Ferro Carril Oeste vs Chaco For Ever — Primera Nacional
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Ferro Carril Oeste and Chaco For Ever meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Ferro Carril Oeste have recorded 17 wins from 30 matches this season (57% win rate), averaging 1.17 goals scored and 0.83 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 40% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 37%; and clean sheets in 47% of games. Chaco For Ever have won 28% of their 32 matches, with 0.91 goals scored and 1.00 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for Ferro Carril Oeste and 0.67 for Chaco For Ever. The models give Ferro Carril Oeste a 50% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Chaco For Ever win at 20%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 27% and BTTS at 33%.
Season Statistics
Ferro Carril Oeste—
Chaco For Ever1º
Position
10º
1.93
PPG
1.20
57%
Win %
30%
1.17
Goals / game
0.90
0.83
Conceded / game
0.97
40%
BTTS %
41%
47%
Clean sheet %
38%
37%
Over 2.5 %
28%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Ferro Carril Oeste
Home (15)
—
Chaco For Ever
Away (15)
1.93
PPG
0.73
60%
Win %
13%
1.13
Goals / game
0.53
0.80
Conceded / game
1.13
40%
BTTS %
31%
40%
Clean sheet %
31%
33%
Over 2.5 %
25%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Ferro Carril | Home | Away | Chaco For | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 73% | 73% | 73% | 66% | 94% | 38% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 33% | 33% | 33% | 19% | 25% | 13% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 7% | 7% | 7% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 27% | 27% | 27% | 34% | 6% | 63% |
Goals Conceded
| Ferro Carril | Home | Away | Chaco For | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 53% | 60% | 47% | 63% | 56% | 69% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 20% | 13% | 27% | 34% | 25% | 44% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 7% | 7% | 7% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 47% | 40% | 53% | 38% | 44% | 31% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Ferro Carril | Chaco For | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 87% | 88% |
| Over 1.5 | 53% | 63% |
| Over 2.5 | 37% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 | 17% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 3% |
| BTTS | 40% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 23% | 3% |
| BTTS & Draw | 10% | 19% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 33% | 25% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Ferro Carril | Chaco For | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 23% | 22% |
| Draw 1st Half | 50% | 41% |
| Loss 1st Half | 27% | 38% |
| Scored 1st Half | 33% | 31% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 33% | 38% |
| Win 2nd Half | 53% | 31% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 33% | 38% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 13% | 31% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 60% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 37% | 41% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 57% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 20% | 19% |
Recent Venue Form
Ferro Carril (H)W
Ciudad de Bolívar1–0
Ciudad de Bolívar1–0D
Atletico Mitre0–0
Atletico Mitre0–0W
All Boys1–0
All Boys1–0W
Atlanta3–1
Atlanta3–1L
Godoy Cruz1–3
Godoy Cruz1–3W
Colon Santa Fe2–0
Colon Santa Fe2–0Chaco For (A)DAtletico Mitre0–0
Atletico Mitre0–0DAll Boys0–0
All Boys0–0L
Gimnasia Jujuy0–1
Gimnasia Jujuy0–1LGodoy Cruz1–2
Godoy Cruz1–2WColon Santa Fe1–0
Colon Santa Fe1–0W
San Telmo3–1
San Telmo3–1Head to Head · 4 matches
2
Ferro Carril
50%
1
Draws
25%
1
Chaco For
25%
75%
Over 1.5
3/4
75%
Over 2.5
3/4
25%
Over 3.5
1/4
75%
BTTS
3/4
07/06/26Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
1–2Ferro Carril Oeste27/08/23Ferro Carril Oeste
Chaco For Ever
4–2Ferro Carril Oeste16/04/23Chaco For Ever
Ferro Carril Oeste
2–1Chaco For Ever27/06/22Chaco For Ever
Ferro Carril Oeste
0–0Chaco For Ever| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ferro Carril Oeste | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 58 |
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | +16 | 53 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 55 |
| 2 |  Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 53 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +12 | 52 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +16 | 49 |
| 4 | Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 |  Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 47 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 6 |  San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 7 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |  CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 |  Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +6 | 41 |
| 9 |  Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | +2 | 37 |
| 10 |  Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 |  San Martin Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | +2 | 39 |
| 11 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 |  Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 |  Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 35 |
| 13 | All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 |  Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 | Atletico Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 |  Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 |  Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 |  San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 |  Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 | San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 |  Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 |  Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 26 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -28 | 23 |
Team Insights
Ferro Carril- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have been undefeated in their last 7 matches.
- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 3 matches.
- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have been undefeated in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have kept a clean sheet in their last 3 home matches.
- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have been undefeated in their last 3 away matches.
- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have kept a clean sheet in 6 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have won 8 of their 15 away matches.
- ●Ferro Carril Oeste have scored in 11 of their 15 away matches.
Chaco For- ●Chaco For Ever have been undefeated in their last 6 matches.
- ●Chaco For Ever have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 6 matches.
- ●Chaco For Ever have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chaco For Ever have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Chaco For Ever have scored in each of their last 9 home matches.
- ●Chaco For Ever have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Chaco For Ever have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Chaco For Ever have scored in 14 of their 15 home matches.
- ●70% of Chaco For Ever's goals have been scored at home.
Season Schedule
Ferro CarrilWHCiudad de Bolívar1–0
Ciudad de Bolívar1–0DAAlmirante Brown0–0
Almirante Brown0–0DHAtletico Mitre0–0
Atletico Mitre0–0DACA Estudiantes2–2
CA Estudiantes2–2WHAll Boys1–0
All Boys1–0WHAtlanta3–1
Atlanta3–1–ADefensores De Belgrano27/09
Defensores De Belgrano27/09–HDeportivo Madryn03/10
Deportivo Madryn03/10–ACentral Norte10/10
Central Norte10/10Chaco ForWHAlmirante Brown1–0
Almirante Brown1–0DAAtletico Mitre0–0
Atletico Mitre0–0WHCA Estudiantes1–0
CA Estudiantes1–0DAAll Boys0–0
All Boys0–0WHSan Miguel3–0
San Miguel3–0WHLos Andes1–0
Los Andes1–0–ACiudad de Bolívar26/09
Ciudad de Bolívar26/09–HDefensores De Belgrano03/10
Defensores De Belgrano03/10–ADeportivo Madryn10/10
Deportivo Madryn10/10Top Scorers
Ferro CarrilL. Parisi8 ⚽
E. Dening6 ⚽
F. Garcia5 ⚽
E. Hoyos3 ⚽
M. Kabalin3 ⚽
G. Canto2 ⚽
Chaco ForM. S. Romero6 ⚽
L. Marinucci4 ⚽
E. Gaggi3 ⚽
I. Enriquez3 ⚽
G. Pacheco2 ⚽
B. Nievas2 ⚽
Cards Given
Ferro CarrilE. Ozuna9 🟨
E. Dening8 🟨
G. Castellani7 🟨
G. Canto6 🟨
F. Monetti6 🟨
M. Taron6 🟨
Chaco ForL. Pruzzo11 🟨
D. Valdez9 🟨
B. Nievas9 🟨
S. Valenzuela7 🟨
J. Carrizo7 🟨
G. Canuto5 🟨