Almagro vs Tristan Suarez — Primera Nacional
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Almagro and Tristan Suarez meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Almagro have recorded 11 wins from 33 matches this season (33% win rate), averaging 0.91 goals scored and 1.18 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 42% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 27% of games. Tristan Suarez have won 44% of their 34 matches, with 0.94 goals scored and 0.47 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 26%, Over 2.5 at 24%, and clean sheets at 68%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 0.80 for Almagro and 0.85 for Tristan Suarez. The models give Almagro a 28% win probability, with a draw at 33% and an Tristan Suarez win at 39%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 23% and BTTS at 31%.
Season Statistics
Almagro—
Tristan Suarez12º
Position
1º
1.24
PPG
1.79
33%
Win %
45%
0.91
Goals / game
0.97
1.18
Conceded / game
0.45
42%
BTTS %
26%
27%
Clean sheet %
68%
33%
Over 2.5 %
24%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Almagro
Home (17)
—
Tristan Suarez
Away (17)
1.47
PPG
1.65
41%
Win %
41%
1.06
Goals / game
0.82
0.88
Conceded / game
0.47
41%
BTTS %
22%
35%
Clean sheet %
67%
29%
Over 2.5 %
17%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Almagro | Home | Away | Tristan Suarez | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 61% | 71% | 50% | 59% | 63% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 35% | 19% | 26% | 38% | 17% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 0% | 6% | 9% | 13% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 39% | 29% | 50% | 41% | 38% | 44% |
Goals Conceded
| Almagro | Home | Away | Tristan Suarez | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 73% | 65% | 81% | 32% | 31% | 33% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 27% | 24% | 31% | 9% | 6% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 9% | 0% | 19% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 27% | 35% | 19% | 68% | 69% | 67% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Almagro | Tristan Suarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 91% | 65% |
| Over 1.5 | 64% | 41% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 24% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 12% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 0% |
| BTTS | 42% | 26% |
| BTTS & Win | 15% | 12% |
| BTTS & Draw | 15% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 21% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Almagro | Tristan Suarez | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 9% | 26% |
| Draw 1st Half | 61% | 65% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 9% |
| Scored 1st Half | 21% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 24% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 62% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 9% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 45% | 35% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 15% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 52% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 27% | 26% |
Recent Venue Form
Almagro (H)W
Chacarita Juniors2–1
Chacarita Juniors2–1L
Nueva Chicago0–1
Nueva Chicago0–1D
Deportivo Maipu2–2
Deportivo Maipu2–2L
Gimnasia Jujuy1–2
Gimnasia Jujuy1–2D
Colegiales0–0
Colegiales0–0L
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–2
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–2Tristan Suarez (A)DColegiales0–0
Colegiales0–0W
Midland1–0
Midland1–0D
San Martin S.J.0–0
San Martin S.J.0–0DGimnasia Y Tiro0–0
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–0L
Atletico DE Rafaela1–2
Atletico DE Rafaela1–2WGimnasia Jujuy2–0
Gimnasia Jujuy2–0Head to Head · 14 matches
2
Almagro
14%
6
Draws
43%
6
Tristan Suarez
43%
57%
Over 1.5
8/14
36%
Over 2.5
5/14
14%
Over 3.5
2/14
50%
BTTS
7/14
06/06/26Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0–0Almagro21/06/25Tristan Suarez
Almagro
0–1Tristan Suarez15/02/25Almagro
Tristan Suarez
2–1Almagro11/03/22Tristan Suarez
Almagro
1–0Tristan Suarez23/07/21Almagro
Tristan Suarez
1–1Almagro16/03/21Tristan Suarez
Almagro
1–3Tristan Suarez22/09/15Tristan Suarez
Almagro
1–0Tristan Suarez06/05/15Almagro
Tristan Suarez
1–0Almagro26/05/14Tristan Suarez
Almagro
1–1Tristan Suarez08/12/13Almagro
Tristan Suarez
0–0Almagro08/04/13Tristan Suarez
Almagro
1–1Tristan Suarez19/10/12Almagro
Tristan Suarez
3–0Almagro30/04/12Almagro
Tristan Suarez
2–1Almagro20/11/11Tristan Suarez
Almagro
2–2Tristan Suarez| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 62 |
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | +17 | 59 |
| 2 |  Temperley | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | +13 | 59 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Moron | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | +17 | 58 |
| 3 |  Atlanta | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | +9 | 58 |
| 3 |  Godoy Cruz | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 57 |
| 4 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | +8 | 55 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +17 | 53 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +14 | 53 |
| 5 | Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +12 | 51 |
| 6 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 49 |
| 6 |  CA Estudiantes | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 48 |
| 7 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 48 |
| 7 | Deportivo Maipu | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +8 | 48 |
| 8 |  Almirante Brown | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | +4 | 47 |
| 8 | Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +1 | 47 |
| 9 | San Martin S.J. | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 |  Los Andes | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | +1 | 40 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +2 | 43 |
| 10 |  Chaco For Ever | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 | Atletico DE Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 |  Racing Cordoba | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 | Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 |  Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 |  San Telmo | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 |  Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | +2 | 39 |
| 14 |  Atletico Mitre | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | -10 | 36 |
| 15 |  Patronato | 33 | 7 | 16 | 10 | -3 | 37 |
| 15 |  Central Norte | 33 | 6 | 16 | 11 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 | Nueva Chicago | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 |  All Boys | 33 | 6 | 16 | 11 | -10 | 34 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -10 | 32 |
| 18 |  San Miguel | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -33 | 23 |
Team Insights
Almagro- ●Almagro have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Almagro failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Almagro failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 16 away matches.
Tristan Suarez- ●Tristan Suarez have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 7 matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have been undefeated in their last 9 home matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have kept a clean sheet in 11 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have kept a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have won 7 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Tristan Suarez have conceded 60% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
AlmagroWHChacarita Juniors2–1
Chacarita Juniors2–1WASan Martin S.J.2–1
San Martin S.J.2–1LHNueva Chicago0–1
Nueva Chicago0–1LATemperley1–3
Temperley1–3DHDeportivo Maipu2–2
Deportivo Maipu2–2LHGimnasia Jujuy1–2
Gimnasia Jujuy1–2–AClub Atlético Güemes18/10
Club Atlético Güemes18/10–HTristan Suarez24/10
Tristan Suarez24/10–AAgropecuario31/10
Agropecuario31/10Tristan SuarezDAColegiales0–0
Colegiales0–0DHQuilmes0–0
Quilmes0–0WAMidland1–0
Midland1–0DHAtlanta0–0
Atlanta0–0DASan Martin S.J.0–0
San Martin S.J.0–0DAGimnasia Y Tiro0–0
Gimnasia Y Tiro0–0–HPatronato17/10
Patronato17/10–AAlmagro24/10
Almagro24/10–HDeportivo Maipu31/10
Deportivo Maipu31/10Top Scorers
AlmagroM. Benegas5 ⚽
J. Orlando5 ⚽
F. De La Vega5 ⚽
F. Bustamante2 ⚽
J. Marchioni2 ⚽
J. Bustos2 ⚽
Tristan SuarezM. Alvarez6 ⚽
D. Becker5 ⚽
J. Beron5 ⚽
A. Almada2 ⚽
K. Colli2 ⚽
M. Guzman2 ⚽
Cards Given
AlmagroM. Benegas9 🟨
J. Vitale6 🟨
J. Bustos5 🟨
J. Orlando5 🟨
E. Gonzalez5 🟨
P. Palacio5 🟨
Tristan SuarezJ. Beron10 🟨
B. Aguilar8 🟨
M. Guillen5 🟨
A. Baldi5 🟨
K. Colli5 🟨
N. Del Priore5 🟨