Nueva Chicago vs San Martin S.J. — Primera Nacional
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Nueva Chicago and San Martin S.J. meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 24 October 2026. Nueva Chicago have recorded 9 wins from 33 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.73 goals scored and 0.97 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 30% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 24%; and clean sheets in 33% of games. San Martin S.J. have won 37% of their 35 matches, with 1.06 goals scored and 0.94 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 51%, Over 2.5 at 34%, and clean sheets at 34%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.09 for Nueva Chicago and 0.74 for San Martin S.J.. The models give Nueva Chicago a 39% win probability, with a draw at 32% and an San Martin S.J. win at 29%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 28% and BTTS at 35%.
Season Statistics
Home vs Away
Goals Scored
| Nueva Chicago | Home | Away | San Martin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 48% | 63% | 35% | 74% | 82% | 67% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 21% | 31% | 12% | 26% | 41% | 11% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 3% | 6% | 0% | 6% | 12% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 52% | 38% | 65% | 26% | 18% | 33% |
Goals Conceded
| Nueva Chicago | Home | Away | San Martin | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 67% | 56% | 76% | 66% | 59% | 72% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 24% | 13% | 35% | 26% | 18% | 33% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 3% | 0% | 6% | 3% | 0% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 33% | 44% | 24% | 34% | 41% | 28% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| Nueva Chicago | San Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 85% | 89% |
| Over 1.5 | 52% | 69% |
| Over 2.5 | 24% | 34% |
| Over 3.5 | 9% | 6% |
| Over 4.5 | 0% | 3% |
| BTTS | 30% | 51% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 14% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 20% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 21% | 31% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 3% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| Nueva Chicago | San Martin | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 15% | 34% |
| Draw 1st Half | 45% | 51% |
| Loss 1st Half | 39% | 14% |
| Scored 1st Half | 21% | 43% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 45% | 23% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 26% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 45% | 46% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 24% | 29% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 51% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 33% | 51% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 58% | 57% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 18% | 17% |
Recent Venue Form
Head to Head · 11 matches
| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 62 | |
| 1 | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | +17 | 59 | |
| 2 | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | +13 | 59 | |
| 2 | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | +17 | 58 | |
| 3 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | +9 | 58 | |
| 3 | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | +13 | 57 | |
| 4 | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | +8 | 55 | |
| 4 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +17 | 53 | |
| 5 | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +14 | 53 | |
| 5 | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +12 | 51 | |
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 49 | |
| 6 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 48 | |
| 7 | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 48 | |
| 7 | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +8 | 48 | |
| 8 | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | +4 | 47 | |
| 8 | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +1 | 47 | |
| 9 | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 46 | |
| 9 | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | +1 | 40 | |
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +2 | 43 | |
| 10 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -2 | 40 | |
| 11 | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 42 | |
| 11 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -9 | 40 | |
| 12 | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 41 | |
| 12 | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | -7 | 37 | |
| 13 | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 40 | |
| 13 | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 37 | |
| 14 | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | +2 | 39 | |
| 14 | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | -10 | 36 | |
| 15 | 33 | 7 | 16 | 10 | -3 | 37 | |
| 15 | 33 | 6 | 16 | 11 | -9 | 34 | |
| 16 | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 36 | |
| 16 | 33 | 6 | 16 | 11 | -10 | 34 | |
| 17 | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -10 | 33 | |
| 17 | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -10 | 32 | |
| 18 | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | -13 | 32 | |
| 18 | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -33 | 23 |
Team Insights
- ●Nueva Chicago have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●Nueva Chicago failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●Nueva Chicago have lost 12 of their 17 away matches.
- ●67% of Nueva Chicago's goals have been scored at home.
- ●66% of Nueva Chicago's goals conceded were conceded away.
- ●Nueva Chicago have conceded 59% of their goals in the first half.
- ●San Martin S.J. have failed to win in their last 3 matches.
- ●San Martin S.J. failed to keep a clean sheet in 13 of their 17 away matches.
- ●San Martin S.J. have scored in 12 of their 17 away matches.