Midland vs Gimnasia Y Tiro — Primera Nacional
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Midland and Gimnasia Y Tiro meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Midland have recorded 14 wins from 33 matches this season (42% win rate), averaging 1.18 goals scored and 0.88 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 45% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 30%; and clean sheets in 39% of games. Gimnasia Y Tiro have won 38% of their 32 matches, with 0.97 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 44%, Over 2.5 at 28%, and clean sheets at 38%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.24 for Midland and 0.68 for Gimnasia Y Tiro. The models give Midland a 47% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Gimnasia Y Tiro win at 23%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 30% and BTTS at 35%.
Season Statistics
Midland—
Gimnasia Y Tiro5º
Position
7º
1.57
PPG
1.50
43%
Win %
40%
1.13
Goals / game
1.03
0.83
Conceded / game
0.90
45%
BTTS %
44%
39%
Clean sheet %
38%
30%
Over 2.5 %
28%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
Midland
Home (15)
—
Gimnasia Y Tiro
Away (15)
2.20
PPG
1.20
67%
Win %
33%
1.27
Goals / game
1.00
0.40
Conceded / game
1.20
27%
BTTS %
47%
67%
Clean sheet %
24%
13%
Over 2.5 %
41%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| Midland | Home | Away | Gimnasia Y | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 79% | 87% | 72% | 66% | 80% | 53% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 36% | 40% | 33% | 28% | 27% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Failed To Score | 21% | 13% | 28% | 34% | 20% | 47% |
Goals Conceded
| Midland | Home | Away | Gimnasia Y | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 61% | 33% | 83% | 63% | 47% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 21% | 7% | 33% | 19% | 7% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 6% | 0% | 11% | 9% | 7% | 12% |
| Clean Sheets | 39% | 67% | 17% | 38% | 53% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Midland | Gimnasia Y | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 94% | 84% |
| Over 1.5 | 67% | 59% |
| Over 2.5 | 30% | 28% |
| Over 3.5 | 12% | 13% |
| Over 4.5 | 3% | 3% |
| BTTS | 45% | 44% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 16% |
| BTTS & Draw | 24% | 16% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 28% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 0% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Midland | Gimnasia Y | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 42% | 28% |
| Draw 1st Half | 36% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 21% | 22% |
| Scored 1st Half | 48% | 41% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 27% | 34% |
| Win 2nd Half | 45% | 28% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 24% | 44% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 30% | 28% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 61% | 44% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 42% | 44% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 70% | 59% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 15% | 31% |
Recent Venue Form
Midland (H)W
Chacarita Juniors1–0
Chacarita Juniors1–0W
Nueva Chicago2–0
Nueva Chicago2–0W
Deportivo Maipu2–0
Deportivo Maipu2–0W
Patronato1–0
Patronato1–0W
Quilmes1–0
Quilmes1–0D
Gimnasia Jujuy1–1
Gimnasia Jujuy1–1Gimnasia Y (A)L
Agropecuario0–1
Agropecuario0–1W
Club Atlético Güemes3–1
Club Atlético Güemes3–1L
San Martin S.J.1–3
San Martin S.J.1–3D
Central Norte0–0
Central Norte0–0W
Almagro2–0
Almagro2–0W
Temperley2–1
Temperley2–1Head to Head · 1 matches
0
Midland
0%
0
Draws
0%
1
Gimnasia Y
100%
0%
Over 1.5
0/1
0%
Over 2.5
0/1
0%
Over 3.5
0/1
0%
BTTS
0/1
06/06/26Midland
Gimnasia Y Tiro
1–0Midland| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 30 | 17 | 7 | 6 | +10 | 58 |
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 29 | 14 | 11 | 4 | +16 | 53 |
| 2 |  Deportivo Moron | 30 | 16 | 7 | 7 | +19 | 55 |
| 2 | Temperley | 30 | 14 | 11 | 5 | +12 | 53 |
| 3 | Gimnasia Jujuy | 30 | 15 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 53 |
| 3 |  Godoy Cruz | 30 | 15 | 7 | 8 | +12 | 52 |
| 4 |  Deportivo Madryn | 30 | 13 | 10 | 7 | +16 | 49 |
| 4 |  Atlanta | 29 | 15 | 3 | 11 | +6 | 48 |
| 5 |  Colon Santa Fe | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 48 |
| 5 | Midland | 30 | 13 | 8 | 9 | +9 | 47 |
| 6 |  Almirante Brown | 30 | 12 | 10 | 8 | +6 | 46 |
| 6 | San Martin S.J. | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +6 | 45 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 30 | 12 | 9 | 9 | +4 | 45 |
| 7 |  CA Estudiantes | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | +2 | 42 |
| 8 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 30 | 11 | 9 | 10 | -1 | 42 |
| 8 |  Ciudad de Bolívar | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Deportivo Maipu | 30 | 11 | 8 | 11 | +6 | 41 |
| 9 |  Los Andes | 30 | 8 | 13 | 9 | +2 | 37 |
| 10 |  Colegiales | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | -1 | 40 |
| 10 |  Chaco For Ever | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 |  San Martin Tucuman | 30 | 9 | 12 | 9 | +2 | 39 |
| 11 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 30 | 8 | 12 | 10 | -3 | 36 |
| 12 | Agropecuario | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | -8 | 36 |
| 12 |  Racing Cordoba | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 13 | Quilmes | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | +1 | 35 |
| 13 |  All Boys | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -9 | 32 |
| 14 | Almagro | 30 | 9 | 8 | 13 | -10 | 35 |
| 14 |  Atletico Mitre | 30 | 6 | 14 | 10 | -10 | 32 |
| 15 | Nueva Chicago | 29 | 8 | 8 | 13 | -7 | 32 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -9 | 31 |
| 16 |  San Miguel | 30 | 6 | 13 | 11 | -10 | 31 |
| 16 | Patronato | 29 | 5 | 15 | 9 | -7 | 30 |
| 17 |  San Telmo | 30 | 7 | 10 | 13 | -11 | 31 |
| 17 | Chacarita Juniors | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | -9 | 30 |
| 18 |  Acassuso | 30 | 6 | 8 | 16 | -13 | 26 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 30 | 5 | 8 | 17 | -28 | 23 |
Team Insights
Midland- ●Midland have won their last 2 matches.
- ●Midland have kept a clean sheet in each of their last 2 matches.
- ●Midland have won their last 5 home matches.
- ●Midland have kept a clean sheet in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Midland have scored in each of their last 10 home matches.
- ●Midland have kept a clean sheet in 10 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Midland have scored in 13 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Midland failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●76% of Midland's goals conceded were conceded away.
Gimnasia Y- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro have been undefeated in their last 8 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro have kept a clean sheet in their last 4 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 15 home matches.
- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 15 away matches.
- ●67% of Gimnasia Y Tiro's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Gimnasia Y Tiro have scored 55% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
MidlandWAClub Atlético Güemes2–0
Club Atlético Güemes2–0WHChacarita Juniors1–0
Chacarita Juniors1–0LASan Martin S.J.2–3
San Martin S.J.2–3LAColegiales0–3
Colegiales0–3WHNueva Chicago2–0
Nueva Chicago2–0LATemperley1–2
Temperley1–2–HTristan Suarez27/09
Tristan Suarez27/09–AAgropecuario03/10
Agropecuario03/10–HAtletico DE Rafaela10/10
Atletico DE Rafaela10/10Gimnasia YLAAgropecuario0–1
Agropecuario0–1DHTristan Suarez0–0
Tristan Suarez0–0WAClub Atlético Güemes3–1
Club Atlético Güemes3–1WHChacarita Juniors1–0
Chacarita Juniors1–0LASan Martin S.J.1–3
San Martin S.J.1–3DACentral Norte0–0
Central Norte0–0–HAtletico DE Rafaela27/09
Atletico DE Rafaela27/09–ASan Martin Tucuman03/10
San Martin Tucuman03/10–AGimnasia Jujuy10/10
Gimnasia Jujuy10/10Top Scorers
MidlandM. Rogoski6 ⚽
D. Bulacio5 ⚽
M. Roseti4 ⚽
M. Flores4 ⚽
A. I. Campana3 ⚽
J. Perales3 ⚽
Gimnasia YL. Gordillo12 ⚽
N. Rinaldi3 ⚽
M. Guanini2 ⚽
F. Sivetti2 ⚽
J. Galetto2 ⚽
M. Birge2 ⚽
Cards Given
MidlandP. Casarico7 🟨
G. Cepeda7 🟨
N. Violini6 🟨
M. Penepil6 🟨
F. Gonzalez5 🟨
L. Diaz Laharque4 🟨
Gimnasia YM. Guanini10 🟨
L. Montoya9 🟨
F. Rojas8 🟨
L. Gordillo7 🟨
M. Birge6 🟨
T. Banega6 🟨