Defensores De Belgrano vs San Miguel — Primera Nacional
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Defensores De Belgrano and San Miguel meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Defensores De Belgrano have recorded 8 wins from 30 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.77 goals scored and 0.87 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 37% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 27%; and clean sheets in 40% of games. San Miguel have won 19% of their 31 matches, with 0.77 goals scored and 1.19 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 45%, Over 2.5 at 32%, and clean sheets at 29%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.14 for Defensores De Belgrano and 0.76 for San Miguel. The models give Defensores De Belgrano a 47% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an San Miguel win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 36%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Defensores De | Home | Away | San Miguel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 57% | 60% | 53% | 61% | 73% | 50% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 17% | 20% | 13% | 16% | 20% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 7% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 43% | 40% | 47% | 39% | 27% | 50% |
Goals Conceded
| Defensores De | Home | Away | San Miguel | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 60% | 67% | 53% | 71% | 60% | 81% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 13% | 27% | 32% | 27% | 38% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 7% | 7% | 13% | 0% | 25% |
| Clean Sheets | 40% | 33% | 47% | 29% | 40% | 19% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Defensores De | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 80% | 87% |
| Over 1.5 | 57% | 71% |
| Over 2.5 | 27% | 32% |
| Over 3.5 | 0% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 0% |
| BTTS | 37% | 45% |
| BTTS & Win | 7% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 20% | 29% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 17% | 19% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 10% | 13% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Defensores De | San Miguel | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 19% |
| Draw 1st Half | 53% | 52% |
| Loss 1st Half | 23% | 29% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 26% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 35% |
| Win 2nd Half | 20% | 23% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 43% | 45% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 37% | 32% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 27% | 45% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 43% | 55% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 55% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 23% | 16% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 3 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 58 | |
| 1 | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | +16 | 53 | |
| 2 | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 55 | |
| 2 | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 53 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 53 | |
| 3 | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +12 | 52 | |
| 4 | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +16 | 49 | |
| 4 | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 48 | |
| 5 | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 47 | |
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 46 | |
| 6 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +6 | 45 | |
| 7 | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +4 | 45 | |
| 7 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 | |
| 8 | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 42 | |
| 8 | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | -3 | 39 | |
| 9 | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +6 | 41 | |
| 9 | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | +2 | 37 | |
| 10 | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 40 | |
| 10 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -2 | 36 | |
| 11 | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | +2 | 39 | |
| 11 | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | -3 | 36 | |
| 12 | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 36 | |
| 12 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 | |
| 13 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 35 | |
| 13 | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -9 | 32 | |
| 14 | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 | |
| 14 | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -10 | 32 | |
| 15 | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 | |
| 15 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -9 | 31 | |
| 16 | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 | |
| 16 | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 | |
| 17 | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 | |
| 17 | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -9 | 30 | |
| 18 | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 26 | |
| 18 | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -28 | 23 |
Team Insights
- ●Defensores De Belgrano have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Defensores De Belgrano have been undefeated in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Defensores De Belgrano failed to keep a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Defensores De Belgrano have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Defensores De Belgrano have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
- ●San Miguel have failed to win in their last 6 matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●San Miguel have scored in each of their last 4 home matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in each of their last 6 away matches.
- ●San Miguel have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●San Miguel failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.