Almirante Brown vs Deportivo Moron — Primera Nacional
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Almirante Brown and Deportivo Moron meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Almirante Brown have recorded 12 wins from 30 matches this season (40% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 0.57 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 23% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 17%; and clean sheets in 60% of games. Deportivo Moron have won 53% of their 32 matches, with 1.56 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 53%, Over 2.5 at 53%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.12 for Almirante Brown and 0.79 for Deportivo Moron. The models give Almirante Brown a 41% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an Deportivo Moron win at 28%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 37%.
Season Statistics
Almirante Brown—
Deportivo Moron6º
Position
2º
1.53
PPG
1.83
40%
Win %
53%
0.77
Goals / game
1.60
0.57
Conceded / game
0.97
23%
BTTS %
53%
60%
Clean sheet %
34%
17%
Over 2.5 %
53%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Almirante Brown
Home (15)
—
Deportivo Moron
Away (15)
2.07
PPG
1.27
60%
Win %
33%
1.00
Goals / game
1.27
0.40
Conceded / game
1.27
20%
BTTS %
56%
67%
Clean sheet %
19%
13%
Over 2.5 %
56%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Almirante Brown | Home | Away | Deportivo Moron | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 67% | 47% | 81% | 94% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 27% | 7% | 53% | 63% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 7% | 0% | 16% | 19% | 13% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 33% | 53% | 19% | 6% | 31% |
Goals Conceded
| Almirante Brown | Home | Away | Deportivo Moron | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 40% | 33% | 47% | 66% | 50% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 13% | 7% | 20% | 31% | 25% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Clean Sheets | 60% | 67% | 53% | 34% | 50% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Almirante Brown | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 73% | 94% |
| Over 1.5 | 37% | 78% |
| Over 2.5 | 17% | 53% |
| Over 3.5 | 7% | 22% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 6% |
| BTTS | 23% | 53% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 25% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 47% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 0% | 6% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Almirante Brown | Deportivo Moron | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 27% | 44% |
| Draw 1st Half | 60% | 38% |
| Loss 1st Half | 13% | 19% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 53% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 20% | 31% |
| Win 2nd Half | 33% | 41% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 47% | 34% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 20% | 25% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 37% | 59% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 23% | 50% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 47% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 10% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Almirante Brown (H)D
Ferro Carril Oeste0–0
Ferro Carril Oeste0–0W
Deportivo Madryn1–0
Deportivo Madryn1–0W
Ciudad de Bolívar2–0
Ciudad de Bolívar2–0W
Racing Cordoba2–0
Racing Cordoba2–0D
CA Estudiantes0–0
CA Estudiantes0–0W
Los Andes1–0
Los Andes1–0Deportivo Moron (A)WRacing Cordoba2–1
Racing Cordoba2–1W
Colon Santa Fe2–1
Colon Santa Fe2–1D
Central Norte0–0
Central Norte0–0D
San Telmo2–2
San Telmo2–2L
Chaco For Ever0–2
Chaco For Ever0–2L
Defensores De Belgrano1–2
Defensores De Belgrano1–2Head to Head · 12 matches
1
Almirante Brown
8%
6
Draws
50%
5
Deportivo Moron
42%
67%
Over 1.5
8/12
25%
Over 2.5
3/12
17%
Over 3.5
2/12
58%
BTTS
7/12
07/06/26Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
1–0Almirante Brown14/06/25Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
2–0Almirante Brown09/02/25Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–1Deportivo Moron25/08/24Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
0–1Almirante Brown06/04/24Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–1Deportivo Moron27/08/23Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
0–1Deportivo Moron15/04/23Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
2–2Almirante Brown18/06/22Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–1Deportivo Moron21/06/17Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
0–0Almirante Brown06/12/16Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–1Deportivo Moron14/07/15Deportivo Moron
Almirante Brown
1–2Deportivo Moron04/03/15Almirante Brown
Deportivo Moron
4–3Almirante Brown| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 58 |
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | +16 | 53 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 55 |
| 2 |  Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 53 |
| 3 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 53 |
| 3 |  Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +12 | 52 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +16 | 49 |
| 4 |  Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |  Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 47 |
| 6 | Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 6 |  San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 7 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 | CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +6 | 41 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | +2 | 37 |
| 10 |  Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 |  San Martin Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | +2 | 39 |
| 11 | Defensores De Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 | Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 35 |
| 13 |  All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 |  Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 |  Atletico Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 |  Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 |  San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 |  Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 |  Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 26 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -28 | 23 |
Team Insights
Almirante Brown- ●Almirante Brown have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●Almirante Brown have been undefeated in their last 12 home matches.
- ●Almirante Brown have kept a clean sheet in their last 6 home matches.
- ●Almirante Brown have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Almirante Brown have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●65% of Almirante Brown's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Almirante Brown's goals conceded were conceded away.
Deportivo Moron- ●Deportivo Moron have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have won their last 2 away matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Deportivo Moron failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 15 away matches.
- ●66% of Deportivo Moron's goals conceded were conceded away.
Season Schedule
Almirante BrownLAChaco For Ever0–1
Chaco For Ever0–1DHFerro Carril Oeste0–0
Ferro Carril Oeste0–0DACentral Norte0–0
Central Norte0–0WHDeportivo Madryn1–0
Deportivo Madryn1–0WADefensores De Belgrano2–0
Defensores De Belgrano2–0LATristan Suarez1–3
Tristan Suarez1–3–HAcassuso27/09
Acassuso27/09–ASan Telmo03/10
San Telmo03/10–HSan Miguel10/10
San Miguel10/10Deportivo MoronLHGodoy Cruz1–2
Godoy Cruz1–2WARacing Cordoba2–1
Racing Cordoba2–1WAColon Santa Fe2–1
Colon Santa Fe2–1WHSan Miguel2–1
San Miguel2–1DACentral Norte0–0
Central Norte0–0DASan Telmo2–2
San Telmo2–2–ALos Andes27/09
Los Andes27/09–HAll Boys03/10
All Boys03/10–ACA Estudiantes10/10
CA Estudiantes10/10Top Scorers
Almirante BrownS. Vera3 ⚽
E. Martinez3 ⚽
M. Zanotti2 ⚽
J. Ibanez2 ⚽
M. Abreliano2 ⚽
M. Santiago2 ⚽
Deportivo MoronF. Fagundez13 ⚽
F. Toloza7 ⚽
J. Olivares5 ⚽
M. Levato4 ⚽
E. Iniguez2 ⚽
D. Bulacio2 ⚽
Cards Given
Almirante BrownE. Cardozo10 🟨
R. Gonzalez8 🟨
G. Alegre Rojas7 🟨
R. Fernandez4 🟨
M. Abreliano4 🟨
M. Levi4 🟨
Deportivo MoronF. Vazquez10 🟨
J. Olivares9 🟨
M. Burruchaga9 🟨
B. Salvareschi8 🟨
E. Contreras7 🟨
F. Fagundez7 🟨