5 | 45 | |
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 9 | 8 | +10 | 45 | |
| 6 | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | +7 | 44 | |
| 7 | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | +4 | 41 | |
| 7 | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | +1 | 39 | |
| 8 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +6 | 40 | |
| 8 | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | -2 | 39 | |
| 9 | 29 | 11 | 7 | 11 | +1 | 40 | |
| 9 | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | +5 | 37 | |
| 10 | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | +4 | 39 | |
| 10 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 | |
| 11 | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | -3 | 39 | |
| 11 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -3 | 33 | |
| 12 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | +4 | 35 | |
| 12 | 29 | 7 | 12 | 10 | -4 | 33 | |
| 13 | 29 | 9 | 8 | 12 | -8 | 35 | |
| 13 | 29 | 6 | 14 | 9 | -8 | 32 | |
| 14 | 29 | 8 | 9 | 12 | -9 | 33 | |
| 14 | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | -8 | 31 | |
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 | |
| 15 | 29 | 6 | 13 | 10 | -9 | 31 | |
| 16 | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | -10 | 31 | |
| 16 | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 | |
| 17 | 29 | 6 | 12 | 11 | -10 | 30 | |
| 17 | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | -12 | 27 | |
| 18 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -26 | 23 | |
| 18 | 29 | 5 | 8 | 16 | -15 | 23 |
Team Insights
- ●San Miguel have failed to win in their last 5 matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●San Miguel have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 14 home matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Ciudad de Bolívar have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ciudad de Bolívar have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 home matches.
- ●Ciudad de Bolívar have lost their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ciudad de Bolívar failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 5 away matches.
- ●Ciudad de Bolívar have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Ciudad de Bolívar have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 14 away matches.
- ●Ciudad de Bolívar have won 5 of their 14 away matches.