Colegiales vs Atletico DE Rafaela — Primera Nacional
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Colegiales and Atletico DE Rafaela meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Colegiales have recorded 11 wins from 30 matches this season (37% win rate), averaging 0.97 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 33%; and clean sheets in 43% of games. Atletico DE Rafaela have won 35% of their 31 matches, with 0.81 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 32%, Over 2.5 at 29%, and clean sheets at 48%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.35 for Colegiales and 0.50 for Atletico DE Rafaela. The models give Colegiales a 55% win probability, with a draw at 28% and an Atletico DE Rafaela win at 17%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 29% and BTTS at 29%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Colegiales | Home | Away | Atletico DE | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 60% | 87% | 33% | 58% | 80% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 23% | 47% | 0% | 10% | 20% | 0% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 10% | 20% | 0% | 6% | 13% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 40% | 13% | 67% | 42% | 20% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Colegiales | Home | Away | Atletico DE | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 57% | 40% | 73% | 52% | 33% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 37% | 13% | 60% | 35% | 20% | 50% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 0% | 13% | 6% | 7% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 43% | 60% | 27% | 48% | 67% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Colegiales | Atletico DE | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 83% | 77% |
| Over 1.5 | 60% | 48% |
| Over 2.5 | 33% | 29% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 10% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 6% |
| BTTS | 33% | 32% |
| BTTS & Win | 10% | 10% |
| BTTS & Draw | 7% | 6% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 30% | 26% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Colegiales | Atletico DE | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 20% | 13% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 58% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 30% | 23% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 37% | 39% |
| Win 2nd Half | 40% | 29% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 27% | 42% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 43% | 42% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 47% | 42% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 52% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 17% | 10% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 1 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 58 | |
| 1 | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | +16 | 53 | |
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 55 | |
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 53 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 53 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +12 | 52 | |
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +16 | 49 | |
| 4 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 47 | |
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 46 | |
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +6 | 45 | |
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +4 | 45 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 | |
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 42 | |
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | -3 | 39 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +6 | 41 | |
| 9 | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | +2 | 37 | |
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 40 | |
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -2 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | +2 | 39 | |
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | -3 | 36 | |
| 12 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 36 | |
| 12 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 35 | |
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -9 | 32 | |
| 14 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 | |
| 14 | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -10 | 32 | |
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 | |
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -9 | 31 | |
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 | |
| 16 | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 | |
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 | |
| 17 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -9 | 30 | |
| 18 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 26 | |
| 18 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -28 | 23 |
Team Insights
- ●Colegiales have won their last 3 home matches.
- ●Colegiales have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Colegiales have scored in each of their last 8 home matches.
- ●Colegiales have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Colegiales have kept a clean sheet in 9 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Colegiales have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Colegiales failed to keep a clean sheet in 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Colegiales have lost 11 of their 15 away matches.
- ●83% of Colegiales's goals have been scored at home.
- ●73% of Colegiales's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●85% of Colegiales's points have been earned at home.
- ●Atletico DE Rafaela have conceded a minimum of 2 goals in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Atletico DE Rafaela have won their last 2 home matches.
- ●Atletico DE Rafaela have lost their last 2 away matches.
- ●Atletico DE Rafaela have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●76% of Atletico DE Rafaela's goals have been scored at home.
- ●65% of Atletico DE Rafaela's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●79% of Atletico DE Rafaela's points have been earned at home.