San Telmo vs Central Norte — Primera Nacional
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San Telmo and Central Norte meet in the Primera Nacional 2026 season on 31 October 2026. San Telmo have recorded 9 wins from 33 matches this season (27% win rate), averaging 0.85 goals scored and 1.12 conceded per game. BTTS has occurred in 33% of their fixtures; Over 2.5 goals in 36%; and clean sheets in 36% of games. Central Norte have won 18% of their 34 matches, with 0.65 goals scored and 0.91 conceded per game. Their BTTS rate stands at 41%, Over 2.5 at 21%, and clean sheets at 35%.
Based on our 7-model ensemble (Poisson, Dixon-Coles, Weighted Form, Normalized, Shots, Elo and Combined), the expected goals are 1.13 for San Telmo and 0.83 for Central Norte. The models give San Telmo a 43% win probability, with a draw at 30% and an Central Norte win at 27%. Over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31% and BTTS at 39%.
Season Statistics
San Telmo—
Central Norte13º
Position
15º
1.12
PPG
1.03
27%
Win %
18%
0.85
Goals / game
0.64
1.12
Conceded / game
0.91
33%
BTTS %
41%
36%
Clean sheet %
35%
36%
Over 2.5 %
21%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0
Avg fouls
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Home vs Away
San Telmo
Home (16)
—
Central Norte
Away (16)
1.38
PPG
0.75
38%
Win %
13%
1.06
Goals / game
0.56
1.13
Conceded / game
1.19
31%
BTTS %
41%
44%
Clean sheet %
24%
38%
Over 2.5 %
29%
0.0
Avg corners
0.0
0.0
Avg shots
0.0
0.0
Avg shots on target
0.0
0.0
Avg yellow cards
0.0
0.0%
Avg possession
0.0%
Goals Scored
| San Telmo | Home | Away | Central Norte | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Scored | 52% | 56% | 47% | 53% | 59% | 47% |
| Over 1.5 Scored | 27% | 38% | 18% | 12% | 12% | 12% |
| Over 2.5 Scored | 6% | 13% | 0% | 0% | 0% | 0% |
| Failed To Score | 48% | 44% | 53% | 47% | 41% | 53% |
Goals Conceded
| San Telmo | Home | Away | Central Norte | Home | Away | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 Conceded | 64% | 56% | 71% | 65% | 53% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 Conceded | 33% | 38% | 29% | 18% | 6% | 29% |
| Over 2.5 Conceded | 15% | 19% | 12% | 6% | 6% | 6% |
| Clean Sheets | 36% | 44% | 29% | 35% | 47% | 24% |
Over 2.5 & BTTS Predictions
| San Telmo | Central Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Over 0.5 | 82% | 76% |
| Over 1.5 | 55% | 47% |
| Over 2.5 | 36% | 21% |
| Over 3.5 | 18% | 9% |
| Over 4.5 | 6% | 3% |
| BTTS | 33% | 41% |
| BTTS & Win | 9% | 6% |
| BTTS & Draw | 12% | 26% |
| BTTS & Over 2.5 | 27% | 18% |
| BTTS No & Over 2.5 | 9% | 3% |
1st Half / 2nd Half
| San Telmo | Central Norte | |
|---|---|---|
| Win 1st Half | 18% | 24% |
| Draw 1st Half | 52% | 50% |
| Loss 1st Half | 30% | 26% |
| Scored 1st Half | 24% | 38% |
| Conceded 1st Half | 42% | 32% |
| Win 2nd Half | 30% | 9% |
| Draw 2nd Half | 36% | 68% |
| Loss 2nd Half | 33% | 24% |
| Scored 2nd Half | 39% | 21% |
| Conceded 2nd Half | 48% | 38% |
| Over 0.5 HT | 55% | 56% |
| Over 1.5 HT | 30% | 21% |
Recent Venue Form
San Telmo (H)W
Almirante Brown3–2
Almirante Brown3–2L
CA Estudiantes0–1
CA Estudiantes0–1D
Los Andes0–0
Los Andes0–0D
Deportivo Moron2–2
Deportivo Moron2–2W
San Miguel1–0
San Miguel1–0L
Chaco For Ever1–3
Chaco For Ever1–3Central Norte (A)D
Deportivo Madryn0–0
Deportivo Madryn0–0D
Ciudad de Bolívar0–0
Ciudad de Bolívar0–0D
Atletico Mitre2–2
Atletico Mitre2–2D
All Boys1–1
All Boys1–1L
Godoy Cruz1–2
Godoy Cruz1–2L
Colon Santa Fe0–4
Colon Santa Fe0–4Head to Head · 3 matches
2
San Telmo
67%
1
Draws
33%
0
Central Norte
0%
67%
Over 1.5
2/3
67%
Over 2.5
2/3
33%
Over 3.5
1/3
67%
BTTS
2/3
14/06/26San Telmo
Central Norte
0–0San Telmo14/09/25Central Norte
San Telmo
3–1Central Norte13/05/25San Telmo
Central Norte
1–2San Telmo| # | Team | MP | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  Ferro Carril Oeste | 33 | 18 | 8 | 7 | +9 | 62 |
| 1 |  Tristan Suarez | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | +17 | 59 |
| 2 |  Temperley | 33 | 16 | 11 | 6 | +13 | 59 |
| 2 | Deportivo Moron | 33 | 17 | 7 | 9 | +17 | 58 |
| 3 |  Atlanta | 33 | 18 | 4 | 11 | +9 | 58 |
| 3 | Godoy Cruz | 32 | 16 | 8 | 8 | +13 | 56 |
| 4 |  Gimnasia Jujuy | 33 | 15 | 10 | 8 | +8 | 55 |
| 4 | Deportivo Madryn | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +17 | 53 |
| 5 | Colon Santa Fe | 33 | 14 | 11 | 8 | +14 | 53 |
| 5 |  Midland | 33 | 14 | 9 | 10 | +12 | 51 |
| 6 |  Gimnasia Y Tiro | 33 | 13 | 10 | 10 | +4 | 49 |
| 6 | CA Estudiantes | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +4 | 48 |
| 7 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 33 | 12 | 12 | 9 | 0 | 48 |
| 7 |  Deportivo Maipu | 33 | 13 | 9 | 11 | +8 | 48 |
| 8 | Almirante Brown | 33 | 12 | 11 | 10 | +4 | 47 |
| 8 |  Colegiales | 33 | 13 | 8 | 12 | +1 | 47 |
| 9 |  San Martin S.J. | 33 | 12 | 10 | 11 | +2 | 46 |
| 9 | Los Andes | 33 | 9 | 13 | 11 | +1 | 40 |
| 10 |  San Martin Tucuman | 33 | 10 | 13 | 10 | +2 | 43 |
| 10 | Chaco For Ever | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -2 | 40 |
| 11 |  Atletico DE Rafaela | 33 | 11 | 9 | 13 | -7 | 42 |
| 11 |  Racing Cordoba | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -9 | 40 |
| 12 |  Almagro | 33 | 11 | 8 | 14 | -9 | 41 |
| 12 |  Defensores De Belgrano | 33 | 8 | 13 | 12 | -7 | 37 |
| 13 |  Agropecuario | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | -8 | 40 |
| 13 | San Telmo | 33 | 9 | 10 | 14 | -9 | 37 |
| 14 |  Quilmes | 33 | 10 | 9 | 14 | +2 | 39 |
| 14 | Atletico Mitre | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | -10 | 36 |
| 15 |  Patronato | 33 | 7 | 16 | 10 | -3 | 37 |
| 15 | Central Norte | 33 | 6 | 16 | 11 | -9 | 34 |
| 16 |  Nueva Chicago | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | -8 | 36 |
| 16 | All Boys | 32 | 6 | 15 | 11 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 |  Chacarita Juniors | 33 | 9 | 6 | 18 | -10 | 33 |
| 17 |  Acassuso | 33 | 8 | 8 | 17 | -10 | 32 |
| 18 | San Miguel | 33 | 6 | 14 | 13 | -13 | 32 |
| 18 |  Club Atlético Güemes | 33 | 5 | 8 | 20 | -33 | 23 |
Team Insights
San Telmo- ●San Telmo have kept a clean sheet in 7 of their 16 home matches.
- ●San Telmo failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 17 away matches.
Central Norte- ●Central Norte have been undefeated in their last 3 matches.
- ●Central Norte have failed to win in their last 5 home matches.
- ●Central Norte have been undefeated in their last 4 away matches.
- ●Central Norte have kept a clean sheet in their last 2 away matches.
- ●Central Norte have kept a clean sheet in 8 of their 17 home matches.
- ●Central Norte failed to keep a clean sheet in 12 of their 16 away matches.
- ●Central Norte have scored 57% of their goals in the first half.
Season Schedule
San TelmoLACiudad de Bolívar0–1
Ciudad de Bolívar0–1WHAlmirante Brown3–2
Almirante Brown3–2WAAtletico Mitre2–0
Atletico Mitre2–0LHCA Estudiantes0–1
CA Estudiantes0–1WAAll Boys1–0
All Boys1–0DHLos Andes0–0
Los Andes0–0–HDefensores De Belgrano17/10
Defensores De Belgrano17/10–ADeportivo Madryn24/10
Deportivo Madryn24/10–HCentral Norte31/10
Central Norte31/10Central NorteDHFerro Carril Oeste1–1
Ferro Carril Oeste1–1DHRacing Cordoba1–1
Racing Cordoba1–1DADeportivo Madryn0–0
Deportivo Madryn0–0LHDefensores De Belgrano0–1
Defensores De Belgrano0–1DACiudad de Bolívar0–0
Ciudad de Bolívar0–0DHAlmirante Brown0–0
Almirante Brown0–0–AChaco For Ever18/10
Chaco For Ever18/10–HAcassuso25/10
Acassuso25/10–ASan Telmo31/10
San Telmo31/10Top Scorers
San TelmoM. Batallini6 ⚽
J. Porto4 ⚽
J. Motroni4 ⚽
F. Tisera2 ⚽
J. Gonzalez2 ⚽
G. Paredes1 ⚽
Central NorteF. Borda4 ⚽
M. Ribero2 ⚽
F. Vedoya2 ⚽
E. Calderon2 ⚽
J. Lopez2 ⚽
G. Mancuso1 ⚽
Cards Given
San TelmoR. Uriburu10 🟨
L. Pollacchi9 🟨
G. Paredes7 🟨
E. Britez7 🟨
E. Peralta7 🟨
J. Motroni6 🟨
Central NorteM. Villarreal9 🟨
M. Padilla9 🟨
G. Mancuso8 🟨
E. Calderon7 🟨
M. Ribero6 🟨
M. Rosales6 🟨